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Conclusion Population growth, resource scarcity, technological evolution, cultural shifts, environmental changes, and war, trade and immigration – all these developments have bothered people both today and in the past as causes of social decay. Yet on analysis none of them is revealed as truly prob...

The approach to a dark age is paradoxically a time when things seem to be getting better in many respects. Political authorities seem less oppressive. Economic activity is more elaborate than ever. Social attitudes become more enlightened. On the surface, everything can appear to be excellent. Behi...

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1784388834538762425

Dennis Meadows is one of the systems thinkers (number 3 on the list). This is a list of the types of specialists who might think about collapse. 1. Archaeologists - Done enough digging to realize that much of what they are digging up resulted from the collapse of civilizations 2. Historians - Looked...

This is one of the 8 I regularly follow. He has a new substack with weekly review. First weekly review published today.

https://macrocharts.substack.com/p/glob ... y-review-1

Regarding the economic outlook 40:25 There will be a recession starting in May that will last 4 years. It will be very diverse. Much worse in some parts of the US (for example, New York and California) than in others. It will not be a depression. Near the end of the interview, somewhere around 1:06:...

Regarding the breakup of the United States At 28:04 in the link above, the interviewer asks Armstrong, "Do you think this is soon or will it take 10 years?" Armstrong; "No, I don't think we have that much time." Nobody is going to accept the 2024 election and the 2028 election may not take place. Hi...

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/arms ... armstrong/

This is one of the largest strawberry growers in the nation. His field harvesters in Florida are on H-2A visas. "It's the only means of getting workers at the farm right now", says Wishnatzki. "But it's totally outdated." Even for a company as large as them, the cost has become crushing, he says. T...