Search found 139 matches

by burt
Sun Feb 06, 2011 5:15 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 16777215

Re: Financial topics

Thank you, I still have a lot of studies to do to give an "intelligent" answer (I mean not too emotional) to the different interesting remarks I read here. Another thinking from cnbc. http://www.cnbc.com/id/41408510/ Usually (for me) when cnbc makes a prediction the opposite becomes the reality Then...
by burt
Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:25 am
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

Re: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down

What sudden change of position? There was little chance of civil war last week, and little chance this week. What are you talking about? Are you just looking for something to disagree with? I just wanted to understand why, one day (16th) you wrote that Tunisia movement could create a civil war in E...
by burt
Wed Feb 02, 2011 6:38 am
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

Re: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down

Now John I'd be pleased to understand how, with the generational theory, you can share with us, that there is almost no risk of a civil war, and why you changed you mind. Just to say, I agree that there is very little chance of a civil war, but this come from an obervation last week-end that Army an...
by burt
Wed Feb 02, 2011 6:11 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 16777215

Re: Financial topics

The graph you showed is interesting because it indicates we should see an approximately 30 year trend toward lower PE ratios from here, so it's going to be a very long time before stocks are cheap. Seems like it won't be until this crop of Prophets and Nomads are completely out of the picture. An s...
by burt
Wed Feb 02, 2011 6:05 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 16777215

Re: Financial topics

What about another scenario? Too many people using Technical Analysis see the "M. God Market" should step down for while. What we can see is that "M. God Market" doesn't want to. It's driven by computer and as Higgenbotham noted: It is rare that "M. God Market" gives right to a majority. So why not ...
by burt
Wed Feb 02, 2011 4:21 am
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down
Replies: 7
Views: 6999

Re: 2-Feb-11 News -- Disastrous health care law struck down

John wrote:Russia's booksellers report that Russia is moving to the left
May I suggest it could have nothing to do with the "left" or the "right" but a desperate search of identity which turns into the direction of the first "simple" thing you can get, so radicalization...
by burt
Wed Feb 02, 2011 4:04 am
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: 31-Jan-11 News -- Rift grows between PA and Al-Jazeera
Replies: 3
Views: 5322

Re: 31-Jan-11 News -- Rift grows between PA and Al-Jazeera

I would add that nobody besides yourself has ever objected to this characterization. I once referred to it as "the war between Jews and Palestinians," and I received complaints about that, for good reason. John I react because I respect your way of thinking and I begin to integrate some of the prin...
by burt
Tue Feb 01, 2011 3:37 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 16777215

Re: Potential crises may be found in the data

Potential crises may be found in the data Monday, January 31, 2011 How long will this "effect" last? Bubbles develop as the spread between stock indexes and the economy becomes unreasonable. ..... In the days ahead, pay close attention to the Baltic Dry Index, which may be the next signpost. http:/...
by burt
Mon Jan 31, 2011 4:07 pm
Forum: Science, Technology and the Singularity
Topic: Thoughts on rapid breakout in AI over the mid term
Replies: 16
Views: 13394

Re: Thoughts on rapid breakout in AI over the mid term

(Side note here, many people expect such a machine to "kill the humans". Why? I usually ask such folks why they killed their parents, and get a shocked response. Why would you expect a machine intelligence to have a mad hate for its parents?) I agree with all what you wrote before, but you're speak...
by burt
Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:01 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 16777215

Re: Financial topics

In 1957 the US could force Britain out of Egypt by threatening to sell a bunch of British bonds and crashing the pound. Today China has that kind of power over America. You don't think it will be used? http://pair.offshore.ai/38yearcycle/#suez This is what I call a fight between Borrowers and Lende...