Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

... it appears AI will not be replacing the Stackees as soon as expected?


The existing AI does not learn as it goes. They don't understand how to get weights to update in a useful way as it interacts with the world. So for now the weights are just "frozen". Human intelligence comes from ...

The US stock market is basically one big bet on AI at this point.
The Chinese model Kimi K3 was released Friday and is about as good as the US models and open source.
There are several other Chinese models like Deepseek V4 Pro GA, Qwen 3.8 Max
that should be released very soon and are also about as ...

I also think we have an AI bubble that could pop anytime.

http://cate.ai/space/ai.bubble.html

vincecate wrote: Thu Jul 02, 2026 9:08 pm http://cate.ai/misc/ - total of 10 AIs on ai.smart.html topic. Some other topics.

Made it so the question and 11 AI answers are all on one page now: http://cate.ai/misc/ai.smart.html

Part of the limitation with AI is that since the world operates at the 97th percentile and that's where AI draws its information from and spits it back out it's difficult for it to advance beyond that level in many instances because it's unable to distinguish. Another part of the limitation seems ...

It sure seems like the stock market should crash. There is a slight chance that the money value falls so fast that stocks never crash.

I had Grok read some of my blog on hyperinflation and estimate the chances of getting 5% per month inflation
in the next 5 years and it said 25 to 35% chance ...

Asked Grok a question about the historical odds of the price of gold getting to 10,000 in a local currency within 2 years of reaching 5,000
and it said 76 out of 76, though this included 56 hyperinflation cases.

https://x.com/i/grok/share/bc28a9f51c794d0fb005c407f63e7992

Seems like 2 year call ...

Just checking in.

I bought some calls on GLD about 2 years back that were to expire this friday. Probably my best investment ever. I rolled them over into some that will expire in another 2 years. Still think my hyperiflation logic from howfiatdies.blogspot.com makes sense.

Still have and like ...

China unveils a powerful deep-sea cable cutter that could reset the world order


People might sink the ship after the first few cuts. It is a very mean thing to do.

When Anguilla's cable was cut by a careless yacht dragging their anchor, I got a used starlink from the island 6 miles away.
One ...

My expectation is that as the new dark age tightens its grip, Trump will be spending more and more of his time fighting the crisis or distraction du jour, whether it be the next financial crisis, pandemic, wildfire, measles outbreak, etc., etc., and any grand plans will fall by the wayside and be ...