Search found 57 matches

by Phong Tran
Thu Dec 07, 2023 12:29 pm
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: Generational Dynamics World View News
Replies: 13880
Views: 7686604

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

I know this is a fairly recent development so there might not be much information on it, but was wondering why Venezuela is looking at annexing Guyana territory (beyond just oil, minerals and resources). From a generational dynamics, is this related to the two countries themselves, that regional are...
by Phong Tran
Wed Jul 26, 2023 8:12 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Fourth Turning aligning with Elliott Wave Supercycle?
Replies: 39
Views: 76922

Re: Fourth Turning aligning with Elliott Wave Supercycle?

Definitely kt123, not sure about course123, but do find it strange his nickname ends with '123' as well. It's been quiet on the other thread so I'll just ramble on this one as I don't really have any definitive viewpoints on the markets, just possibilities. It's like a tug of war between real world ...
by Phong Tran
Sat Mar 25, 2023 6:39 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

I'm still around watching the markets though not really holding any positions at the moment. The large jump in Gold did surprise me, but for some reason, I'm expecting one more devastating deflationary collapse of everything (except inflation). Most people are pushing the SVB and bank bailouts as hu...
by Phong Tran
Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:32 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

Bulls will be looking at the inverse H&S on the SPX which if valid and they can push it would price target range back up to 4325 area - first they'll need to get past 4100. These bear market rallies will keep the masses asleep until the the real economy implodes, then there won't be anywhere to hide.
by Phong Tran
Sat Oct 29, 2022 8:11 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FgPBXcJXgAA3bFs?format=png&name=900x900 Institutional investors aren't really buying the rally while retailers are buying hoping that it's a bottom or investing long term because they've only seen markets going up in their lifetime. My timeline of a Nov-Dec rally was bas...
by Phong Tran
Sun Oct 23, 2022 5:37 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

Looks like a double bottom has formed on gold and is now rising, albeit early days? Perhaps the technical guys (Phong and Higg) could have a look and see if this is actually a double bottom? Roughly a month apart and coinciding with the option expiry If gold is forming a double bottom and this resu...
by Phong Tran
Fri Oct 21, 2022 7:17 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

Max pain for options expiry was at 375 for SPX. I didn't think they'd be able to pull it off, but just goes to show how manipulated the markets really are, they just slammed the dollar down to get the squeeze they needed. Still trying to figure out the elliott wave count, but the action doesn't real...
by Phong Tran
Sat Oct 08, 2022 8:11 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fei6pzxWAAAwDFW?format=jpg&name=large I'm keeping a very close eye on the wave structure. If wave 4 gets more complex and wave 5 extends below the current low of 1584, there could be a fractal pattern of truncated 5th wave structures in this current leg down. The red lin...
by Phong Tran
Fri Oct 07, 2022 3:23 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FefVj88X0AYYkcu?format=jpg&name=large Should be finishing the third wave either today or early Monday. If the timeframe and wave structure are generally in line, October 13 could be the 3rd of the 3rd wave kick off down just like the non farm payrolls was the kick off fo...
by Phong Tran
Fri Oct 07, 2022 11:32 am
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29822
Views: 15412159

Re: Financial topics

Phong, do you think commodity based stocks will survive, somewhat, next year if we move down generally in the markets over the next 2-3, or 2-8 years? Yes, initially, they will move down with the general downdraft, until commodities start to decouple from the DXY. Once that occurs, their growth wil...