Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Arkham '80 writes on on TFT wrt Tulip Mania: Based on recent reconstructions of the historical data, the tulip mania was not a speculative bubble, but a rational market response to legislated changes to tulip futures contracts, which transformed them into options. Links to the following: http://www....

So, if Obama can't stem the tide of America's downward turn, expect a third party (or two) to pick up the slack -- Libertarian and/or Green -- not the Republican Party. Either that, or a new government system. Agreed. I voted for Nader, but I kind of hope that Obama wins. It's the only way that peo...

If Obama is considered to be a *bad president* in four years, the Republican Party's prospects are still terrible. Obama and the Dems have locked in the youth vote overwhelmingly (in four years, there will be a lot more of voting age), and there is no impetus for this to change until the Republican ...

We've had this conversation before. The financial crisis timeline is different from the crisis war timeline. The two timelines do tend to reinforce each other, but they're still separate. Furthermore, the characteristics of the two timelines are very different. The crisis war timeline is highly reg...

John, I have some disagreement with you on the GenX - Boomer debate. Full disclosure, I am 40, so I consider myself an X'er (perhaps a cusper if you want). I have always been under the thumb of liberal boomers and their rather judgmental and unyielding approach to those who disagree with them. Howe...

Who is going to be the last president?

If a financial panic was a necessity, then the generational cycle could not continue without one. I don't see this as being the case. A financial panic is very likely since all the ingredients are in place, but the only thing inherent to the saeculum is some sort of panic/shock/whatever occurring in...

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/50e2255e-0025-11dc-8c98-000b5df10621.html?nclick_check=1 We think we know the story of "tulipmania": the 17th-century Dutch dropped fortunes on tulips, ruined their economy, even killed themselves over the bulbs. In short, tulipmania is remembered as the first market bubble...

I really wanted to post a web log article tonight, but with this cold, my mind is total mush. (Some would say my mind is ALWAYS total mush, but this time it's worse than usual.) Good night, everyone. John I'm going to make a stab here and take a wild guess: We're all screwed. :o But today we saw th...

From a web site reader: Buy of a lifetime???? Can you believe it, and '87 is the justification. CNBC, Buffett, pundits, analysts...one after another on all the media. Maximum ruin is very near now. Warren Buffett appears to have lost his mind completely. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/opinion/17...