Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Things are unraveling as we speak. The news items talking about USD losing reserve status is also either predictive programming, or "told you so" news.


I am not clear on what you are saying about USD? Two years ago the value of USD against a basket of glogal currencies was 90 (approx) and on ...

I had never heard of Jerome Powell before he took his current position back in '18. Most seem to believe he is as anxious to get back to easy money as they are. I can only hope he has gone along with things as they were for so long because he thought the economy could take one more for the team ...

Sunday, March 19, 2023 -- UBS buys Credit Suisse

UBS is buying out Credit Suisse.
According to Mohammed El-Arian, both
sides were forced into it by the Swiss
National Bank. About $17 billion in CS
bonds owned by investors have been wiped
out.

The future of CS First Boston is
uncertain.


Not ...

The Fed is hiking because inflation is still low, right John?

Cassandra, lol

Yes, I'm trolling you here a bit because when you nail the economic climate like I have and don't get any credit for it (me), it's pretty lame on a predictive site.

And yes, BTC will go to new ATHs within a year or two ...

Vince,
With respect to your recent post I am seeing a current 2023 S&P 500 chart similarity to the 2000 to 2003 bear market

There was a failed break in April of 2002 and then the index dropped another 27%

This observation may or may not be valid. Lets see

If USA goes into recession later in 2023 then 20% down from 4000 is a fair forecast i.e SP500 is circa 4000 less 20% = 3200
30% down is also easily possible
But this is not the generational dynamics prediction; their prediction is much, much lower when things really implode; P/E ratio below 10 ...

We look like we're breaking through that support level on the S&P downside, right on March 1. Look out.

Keep your eyes glued to 14 March CPI - very NB. If inflation looks beaten stocks could fly high. If not, and inflation is rising, market will assume more FED interest rate hikes and ...

You can look at USA economic indicators for yourself, but just to name a couple: GDP is rising again and unemployment is very low. These indicate a strong economy
When the US goes into recession the rest of the world also goes into recession. A recession means less economic activity and ...

In what way is it strong? Residual spending from the money printing in 2020? The future outlook and earnings are bad, and insolvencies will happen with greater rates, one way or another. The markets are forward looking, and is usual, they sell even if news is good, but the future earnings look bad ...

Yes, I have thought we were due for a crash for a long time, but ...



Here's a brief technical analysis view: The S&P 500 broke its year long down trend in January and then moved higher trying to capture 4200. It failed to do this and has fallen about 5% more recently. The year long down trend ...