Search found 127 matches

by Nathan G
Sun Nov 01, 2015 5:21 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29813
Views: 14765444

Re: Financial topics

Aedens makes many posts relating current events to "last times" in the Bible, and he may actually believe that "the world is coming to an end" in that sense. Higgenbotham does not believe the world is coming to an end. He relates current events to the horrific 1300s, with the Black Plague and the 1...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:52 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: Future generations
Replies: 0
Views: 4189

Future generations

This is my tentative timeline for generations in the future (in western civilization), subject to counter-interpretation of course. Crisis: 2003-2028 (War on Terror, financial collapse, political polarity, Crisis of 2020, people's revolutions, earthquakes, famines) Austerity: 2028-2044 (End of energ...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:39 pm
Forum: Finance and Investments
Topic: Financial topics
Replies: 29813
Views: 14765444

Re: Financial topics

You know, I only just realized recently that you people seem to actually believe the world is coming to an end via the coming generation crisis. That of course is ludicrous because of the very principal of the generation theory. The generation theory, and similar mathematical approaches to history, ...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:32 pm
Forum: Generations
Topic: mice and Humanity
Replies: 6
Views: 11348

Re: mice and Humanity

I have a running theory that some creatures that are 1) known to be intelligent and 2) known to be social have the potential to have their own generational theory. The best way to test that is with ants, whose generation is 25 days long and whose saeculum is 100 days long. According to John when I a...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:24 pm
Forum: Generations
Topic: Generation lengths
Replies: 21
Views: 94639

Re: Generation lengths

Shouldn't the crisis era always be in the fourth turning? That's basically what the entire premise of Strauss and Howe's theory was: a Crisis era every 80-100 years. I don't know why we assume crises are happening within 40-50 years, which are so close that most people who remember the previous cris...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:19 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: Generational Timelines for China
Replies: 5
Views: 7896

Re: Generational Timelines for China

I have been studying Chinese history for years, but have only recently turned to it from Generational Dynamics perspective. Unfortunately, crisis wars are hard to identify, as most of the attention goes to dynastic changes, whereas a lot of the frontier wars who are most likely crisis war candidate...
by Nathan G
Sat Oct 31, 2015 8:17 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: The Black Death
Replies: 4
Views: 7222

Re: The Black Death

I think this is a matter of cause vs effect. Peter Turchin described how Crisis eras in a culture could actually cause epidemics to happen. How? In an agricultural society, when there is a shortage of resources due to the crisis, more people are forced to travel between cities as beggars. As these p...
by Nathan G
Sat Nov 01, 2014 8:46 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: Book recomendation
Replies: 12
Views: 135522

Re: Book recomendation

In The Fourth Turning , Strauss and Howe used "winter" to refer to a Crisis period. Crisis periods come every 80 years, but no one is ever prepared for them because everyone who remembers the last crisis dies out. In American history, these crises have been in 1780 (The Revolution), 1860 (The Civil ...
by Nathan G
Mon Oct 27, 2014 6:17 pm
Forum: Politics, Culture, Music and the Media
Topic: Generational Political Warfare
Replies: 7
Views: 9816

Re: Generational Political Warfare

From my observations, generational divides are only political during an awakening (youth vs elders). During a crisis, different generations respond differently, but political and ideological differences can still split brother against brother. Examples of Boomer liberals: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden,...
by Nathan G
Mon Oct 06, 2014 12:14 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: Do other creatures have generational cycles?
Replies: 2
Views: 3193

Re: Do other creatures have generational cycles?

So I guess the experiment would go something like this: take two ant colonies and start a war between them. Then, carefully observe their societies after the climax of the conflict. Those born 1-25 days later would be "Prophet ants", those born 26-50 days later would be "Nomad ants", those born 51-7...