Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Let's not start this again. Cool, In general human beings are bad predictors of future events. Quite a lot of research was done last century on this and the conclusions were that more than 80% of political and economic experts weren't as accurate in predictions as a dart throwing chimp. Generationa...

Remains an interesting stock market. In the short term buyers now back firmly in control. Maybe a new record coming on the S&P 500

Fair enough. Thanks for the ideas. More than just ideas. A powerful and substantial theory that will be shown to be a reliable predictor of history. Given gold mistaken for lead Let's not start this again. Cool, In general human beings are bad predictors of future events. Quite a lot of research wa...

This may seem far-fetched to some people, but it wouldn't be the first time. Two very interesting charts you posted Higg. A knowledge of stock market history is very helpful to managing ones financial affairs. Here are two interesting crashes: After the mini crash of August 2007 the SP 500 made a h...

I have come round to Vince's way of thinking for 2022: The greatest issue is inflation. For 2021 the CPI was 7.0% and the PPI was an increase of 9.7% Using the TIPS versus Treasurys spread the financial markets currently expect CPI inflation for this year (2022) to be near to 3.5%. Further analysis ...

Wall Street Investor (Jeremy Grantham) warns of massive stock & real estate collapse The bulls walk up the stairs but the bears jump out of the window. S&P 500 down 3.4% as I write Market recovered but VERY volatile and nervous. The trend on gold whilst sideways for quite a long time is looking a b...

Wall Street Investor (Jeremy Grantham) warns of massive stock & real estate collapse 44,309 viewsJan 23, 2022 3.2K DISLIKE SHARE SAVE The Economic Ninja 162K subscribers https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=txa2luzM4DE The bulls walk up the stairs but the bears jump out of the window. S&P 500 down 3.4% ...

Yes, I agree Higgie, a very interesting market. The old traders expression "bulls walk up the stairs but the bears jump out the window" is mostly true, so I have a feeling that some fireworks might happen between end January and second week February. Lets see. If it does have a large draw down (gre...

Maybe people are now ready for crash. Fed plans to pivot faster than people expected. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3XRps1qEHI https://www.barrons.com/articles/fomc-fed-meeting-minutes-today-51641336039 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sizmtHfkOdE I don't think so! Six months ago on 6 July the S&...

What is wrong with deflation? What store puts out ads "20% higher prices this week, come in and buy while it lasts!" Don't people want lower prices? Tom, deflation results from economic recession / depression. We had a touch of delflation during the 2008 / 9 correction period, but the the last time...