Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Sometimes Generational Dynamics seems like it is what you say it is. For example, your claim that hyperinflation is impossible in a crisis era even though the US has had hyperinflation in 2 crisis eras already. Seems a bit dogmatic and not scientific. I don't know why I bother answering ANY of your...

I've pretty much given up on all of those guys. They consider Generational Dynamics to be an apostasy, as if The Fourth Turning were like the Koran, the inviolable word of Allah. The difference between a cult and a religion is if it can survive the passing of the leader. A religion is not dependent...

Now Vince, think about this. How does the public mood in America today differ from the public mood in 1920s Germany or 1970s America? Even if the U.S. government "printed" another $10 trillion, I don't think it would make any difference, while in the 1970s, or in 1920s Germany, it would have caused...

As for your statement about the 1930s, it proves that you're wrong, as it shows how the government will take whatever political steps it can to avoid hyperinflation. In today's political climate, there are numerous steps that will be taken before there will be any risk of hyperinflation. So there a...

jwfid wrote: I have for some time believed that the FDIC will be way in over its head as some point as the economic collapse continues.

I agree but expect that the government will bail them out, printing money as needed. But then I am the resident hyperinflationist...

If you like, there may be hyperinflation if the war devastates the United States, completely destroying the financial infrastructure in New York and Washington, causing loss of civil control across the country. However, that bears no resemblance to the Weimer hyperinflation, in a peace time unravel...

John, it seems very optimistic to think that two people saying, "there should be a rule that countries can not have deficits over 3%" will "kick the can to March". There is already such a rule. Perhaps these speeches will lift the market for a few days, but kick the can till March? No way. Now if th...

Once again, folks, a Weimar-like hyperinflation is absolutely impossible. I don't mean it's unlikely - I mean it's impossible. That was a generational unraveling era, and this is a generational crisis era. In the Revolutionary War crisis era and the Civil War crisis era America had hyperinflation. ...

And again, I must object to the idea that there is no feedback in the system. There is a great deal of feedback in the system, perhaps even too much. The government is indeed attempting to hold together the old financial regime, but this is already ending, even a jobs bill is meeting with great res...

I wouldn't be totally surprised to see a very quick and severe deflation that ends in late 2012 and then if the politics don't change for there to be serious inflation by the end of 2013. I don't think there ever has been or ever will be a severe deflation of a pure fiat currency. Back in the 1920s...