Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

If you really do believe that Bitcoin is going lower you could sell your current holdings and buy back at a lower price That would be a clever trick!! While I believe there will be a general panic/crash/waterfall and Bitcoin will go down, I also think that at any time Russia could be discovered to ...

When the 50 crosses down over the 100 it was bad the last two times (around 50% drop).

Biden is using up the strategic petroleum reserve to try to keep oil/gas prices down through midterms.
After that prices will go up, maybe by a lot. Already today Brent oil was $98.57
Keeping gas down was helping to keep CPI down.
If/when that reverses, the CPI numbers will get worse.

The TLT ETF (Treasuries Long Term) dropped 1.68% today. When bonds are paying 4% per year but can drop 1.68% in a day, you got to wonder about the risk/reward ratio.

I am not saying that you are wrong because you may be right that the politicians take control and make disasterous economic decisions. That will probably result in wars and John's generational forecasts will come to pass in a very serious way. I am hoping for better decision making Here is AOC sayi...

One of the debates is whether the Fed can fix it? I think you'll find the Western World committed to fixing matters, but what economic disasters can this bring? A global debt crisis with the world in another great depression? Early days yet so we watch and wait Imagine Powell gets to 8% or 12% inte...

Executives at leading hedge fund Elliott Management said we are on the path to hyperinflation.
I think the hyperinflation idea is getting less fringe every month.


https://archive.ph/QS84y

That was pretty much my opinion. I do not know if Bitcoin is the Next Big Thing. I do not know if it is the Scam of the Century. I have only an ECON 101 that is almost half a century old to help me decide. And I do not have a gambling personality. I don't think any known scam (defrauding investors)...

I suspect that the Fed has now realised that they have a stubborn inflation problem on their hands, and hence the hawkish tone after yesterdays FOMC meeting. But the market knows they have always dropped rates at any sign of trouble for the last 40 years, so the market does not really believe the F...

Cleveland Fed nowcast that the predicts CPI coming out this month and next will both be above 8%.
They have been under way more than over the last year.
There is no rapid drop back to 2% inflation.

https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators ... nowcasting