Financial topics

[Higgenbotham]

Kyle Bass asks Graham Allison what is the probability of war with China.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2012

[John]

Kyle Bass asks Graham Allison what is the probability of war with China.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2012

Weasel-word non-answer.

[Higgenbotham]

Kyle Bass asks Graham Allison what is the probability of war with China.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2012

Weasel-word non-answer.

Seems like he doesn't want to say. But if I recall right, much later he says there will likely be a series of uncontrollable events that involve other countries that will inadvertently and inexorably lead to war.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2630

[Higgenbotham]

My personal view remains that any further gains in the stock market will be zero to marginal at best.

This is why - from January 17, 2018:

Here's another opinion based on pattern that I got last night:

Unprecedented euphoria continues to inflate the markets to ever loftier levels. However, the technical and cyclical indicators suggest an imminent crash in stock prices. The leading scenario is that domestic stocks are in a blow-off resembling the 1980 platinum market top and the 1637 Tulip-mania peak. If the pattern repeats, then domestic stocks will reach their final top between January 22 and early February. After peaking, a monumental crash should develop – with stocks losing 50% or more of their current values in as little as two weeks.

I'm surprised nobody commented on this. The reason platinum, tulips and bitcoin could be pushed to such an astounding degree during the last days of their bubbles is because they are thinly traded markets. If 0.02% of available investment funds are in a thinly traded market, then increasing that is not a problem. There is no way stocks can be pushed in the same manner as these thinly traded bubbles unless the Fed were to counterfeit trillions and throw it into the stock market during the last days of the bubble.

A late January or early February top is possible. If so, my guess is that most of the gains for the year are in and the market will slowly bump its way higher over the next 1-2 weeks. Regarding that, it's kind of eerie this time around in that the big banks and the big Wall Street firms have all been pretty unanimous in saying 2750-2850 will top the market this year.

[John]

** 06-Jan-2020 World View: Blowout

> I'm surprised nobody commented on this. The reason platinum,
> tulips and bitcoin could be pushed to such an astounding degree
> during the last days of their bubbles is because they are thinly
> traded markets. If 0.02% of available investment funds are in a
> thinly traded market, then increasing that is not a problem. There
> is no way stocks can be pushed in the same manner as these thinly
> traded bubbles unless the Fed were to counterfeit trillions and
> throw it into the stock market during the last days of the
> bubble.

This is an interesting point -- that the size of a bubble is
correlated to the availability of investment funds.

> And I don't think it's far-fetched to think they will counterfeit
> trillions before they are forced to give up, as they collapse the
> world financial system and plunge the world headlong into a new
> dark age.

I just don't think that it will be the fed that causes the global
financial crisis. I think that China is far more likely.

In fact, if the Fed does as you're suggesting, then I believe that can
only happen after the financial collapse is already underway, so the
Fed might accelerate the collapse, but would not be the cause.

[aeden]

Kyle Bass asks Graham Allison what is the probability of war with China.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2012

Weasel-word non-answer.

Seems like he doesn't want to say. But if I recall right, much later he says there will likely be a series of uncontrollable events that involve other countries that will inadvertently and inexorably lead to war.

https://youtu.be/C8GfShiu72k?t=2630

https://twitter.com/TomtheBasedCat/stat ... 2612538370

infested -- https://rightwingnews.com/history/expos ... oviet-spy/

good luck

keep your powder dry

we are in the process of sustaining everything is normal retards

Side note.

Joe Manchin, Kyrsten Sinema and even Tulsi Gabbard are smart enough to read these tea leaves and try to create a new Democratic Party.

Your banana will be missing.

I’m on entrepreneurial venture number 7 now and this one is starting to reap returns. tyler

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2u007Msq1qo no decision all ai old news

https://www.thesouthafrican.com/news/wo ... eath-toll/

Netanyahu backs away from Soleimani assassination, warns ministers to ‘stay out’ of purely ‘American event’

"Once we squeeze all we can out of the United States, it can dry up and blow away."
https://external-preview.redd.it/77S8aw ... 3d235d312a

It would be nice if we could avoid entanglements as George asked us to do.
The world is full of normal pricks who cannot fathom borders and fair trade.

[aeden]

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=iran+water+su ... ave&ia=web
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is the most lethal by product of water mismanagement
and as we alluded to will be the demise of Iran proper. I have no malice to people trying to survive issues we cannot fix.

The whispers all end in three days for carbon based units.
It means we will see what the Owner of the garden takes.
Obviously we have seen locally what has been done to us in regards
to quality and sticky wages for proxy border wars also.
What baffles locally us also is the issue that a few crackers get castigated
for Our States water problems when the Blues actually mismanaged these hell holes
into existence.
Going to a public forum was bad enough when we had to address budgeting facts.
As we said point blank sideways if we are lucky with the current looting processes
and procedures.
For now the issue of what gives has been decided as debt just like filth covers the land
of Triffins entangled useful and cheerful idiots.
That seal in forehead is real.

Washington then offered his final counsel to the people as their president. He stressed the importance of the Union that bonded all Americans together and provided for their freedom and prosperity. He reminded them that the “independence and liberty” the nation currently enjoyed was the result of the “common dangers, sufferings, and successes” they had experienced together in the American Revolution and early years of the republic. To safeguard their hard-won system of republican government in a federal union, the country had to remain united.

He cautioned against three interrelated dangers that threatened to destroy the Union: regionalism, partisanship, and foreign entanglements. He warned his countrymen not to let regional loyalties overwhelm national attachments: “The name of American…must always exalt the just pride of patriotism more than any appellation derived from local discriminations.” At this time, many Americans primarily identified with their state or region, but Washington reminded the citizenry not to allow such attachments to divide them, lest “designing men” convince them that differing local interests made the Union unworkable or unnecessary.

The greatest danger to the Union, though, stemmed from the combination of factionalism and external invasion. Washington explained that partisanship “open[ed] the door to foreign influence and corruption” because it weakened voters’ abilities to make reasoned and disinterested choices. Rather than choosing the best men for office, the people would base decisions on “ill-founded jealousies and false alarms,” and so elect those in league with foreign conspirators. To avoid outside interference, Washington advocated a foreign policy based on neutrality and friendly commercial relations with all.

We only mentioned fair trade but that is to complicated for many so called normal to grasp.
You open border idiots cannot pay for today either. They can get in line and yes we consider things may not been all good
as the locusts showed up last time either. When you want something for nothing one thing always follows.
The pale Horse riders. Mr and Mrs Normaleverywhere are tired of so called intelligence.

[aeden]

Goodbye NY, CA, IL, MA
Hello FL, TX, AZ, NC, SC

Tax is theft and yes my old boss got a $5000.00 raise when he moved after we chided him for thinking.

[aeden]

https://www.deseret.com/2001/2/14/19781 ... y-of-death

But should we believe them?

No they do not deserve it.

Those who are interested in getting involved in this and other issues important to community health can learn more through the Master of Public Health online degree at the Keck School of Medicine of USC.
This program explores the world of public health and how professionals can best respond to issues similar to what happened in Flint.

Flint is just the tip of the spear to conditions and lies.

Locally it was conveyed if you cannot help shut up from the top down talking heads.

An outbreak of Legionnaires' disease that killed 12 people and sickened at least 87 in Flint, Mich.,
in 2014 and 2015 was caused by low chlorine levels in the municipal water system, scientists have confirmed.

I talked to health care as we track the Asian to Australian to west coast pathogens.
Get informed and yes this year I got the flu shot. I got very sick a month later.
Locally the services are overwhelmed but what do we know. They are dropping by the thousands.
I feel lucky the shot worked as indicated knowing the inside facts to outside lack of any damn clue.
No we not respect any one under 120 years old and damn less than that called agency's for now.

6,400,000 – 9,100,000 flu illnesses est.
We will leave as a regional demographic effect for now.

[richard5za]

World stock markets seem to have largely shrugged off the bombing of the Iranian general.

Its the momentum I suspect. The market momentum is stronger than any logic. I thought we might have reached the peak but apparently not.