Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
richard5za
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Re: Financial topics

Post by richard5za »

Vince, you are the keeper of knowledge with respect to inflation, do you have a chart showing real interest rates on 10 year US Treasuries. I suspect it might currently be somewhere around -4% maybe more. That would explain quite a lot!

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

Inflation in eurozone soars to 4.9% – highest since euro was introduced

The European Central Bank president, Christine Lagarde, says inflationary pressure will probably begin to wane in 2022

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... -on-record

Lagarde loves money printing. Probably the Euro is doomed like the dollar.

"The lady ain't tapering" Christine Lagarde
Last edited by vincecate on Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:02 am, edited 1 time in total.

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

richard5za wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:58 am
Vince, you are the keeper of knowledge with respect to inflation, do you have a chart showing real interest rates on 10 year US Treasuries. I suspect it might currently be somewhere around -4% maybe more. That would explain quite a lot!
Basically how far the green line is below zero tells you how profitable and non-inflationary the Fed is. If the green line is near zero or above, they are just asking for inflation.

http://howfiatdies.blogspot.com/2021/07 ... ation.html

Cool Breeze
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Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Cool Breeze »

vincecate wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:16 pm
Sen. John Kennedy says people forecasting inflation with Fed Chair Jerome Powell have the same credibility as Late-Night Psychic Hotlines

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLX3zdg5sRk
That guy is good. Haha!

aeden
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Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inli ... k=_gjlmKHx

Bears had there chance. Dead cats will be stinking up the place.

Support levels will tell us more than sentiment.

I will give you the pivot into the year Vin. I feel the Bears are going to be destoyed.
Our lines are holding through some of most severe head winds.

Hard times will pass as we navigated the worst of it already. Mind you I am no Bull. We eat them also.

We will see if we can rotate some more acres for more trefoil.

We will survive. We trade above the margin to thinking souls.
We plan years ahead for such times.

There is only one Capstone and we know Who He is.

Bring your best Angel we going to fight for those we Love and others we respect only.

thread: 49xx, amos, anderson

search.php?keywords=trefoil&t=2&sf=msgonly
search.php?keywords=Lotus+corniculatus+&t=2&sf=msgonly

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GaZnrm-MfxA
Last edited by aeden on Thu Dec 02, 2021 2:49 pm, edited 2 times in total.

richard5za
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Re: Financial topics

Post by richard5za »

USA markets are looking weak, but my hunch is that its not yet the beginnings of a substantail correction this side of Christmas.
My feeling for S&P 500 is either a decline to 4300 and bounce off, or if better news circulates the market a rise to 4700 and bounce off. January could be quite different

richard5za
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 10:29 am
Location: South Africa

Inflation

Post by richard5za »

vincecate wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:59 am
Inflation in eurozone soars to 4.9% – highest since euro was introduced

The European Central Bank president, Christine Lagarde, says inflationary pressure will probably begin to wane in 2022

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... -on-record

Lagarde loves money printing. Probably the Euro is doomed like the dollar.

"The lady ain't tapering" Christine Lagarde
Vince, there is one reason that I am not convinved that above 3.5% inflation is entrended and that is the gold price. The gold price is accoding to the Gold Observer usually the best prediction of high inflation to come. Have a look at Part 1 of the article on gold using the URL you published.
This is the link: https://thegoldobserver.substack.com/p/ ... bal-equity
The article is "What drives the God Price Part 1"

vincecate
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Re: Inflation

Post by vincecate »

richard5za wrote:
Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:19 am
Vince, there is one reason that I am not convinved that above 3.5% inflation is entrended and that is the gold price. The gold price is accoding to the Gold Observer usually the best prediction of high inflation to come.
I like gold, but expect that it will crash when the stock market crashes. After that I will get more. If people still think that "The Fed has the tools to fight inflation" and expect that they will, gold is not ready to launch. I suspect other gold investors may be thinking the same way. If you understand inflation will make P/E ratios for the stock market go way down, that is the most dramatic play now. Gold will come later. At some point everyone will be trying to sell bonds and the Fed will claim "the market is broken and we have to step in". But the faster the Fed prints money and buys bonds more people will understand that holding bonds is stupid and so they sell. This will spiral out of control. That is when gold really shoots up. But for now people still have confidence in the Fed (even though they now more or less admit they were wrong about inflation).

vincecate
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Re: Financial topics

Post by vincecate »

CEOs and insiders sell a record $69 billion of their stock, and the year isn’t over yet

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/01/ceos-an ... stock.html

Cool Breeze
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Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Inflation

Post by Cool Breeze »

richard5za wrote:
Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:19 am
vincecate wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:59 am
Inflation in eurozone soars to 4.9% – highest since euro was introduced

The European Central Bank president, Christine Lagarde, says inflationary pressure will probably begin to wane in 2022

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... -on-record

Lagarde loves money printing. Probably the Euro is doomed like the dollar.

"The lady ain't tapering" Christine Lagarde
Vince, there is one reason that I am not convinved that above 3.5% inflation is entrended and that is the gold price. The gold price is accoding to the Gold Observer usually the best prediction of high inflation to come. Have a look at Part 1 of the article on gold using the URL you published.
This is the link: https://thegoldobserver.substack.com/p/ ... bal-equity
The article is "What drives the God Price Part 1"
What happened in the last two years when uncertainty, Fed crazy behavior, and global supply chains with progressive inflation occured? Gold did nothing. Why? People realize that it's a store of value but a manipulated market with many issues (carrying costs, etc). What did they go into? Bitcoin and other crypto assets. Think of it, why did the S&P go up 34% and gold go down? It's a new age and old fools holding controlled gold are fossils. Inflation did not help gold. Can gold still hold some value? Yes.

But BTC will surface as the most pristine asset, and that it is. We already have the proof.

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