Financial topics

Investments, gold, currencies, surviving after a financial meltdown
aeden
Posts: 12353
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/obscen ... ical-risks

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Go51RJOKGJw

thread: ankara

Part of the asymmetric ascendancy applications.

thread: dan, amos, ankara
neutralized

notes: ankara
Duration of Saros 129 = 1262.11 Years

Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

The market has received some certainty on trade and easy money.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetary ... trends.htm

Now the rally to the SPX 3100 area that the bulls have been calling for over the past 5 months has the actual impetus to materialize. Whether it will or not, I don't know.

We are in uncharted waters here because so far as I know the Fed has never taken "extraordinary" measures at the peak of a bull market. So far as I know, they have cut interest rates near a peak but haven't done balance sheet expansion near a peak.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

I just sold this overnight pop but am taking it day by day at this point.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

jcsok
Posts: 134
Joined: Sat Nov 08, 2008 6:51 am

Re: Financial topics

Post by jcsok »

I'm waiting for a blow off top. Bull markets climb a wall of worry, and this bull has been climbing for ten years. The sell offs have been vicious; the final sell off that really ushers in the true bear market will be mind blowing, which is what you, Hig, will be positioned for. But I am unable to be short until we get a euphoric rally that makes sharply new highs, for consecutive days in a row. In the last 10 years, the new highs are a grind, grind, grind. No sharp new highs for several days. Therefore, I just can't sell this pig.

Maybe the blow off comes as a culmination of Trump's impeachment trial ending in Trump being vindicated by the Senate, his re-election chances soaring, forcing China into a REAL trade deal, all of which would make the bears puke and send the market sharply higher. McConnell wants a trial over by Christmas. So I'm looking for a blow off into January. Now I will resume my Ostrich position with head in the sand.

John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Financial topics

Post by John »

** 17-Oct-2019 How the market will 'blow off'
jcsok wrote: > I'm waiting for a blow off top. Bull markets climb a wall of
> worry, and this bull has been climbing for ten years. The sell
> offs have been vicious; the final sell off that really ushers in
> the true bear market will be mind blowing, which is what you, Hig,
> will be positioned for. But I am unable to be short until we get a
> euphoric rally that makes sharply new highs, for consecutive days
> in a row. In the last 10 years, the new highs are a grind, grind,
> grind. No sharp new highs for several days. Therefore, I just
> can't sell this pig.

> Maybe the blow off comes as a culmination of Trump's impeachment
> trial ending in Trump being vindicated by the Senate, his
> re-election chances soaring, forcing China into a REAL trade deal,
> all of which would make the bears puke and send the market sharply
> higher. McConnell wants a trial over by Christmas. So I'm looking
> for a blow off into January. Now I will resume my Ostrich position
> with head in the sand.
My personal opinion and expectation is that the "blow-off" will come
from an exogenous event.

The US economy seems solid enough, despite the stock market bubble
(though I suppose the same was being said on September 1, 1929).

But other economies -- Europe, China, etc. -- are not as solid.
In fact, the world economy is slowing.

** IMF says global economy to grow at slowest pace since 2008
** financial crisis -- Published: Oct 16, 2019 8:22 a.m.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/imf-s ... 2019-10-15

Furthermore, there are several potentially explosive geopolitical
situations -- Hong Kong and Kashmir are at the top of that list.

We had a very interesting event in the last couple of weeks that shows
how quickly things can change. Houston Rockets General Manager Daryl
Morey posted a tweet supporting the pro-democracy protesters in Hong
Kong, and within two weeks it turned into a major international crisis
for the NBA and for LeBron James.

This shows how quickly simple events can escalate. This is literally
how world wars have begun, not to mention financial panics.

So in my opinion, the "blow-up" will be related to global geopolitics,
not to Washington politics.

Higgenbotham
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Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by Higgenbotham »

I don't have any great insight but, in my opinion, the blowoff happened in the year 2000 along with the end of the bull market, and everything since has been a bear market rally on a sea of liquidity (QE, stock buybacks, HFT, with little public participation) more similar to the bear market rebounds of 1930 and 1937 except that the sea of liquidity sent our market to new highs in 2007 and at the present.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

aeden
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Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

"Tell us," they said, "when will this happen, and what will be the sign of your coming and of the end of the age?"
Jesus answered: "Watch out that no one deceives you.


https://www.zerohedge.com/political/its ... den-camera
http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

Pushback includes its to hot.
Pretext was slander.

What shall we conclude then? Do we have any advantage? Not at all!
For we have already made the charge that Jews and Gentiles alike are all under the power of sin.

As it is written:
“There is no one righteous, not even one;
there is no one who understands;
there is no one who seeks God.
All have turned away,
they have together become worthless;
there is no one who does good,
not even one.”

My point is one looked another way and that is on those hands who shed innocent life.
I find the point power is the ability not to use it so trust the one who it was given to from above.
That price was paid for us under the covenant we are still in until judgement.
We defended the helpless. We defend the decision the Office just made.

It was already written we are under a new covenant.
Those brave souls who lost this life for the next we call middle east Christians
and as we tried to save a few Yazidi is the testimony to truth.
As it was noted they will splash blood.
We will offer the true water of life.
I will not defend the current uniparty attacks on the Office.
They serve things we cannot defend or should be taxed unto.

I stick my date as such when this window ends. That is my conveyance only.
We know whats coming and yes those who conveyed a letter was added to them alone.
That is the only thing that will matter of who is that you serve.

http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?ke ... sf=msgonly

aeden
Posts: 12353
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

I may not know a lot about Pre Chavez Venezualian history, but this I do know.

Ho Chi Minh based the North Vietnamese Constitution on the US Constitution.
He wrote Truman several times, pledging friendship with the United States

We know also know what bent of mind Moa sent in first as Human waves.

The war in Vietnam was a Nationalist uprising, less so Communist.

The dual passports have no problem sending you.

aeden
Posts: 12353
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Financial topics

Post by aeden »

Yet, the Attorney General noted, the country is now engulfed by a different kind of religion: A militant secularism
“not content to leave religious people alone,” but which takes “delight in compelling people to violate their consciences.”

jcsok
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Joined: Sat Nov 08, 2008 6:51 am

Re: Financial topics

Post by jcsok »


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