Has your spread increased.
Aporia has claimed another in confirmation bias.
It puts them in to the Dent coin toss virtue signalers cult.
Book four increase on peaks only.
Did I get hurt on the sigma three move. No.
I do not need to do anything for the rest of the year but
be patient.
The credit cycle already peaked and history tell us
after that on MA contagions.
38.7% Stocks 10.5% Bonds 50.8% Short-term reserves
Empirical Rule :
1. At 68 % the rule is = (Mean - std) and (Mean + std)
2. At 95% the rule is = (Mean - 2 × std) and (Mean + 2 × std)
3. At 97.7% the rule is = (Mean - 3 × std) and (Mean + 3 × std)
Goals will drive metric selection.
Metrics should be tested on four dimensions: Relevant, Adequate, Sensitive, and Valid.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i0iL0ixoZYo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcEWRykSgwE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPgSarj9LKQ causes
Currently less is more since model is currently .9090 accurate for me. model
Actual risk based loss for october .9909 actual %
I lost money in october which given the climate i feel lucky.
Given projection as hedged I should be up and ok.
less is more for clarity
You Americans are so gullible. No, you won’t accept communism outright, but we’ll keep feeding you small doses of socialism until you’ll finally wake up and find you already have communism. We won’t have to fight you. We’ll so weaken your economy until you’ll fall like overripe fruit into our hands.’ — Ezra Taft Benson Speech, 1966