Fourth Turning aligning with Elliott Wave Supercycle?

[course123]

I suspect the wave 2 of III will be from November to December to close the year as DXY weakness pushes up the market, mid-term election hopes, the slowing down of interest rate hikes by the Fed could feed some hope that they may be forced to pivot sooner, and as the economy gets worse, bad news will be good news again, again providing the misguided belief of a pivot sooner.

[kt123]

The Fourth Turning is a generational theory developed by William Strauss and Neil Howe, which suggests that history follows a cyclical pattern of recurring generational archetypes and predictable societal changes. It divides history into four turnings, each lasting approximately 20-25 years, characterized by different social, cultural, and political dynamics.

[John]

The Fourth Turning is a generational theory developed by William Strauss and Neil Howe, which suggests that history follows a cyclical pattern of recurring generational archetypes and predictable societal changes. It divides history into four turnings, each lasting approximately 20-25 years, characterized by different social, cultural, and political dynamics.

Both this post and the previous one "sound like" a chatbot.

[Phong Tran]

Definitely kt123, not sure about course123, but do find it strange his nickname ends with '123' as well.

It's been quiet on the other thread so I'll just ramble on this one as I don't really have any definitive viewpoints on the markets, just possibilities. It's like a tug of war between real world economic forces and the confidence game that the government is playing for their 'soft landing'. They even have me thinking they might just be able to pull it off. But as the philosopher Descartes does in one of his discourses, he returns to first principles, which comes the well known phrase "I think, therefore I am". In that regard, forgetting about whether markets are going to make all time highs because of the election next year, or because of a fed pivot, I think the real question is, where is the US Dollar index headed.

BRICs and a multi-polar world seem to signal the decline of the US Empire as it's structures decay from within and it's envious neighbors wait for their opportunity to rise on its ashes. Either the US Government is unaware of the truth or they hope enough of the public won't realize the truth before it's too late. If the US Government stats such as inflation and unemployment are doctored and yet the federal reserve use those metrics to dictate interest rate policy, are they just using those incorrect stats as an excuse to keep on raising rates to usher in a lower standard of living, knowing full well that the country's path is irreversible. When we hear that another country's interest rate is 35% or higher, we rarely bat an eye because we also know that their inflation is probably at 50% or higher as well. Is that the path to servitude? Will the western countries gradually lock step their interest rates into double digits as their currencies fail and a global sovereign debt crisis is one of the significant markers of this fourth turning?

But until then, how does it all get dragged out? I've been thinking that a lot of the boomer generation have cash/assets while a lot of the newer generation have assets/debt. Steal from one to give to the other and government is the force that applies the distribution. Everyone gets poorer but the have not's and the will not's have nothing to lose and nothing to work towards so they don't care if the middle class has to come down to their level, in fact they'll almost demand it. And therefore can one be surprised by the social decay, lack of cohesion and nihilism that we see creeping into the fabric of western culture and society.

[Cool Breeze]

Depopulation is the plan, as they know the debt game is running out and that's why the covid nonsense with the real health issue, the jab, was put forth. In October we'll get the first massive moves downward.

[Higgenbotham]

It is interesting that Higgy said

This hasn't happened yet, but if 14th Century timelines continue to hold, permanent population depletion will happen (in the US) within 5 years and maybe 10 at the outside. It's already happened in the former Soviet Union.

In 2011. It is now 10 years later and the population depletion isn't anywhere close. It may pick up if the WEF continues its grand conspiracies with vaccines, plandemics, and the coming cyber polygon, but it's curious that we have yet another example of a decade prediction going nowhere.

[aeden]

Commienomics is in collapse just as Bidenese thieves and the increase of ecomaniacs lies will also.
Hubris is always punished. The uniparty has destroyed more than they can ever lie cheat steal attest to
as the locust take wing. What they do not understand this was the early birth pang.
The reason they stopped insurance is simple. A 25 unit rental family owned quality building will be fined
500000 dollar as the base flees for there very lives now as the local parasites gov locust take them out eating them alive out not renting.
Impossible to find tenants as the wise are gone as the tranqfent and open border imported crime warfare will and have taken out everything else.
No one can rent as traqfent zombies and illegals and structural inflation has eliminated everything that did think that ran for there very lives.
As we has seen in 2008 they torched on there way out. As we reported when Detroit collapsed the others areas seen what was flushed in as
they put it. It never recovered it just survived its fools and still the only thing up is morning is toe tags.

[Cool Breeze]

It is interesting that Higgy said

This hasn't happened yet, but if 14th Century timelines continue to hold, permanent population depletion will happen (in the US) within 5 years and maybe 10 at the outside. It's already happened in the former Soviet Union.

In 2011. It is now 10 years later and the population depletion isn't anywhere close. It may pick up if the WEF continues its grand conspiracies with vaccines, plandemics, and the coming cyber polygon, but it's curious that we have yet another example of a decade prediction going nowhere.

When is "early" wrong? That's a common and legit question in the finance/markets game too.

[Higgenbotham]

Population depletion of the white race in America was happening right in front of you when you posted that. In 2021. And you should know the government numbers are fudged. If you don't know this, time to wake up.

In 2015, for the first time, there were more white deaths in the U.S. than white births.

https://liberalarts.tamu.edu/blog/2019/ ... r-forever/

Even the official government numbers showed my prediction to be correct and right on schedule. Unless you want to count all the illegals and their offspring.

[Cool Breeze]

What's your point though? We already know that is happening, in fact, that's the government agenda. What will also happen is tons of people dying world wide, which is also your thesis. The more important question is where the quality goes. The last 80 years has produced a lot, and that includes a lot of dysgenics and welfare.