Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Posted: Mon Oct 12, 2020 9:25 pm
Generational theory, international history and current events
https://www.gdxforum.com/forum/
While you are most likely correct, the bigger issue if you want to focus on any given amendment, is the 19th amendment. There would barely ever be a Democrat president ever elected, let alone state legislatures, if not for this amendment.Navigator wrote: ↑Thu Oct 08, 2020 1:53 pmBTW, without the 17th amendment, I figured there would have been close to 70 republican senators (due to that many states with republican controlled legislatures) during the early part of Trump's presidency. With such a number, they could have completely changed the current legal system by wholesale impeachment of federal judges trying to "legislate from the bench".
I've had a hard time trying to "read" the Korean people. They likeWarren Dew wrote: > John, I wonder what your thoughts are on this little tiff between
> South Korea and the US:
> https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation ... 97513.html
> Considering that political alignments can change rapidly in a
> crisis period, what does Generational Dynamics say about the
> natural alignments in this region?
Yes, it would.
I agree. But with Russia in a crisis era, the chances of its leadership listening to the advice of such a nutter are pretty high.
I personally believe that South Korea is a wild card for the upcoming world war, depending on how long China waits before launching its opening assaults. If China waits long enough to give Japan time to re-arm itself, and Japan does re-arm itself, then there's a good chance that South Korea will end its alliances with both Japan and the US, and look to China for protection instead. Should this happen, we would likely see a re-united Korea that is firmly in the pro-China camp (although it would probably be ruled by a "unity" regime that is far more competent than the Kim regime).John wrote: ↑Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:02 pm** 13-Oct-2020 World View: Korean alignments
I've had a hard time trying to "read" the Korean people. They likeWarren Dew wrote: > John, I wonder what your thoughts are on this little tiff between
> South Korea and the US:
> https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation ... 97513.html
> Considering that political alignments can change rapidly in a
> crisis period, what does Generational Dynamics say about the
> natural alignments in this region?
Americans (doesn't everyone?), they're forced to ally with the
Japanese even though they hate the Japanese, and they hate the Chinese
(doesn't everyone?), but their comfort zone is total vassal dependency
on China.
On top of that, the country is split in two, and the North Koreans are
actively preparing to invade the South at a time of their choosing.
The South Koreans like Americans, but don't like the fact that they
depend on America for defense. They particularly dislike it when an
American official tells them what to do, which is the sort of thing
that American officials do all the time.
My guess is that the outburst by Korean Ambassador Lee Soo-hyuck was a
response to some American comments on how the South Koreans should
change their policies. That could really piss them off.
Is this the "October surprise" that navigator warned us about?Guest wrote: ↑Wed Oct 14, 2020 7:51 pmhttps://www.washingtonexaminer.com/poli ... e-invasion
Didn't see this until today. Both Navigator and a user named Trevor have given their opinions on how an invasion of Taiwan may proceed. Would the addition of these (and possibly many more) weapons systems change any of those calculations?
It remains a David vs. Goliath situation, but can this porcupine strategy at least buy them enough time for the US or possibly more local allies to mobilize an assist?