Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
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Tom Mazanec
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

He is the guy behind Shadowstats:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shadowstats.com
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

John
Posts: 11479
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 30-Jan-2021 World View: Shadowstats

http://www.shadowstats.com/

For a mere $175 per year, you too can learn why hyperinflation
is just around the corner.

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Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4180
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Let's see what the long term trend is.
https://westegg.com/inflation/
1800-1810 -7.9%
1810-1820 -10.7%
1820-1830 -23.8%
1830-1840 -6.4%
1840-1850 -16.6%
1850-1860 +8.0%
1860-1870 +40.8%
1870-1880 -23.7%
1880-1890 -6.9%
1890-1900 -7.4%
1900-1910 +11.9%
1910-1920 +114.2%
1920-1930 -16.6%
1930-1940 -15.9%
1940-1950 +71.7%
1950-1960 +23.1%
1960-1970 +31.1%
1970-1980 +112.6%
1980-1990 +58.6%
1990-2000 +31.4%
2000-2010 +25.3%
2010-2020 +22.0%

Also note, this calculator is a little confusing. It outputs like this:
What cost $100 in 1830 would cost $93.61 in 1840.
Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 1840 and 1830,
they would cost you $100 and $100.10 respectively.
Which is contradictory...6.4% vs 0.1% difference. I used the first totals.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Deflation

Post by Cool Breeze »

Navigator wrote:
Fri Jan 29, 2021 11:09 pm
Here is a very good interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt, a widely respected economist, on Deflation.

https://www.macrovoices.com/podcast-tra ... rinflation

He points out that all of the Government bailouts and interventions are Debt Based, and drag us further down into Deflation.

The Fed could only create inflation/hyper inflation if its charter is completely changed. The banks will prevent this from happening so long as they have political power (this is because hyperinflation would eliminate all debt and destroy the banks). And right now the banks have a LOT of power.

Biden was in the senate from 1973 until he became Obama's vice president. He was a senator from Delaware. Banks and Credit Card companies run Delaware. You don't stay in office in Delaware unless you kowtow to the Banks.

We can think that Biden is pro-CCP Chinese, but we KNOW that he is in league with the Banks and has been for a very very long time.
Good post. The problem is that boomers still believe in this "rule of law" concept that doesn't actually exist any longer. The charter will be changed (even if via the proper channels), one way or another --- there are workarounds. Like all of the other unconstitutional things that have been done, and subsequently ignored, by the SCOTUS in just the past year.

Cool Breeze
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Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

John wrote:
Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:53 am
** 30-Jan-2021 World View: Shadowstats

http://www.shadowstats.com/

For a mere $175 per year, you too can learn why hyperinflation
is just around the corner.
:lol:

Great stuff here, John. So true, thus deserving of a laugh.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7436
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Deflation

Post by Higgenbotham »

Navigator wrote:
Fri Jan 29, 2021 11:09 pm
Here is a very good interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt, a widely respected economist, on Deflation.

https://www.macrovoices.com/podcast-tra ... rinflation

He points out that all of the Government bailouts and interventions are Debt Based, and drag us further down into Deflation.

The Fed could only create inflation/hyper inflation if its charter is completely changed. The banks will prevent this from happening so long as they have political power (this is because hyperinflation would eliminate all debt and destroy the banks). And right now the banks have a LOT of power.
I don't agree with him entirely. Here's what he says:
Erik: Dr. Hunt, you make excellent points. But I want to push back just a little bit because the Federal Reserve Act is very, very clear in that it says that the Federal Reserve can only buy debt securities which are backed by the US government agency securities.

And, very recently, they literally reinterpreted that to say, well, if we put this little special-purpose vehicle in between and pretend that the Treasury is a party to this transaction, we can call junk bonds – literally junk bonds, the ETF full of junk bonds – sort of kind of a government security. And we’ll use the Federal Reserve to literally bail out the junk bond market. Which has happened.

So it seems to me like we’re in a political climate where, I don’t know what you want to call it, a loose interpretation of the Federal Reserve Act by regulators is being tolerated. Nobody is questioning that in court now.

So isn’t it true that they are effectively spending money to bail out the junk bond market and just kind of pretending that junk bonds are government bonds because they’ve created this little special-purpose vehicle mechanism, which to me seems like they’re just trying to undermine the intention of the law?

Dr. Hunt: Well, they are providing liquidity financing to debt that has already been issued. They are not providing additional funds for new debt.

Now, the fact of the matter that they are stretching the Federal Reserve law does not change the fact that this does not constitute money printing.
Higgenbotham wrote:
Sat Jun 06, 2020 2:59 pm
I've often stated that the Fed counterfeits money. At the same time, you will hear conventional analysts say that the Fed (just buys) debt. Why the difference?

The difference comes in with regard to what the Fed is buying. If the Fed is buying short term t-bills or the most pristine corporate debt, that would not qualify as counterfeiting in my opinion. But that's not what the Fed is doing, at least not exclusively. If the Fed is buying corporate junk bonds, as they have been doing, without the Fed in the market that debt may be worth pennies on the dollar or may be worthless. If the Fed is buying that debt for more than what that same debt would sell for on the free market in the absence of the Fed's existence, the Fed is in fact counterfeiting money to buy that debt, in my opinion.

My analogy would be if you have a closet full of lightly worn clothing from the 80s that you can't sell on Ebay for more than about a buck or two apiece but the Fed comes along and offers you new department store prices for all of that old clothing, pays you for it, and puts it on their balance sheet for the price they paid, have they counterfeited money?
A little more about the above.

He (Lacy Hunt) says "they are providing liquidity financing". If that's the case, when the Fed provided so-called "liquidity financing" in 2008, they should have been able to easily reverse the process once the crisis was over. They couldn't do that, though, without starting a meltdown even though, by all appearances, the crisis may have been over. They gave it a shot and it didn't work. That's because "liquidity financing" was most likely not what they provided. They provided "solvency financing" and that's what they continue to do.

If the corporate junk debt market goes no bid because there are no buyers and the Fed steps in and it is called "liquidity financing" how do you really know? Did the junk debt market go no bid because there wasn't enough liquidity to buy it or because buyers realized that the debt of these zombie companies is really worthless or at least worth a lot less because they can't cover their interest payments and never will be able to without additional support from the Fed?
Last edited by Higgenbotham on Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:43 pm, edited 2 times in total.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

A revised "Mackinder vs. Brzezinski" map set. Multiple errors regarding which countries border the "Heartland" countries have been corrected.

Image

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Deflation

Post by Cool Breeze »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:54 pm
They provided "solvency financing" and that's what they continue to do.
That's exactly right. The big picture is that they exchange solvency in a given sector (which will continue to increase in application since there are so many insolvent entities and sectors out there), in the meanwhile, for a worse balance sheet. That's why it's not quite counterfeiting - there is a cost to the balance sheet. But notice it's a "public good" type endeavor.

Keep the ball rolling so that we can play pretend longer and make the boomers dream not die, at least not just yet. Hunt is a boomer or older himself that doesn't want to make waves, so he slow plays or distracts when the BS is going on. Like all the old generation, or nearly all, they don't want their "retirement" and standard of living flopping so they'll do whatever it takes to divert your attention from the fraudulent activity and explanations.

Hunt is very smart, but it doesnt' take that much intelligence to read between the lines (like E Townsend did) and know when LH is trapped. I noticed one more thing - Hung will never make any prediction because he knows too many people who are in the loop and are FOS. He's old anyway, why would he want to make waves? Another proof that the truth would bring suffering that most don't want to bother with.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Want to hammer the Plutocracy even more? Here's a list to help you play the new game "Crush the Plutocrats" and "Terrify the Political Class"

How would Lil' Jeffie Bezos feel if 25,000,000 Americans cancelled Prime tomorrow morning? About $4.0 billion less valuable.

1. Cancel cable, Direct TV and Dish. Today. Keep the internet. Save $800+/- per year. Hit them in the pocketbook. Do not support them with your money. Dump You Tube and use Rumble, Daily Motion or Vimeo.
2. Cancel and delete your accounts for Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Amazon Prime. Go anonymous. Since Playstore and Amazon banned Parler, we can use Gab or Clouthub. Communication is key. Stay connected but not through the Big Tech censors. Get a VPN for added privacy.
3. Delete/disable Chrome and Google. Use Tor or Brave as browsers and Duck Duck Go or Presearch instead of GOOG. Google makes their money on ads, SRO payments and selling your data. Shut it down.
4. Cancel all your paid magazine and newspaper subscriptions (paper and digital) except those that support America and are Conservative. When you cancel, tell them why.
5. Delete Waze (owned by Google) and Google Maps. Replace with Sygic or other GPS apps.
6. Cancel and cut up all your extra credit cards. Keep a maximum of 3 if practical. It hurts the banks when this happens, even if the card is infrequently used. If you pay a fee to the bank for the card, it hurts them even more.
7. Create an anonymous email account on www.Protonmail.com. Migrate from Gmail, Hotmail, Yahoo, etc. and then delete or deactivate the other account if possible. Those are spy accounts.
8. Pay cash when you shop when possible so your purchases are anonymous for you and the retailer.
9. Buy locally from Mom and Pop stores and absolutely pay in cash; they’ve been devastated.
10. Google yourself. Scrub your data. Search yourself on Duck Duck Go and Start Page, too. Start with MyLife, White Pages, Been Verified and Spokeo. They aggregate and sell YOUR PERSONAL DATA FOR PROFIT. SHUT IT DOWN! It takes effort (usually there is a privacy link on the bottom of the webpage). They make it difficult but persevere. This also helps prevent identity theft. Anonymity on the Net is a TOP priority.
11. Keep your 24/7/365 spy device (i.e Smartphone) in a Faraday bag when not in use. Or use a “dumb” phone.
12. Don’t buy anything made in China (it is possible but difficult).
13. Change party affiliation to No Party Affiliation (everyone should do this). If you want to vote in party primary, change your affiliation before the primary so you can vote.
14. Get involved in LOCAL politics where you can still make an impact. Write, email and call about LOCAL issues.
15. Seek out like-minded people as a support group (NOT as an echo chamber)
16. Join a gun club and learn to shoot for self-defense. Get your CCP. Buy a gun and ammo.
17. Go to Church. Interact with other believers. Restore your Faith. Come home to where you belong.
18. Stay focused and positive. Do not be demoralized. Trust in God.
19. Support the My Pillow Guy. “Use code Mike for up to 60% off”
20. Homeschool your children. Education, not Ideological indoctrination. Teach them YOUR values.
21. Don’t donate to colleges or universities. They are cesspools of Communism.
22. WRITE your Senators and Rep’s in DC. Email, phone call and website responses are ignored or deleted. There is nothing quite like 25,000 letters a week showing up in a Senator’s DC office. Bury them in mail.


It's on. Stop supporting tyranny. Starve the Beast.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Back in the mid 2000's, I said the tens maybe hundreds of thousands of kids that watched their parents lose livelihoods, dreams and stability to IT outsourcing and offshoring firms, is going to come back to haunt that industry one day. Maybe that day has arrived.

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