Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

John wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:18 pm
What do you mean by "going nuts"?
China is sending rockets over Taiwan and violating Taiwan's airspace. Also Chinese hacking activity is becoming more brazen. The Chinese don't seem to care if they are caught anymore. Also the Chinese are becoming more and aggressive in the South China Sea. Look at what they have done to Hong Kong. The mainland Chinese have always been boorish, but things are different now. It seems the mainlanders don't even pretend to be peaceful anymore. The mainlanders have also said that if American officials visit Taiwan on a trade mission, the Beijing gangsters will retaliate. This Friday...

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

I believe Roman Catholicism is the Truth, but being made up of fallen humans it is as prone to genocide as anyone else.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by guest »

Guest wrote:
Sun Sep 20, 2020 7:42 am
John wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:18 pm
What do you mean by "going nuts"?
China is sending rockets over Taiwan and violating Taiwan's airspace. Also Chinese hacking activity is becoming more brazen. The Chinese don't seem to care if they are caught anymore. Also the Chinese are becoming more and aggressive in the South China Sea. Look at what they have done to Hong Kong. The mainland Chinese have always been boorish, but things are different now. It seems the mainlanders don't even pretend to be peaceful anymore. The mainlanders have also said that if American officials visit Taiwan on a trade mission, the Beijing gangsters will retaliate. This Friday...
And that meeting has already passed. so i guess the missiles being fired are the response, no?

guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by guest »

In what observers said was a response to Krach’s three-day visit and increasing high-level U.S.-Taiwan meetings, China sent a total of 19 fighter jets, bombers and surveillance aircraft across the so-called median line dividing the Taiwan Strait for the second consecutive day Saturday. The warplanes entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone, prompting Taipei to scramble fighters in response.

Chinese state-run media lashed out at the visit by Krach, with the hawkish Global Times on Friday calling the military exercises “rehearsals on taking over Taiwan.”

Late Saturday, Global Times editor Hu Xin wrote in a signed editorial that Beijing could respond to Washington’s moves with force.

“If the U.S. and the island continue their collusion to secede the island from China, we believe that the (Chinese People’s Liberation Army) is resolute enough to launch cruise missiles over through the island, send fighter jets above the island to declare sovereignty, and carry out military drills there,” he wrote. “As a result, a new military construct will be formed in the Taiwan Straits.”
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/ ... JPiO3YwQj7

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 20-Sep-2020 World View: Military exercises - rehearsals on taking over Taiwan
Guest wrote:
Sun Sep 20, 2020 7:42 am
> China is sending rockets over Taiwan and violating Taiwan's
> airspace. Also Chinese hacking activity is becoming more
> brazen. The Chinese don't seem to care if they are caught
> anymore. Also the Chinese are becoming more and aggressive in the
> South China Sea. Look at what they have done to Hong Kong. The
> mainland Chinese have always been boorish, but things are
> different now. It seems the mainlanders don't even pretend to be
> peaceful anymore. The mainlanders have also said that if American
> officials visit Taiwan on a trade mission, the Beijing gangsters
> will retaliate. This Friday...
guest wrote:
Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:48 am
> Quote from Japan Times:

> In what observers said was a response to Krach’s three-day visit
> and increasing high-level U.S.-Taiwan meetings, China sent a total
> of 19 fighter jets, bombers and surveillance aircraft across the
> so-called median line dividing the Taiwan Strait for the second
> consecutive day Saturday. The warplanes entered Taiwan’s air
> defense identification zone, prompting Taipei to scramble fighters
> in response.

> Chinese state-run media lashed out at the visit by Krach, with the
> hawkish Global Times on Friday calling the military exercises
> “rehearsals on taking over Taiwan.”

> Late Saturday, Global Times editor Hu Xin wrote in a signed
> editorial that Beijing could respond to Washington’s moves with
> force.

> “If the U.S. and the island continue their collusion to secede the
> island from China, we believe that the (Chinese People’s
> Liberation Army) is resolute enough to launch cruise missiles over
> through the island, send fighter jets above the island to declare
> sovereignty, and carry out military drills there,” he wrote. “As a
> result, a new military construct will be formed in the Taiwan
> Straits.”

> https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/ ... JPiO3YwQj7
The quotes from the Global Times reflect a major new increase in
tensions over Taiwan. The claims from Chinese media that the
aggressive military actions are "rehearsals on taking over Taiwan" are
quite credible, and suggest that there will be even more aggressive
military actions to come. Combined with other disputes (trade,
TikTok, Wuhan Coronavirus, etc.), tensions have been increasing
rapidly this year.

Referring back to my earlier post to Cool Breeze, this is another step
along the trend line of increasing belligerence, hostility,
nationalism, and xenophobia. Generational Dynamics has been
predicting for 15 years that this trend line will continue with
increased tensions (not level off or have reduced tensions), and the
continually increased tensions will be unsustainable. "If something
can't go on forever, then it won't."

That doesn't mean that war will begin next week, though it might. But
as I've said many times, war is absolutely certain, and it might begin
next week, next month, next year, or later.

John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 20-Sep-2020 World View: The Dred Scott Decision

In 1857, the Supreme Court issued the "Dred Scott decision" that a
slave was an owned possession and therefore not a citizen of the
United States in the sense meant by the Constitution. This decision
inflamed the public on both sides of the slavery issue.

There are many people who believe that this decision was a major
factor leading to the American Civil War, and that therefore the
Supreme Court should be blamed for being a CAUSE of the American Civil
War. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this judgment
is wrong, since the Civil War would have occurred anyway, but this is
the perception of some people.

Whether that perception is right or not, a variation of that
perception has been accepted by a lot more people: That the principal
objective of the Supreme Court, with even higher priority than literal
interpretation of the Constitution, is to make decisions that will
preserve the Union. This principle makes it possible for the Supreme
Court to "make law" rather than just follow the law, something that
has led to both censure and acclamation of various Supreme Court
decisions.

This was one of the seldom reported issues in the 2000 Bush vs Gore
presidential election. The election was in a state of chaos because
of irregularities in one Florida district, whose resolution could turn
the election either way. Many people felt that the Dred Scott
decision was overhanging the 2000 Supreme Court, and the decisions
they made had the explicit purpose of ending the election chaos, so
that Constitutional order and the Union could be preserved.

The 2020 election is already headed for massive chaos because of the
mail-in ballot situation. Speaking as a systems analyst, this is
going to lead to massive irregularities and a lot of fraud. As an
example of how stupidity and mismanagement can lead to massive fraud,
I call your attention to my 2015 article on Healthcare.gov which
showed how mismanagement and stupidity were so great and so riddled
with fraud that Obama and the White House had no idea for hours or
days after the web site opened that only a six people were even able
to register. So I see the Healthcare.gov situation, with its massive
irregularities and fraud, repeating itself in the mail-in ballot
chaos.

** Healthcare.gov -- The greatest software development disaster in history (23-Aug-2015) **
http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... 150823.htm


During the last two days, there has been a major new development in
the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Donald Trump and the Republicans
are calling to replace Ginsburg as quickly as possible. The Democrats
are making numerous threats of chaos in retaliation -- increased
fascist violence by antifa-blm, using the mail-in irregularities to
stall declaring an election winner, and packing the Supreme Court if
Biden wins and the Democrats win the Senate.

So the Supreme Court is going to be looking at all this, and my
expectation is that each justice will be guided not by whether he's a
Democrat or Republic, or whether he's liberal or conservative, but by
what the best way will be to end the chaos, select a winner, restore
Constitutional order, and preserve the Union. This principle could
favor either side. In this sense, the Dred Scott decision remains
relevant today.

Taiwan Forever

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Taiwan Forever »

I live in Seoul, South Korea, but what is left of my family lives in Taipei, Taiwan. I want to thank you, John for the information and hard work that has gone into all of this. I don't talk with my family about this anymore. It's pointless. I don't think I will be alive much longer, and that really doesn't bother me. I am at peace with it. Thank you for preparing me for the end. I don't have much else to say.

Thank you, John.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 21-Sep-2020 World View: Being at peace
Taiwan Forever wrote:
Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:20 pm
> I live in Seoul, South Korea, but what is left of my family lives
> in Taipei, Taiwan. I want to thank you, John for the information
> and hard work that has gone into all of this. I don't talk with my
> family about this anymore. It's pointless. I don't think I will be
> alive much longer, and that really doesn't bother me. I am at
> peace with it. Thank you for preparing me for the end. I don't
> have much else to say.

> Thank you, John.
Well, I live in Boston, but apart from that I agree with everything
you're saying. Pretty much everything is pointless these days, and
the best thing to do is prepare for the end and be at peace. And no,
there really isn't much left to say after that, is there.

Thank you for your message.

Navigator
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Joined: Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:15 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Navigator »

Taiwan Forever wrote:
Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:20 pm
I live in Seoul, South Korea, but what is left of my family lives in Taipei, Taiwan. I want to thank you, John for the information and hard work that has gone into all of this. I don't talk with my family about this anymore. It's pointless. I don't think I will be alive much longer, and that really doesn't bother me. I am at peace with it. Thank you for preparing me for the end. I don't have much else to say.
IMHO, it will take 10-15 years for things to play out. The world is not going to end tomorrow, next week, next month, or next year.

But war will start soon. Time to prepare is NOW.

Need more donations to write more.

https://www.gofundme.com/f/coming-storms-preparation

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

23-Sep-20 World View -- China crosses and repudiates 'median line' separating China from Taiwan

China's dual-track policy towards Taiwan


** 23-Sep-20 World View -- China crosses and repudiates 'median line' separating China from Taiwan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200923






Contents:
China crosses and repudiates 'median line' separating China from Taiwan
China's incursion strategy
China's dual-track policy towards Taiwan


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Taiwan, China, median line, middle line,
Air defense identification zone, ADIZ, Wang Wenbin,
Federation of American Scientists, Japan, South Korea,
Democratic Progressive Party, DPP, Kuomintang, KMT

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