Generational Dynamics World View News

[DaKardii]

DaKardii, what (if any) WMD will be used by whom against whom in this war?

As Navigator said in his book, the first phase of the war will be mostly conventional. Nukes will be used, but it won't be something out of a Cold War-era Doomsday fantasy.

The third phase of the war is a different story. The dictators in charge of whichever countries go authoritarian will be far more ruthless than Putin and Xi, and perhaps even more ruthless than Hitler and Stalin. They won't be showing restraint with any WMD they may have, much less nukes.

[John]

** 26-Jun-2022 World View: World War III timeline

> 2) The war will last over a period of 30 years, in three separate
> phases. The first phase will last about five years
> (approx. 2025-2030), and the alliances will be drawn along the
> lines of Generational Dynamics. The second phase will last about
> 20 years (approx. 2030-2050), as a period of frozen conflict. And
> the third phase will last about five years (approx. 2050-2055),
> with the war once again unfrozen but the alliances this time being
> drawn along ideological lines as well as Generational Dynamics.

Your analysis is very interesting, but I would question the timeline.

I believe that you suggested a 30 year time frame by analogy with
World Wars I and II. But there are significant differences between
the world then and now.

World War I was mainly a Russian, east European and Middle East war.

World War II was mainly a west European, American, and Asian war.

So those were really two completely different wars, and it makes sense
that they were 20+ years apart.

But today, Russia, east Europe, west Europe, America, China, Japan,
India, and many other countries are in a generational Crisis era.
(The Middle East and Africa are exceptions.)

That situation is completely different, and requires a re-analysis of
your timeline.

[Cool Breeze]

To further clarify the above post, I believe we won't be seeing global war until the second half of this decade. I previously thought that it would begin in the first half, but now I'm not so sure.

As to Presidential elections, I used to think 2020 was our last chance, but now I'm becoming increasingly convinced it's actually 2024.

Thanks for the post. Previously I also had suggested as much, and always had put a much higher probability on stalemates happening this decade as opposed to more immediate war (which I pressed John on since that's mostly his view). It also depends on what you call "war" in many senses. If China takes Taiwan but we do little to nothing about that, is that, in combination with NATO provocations of Russia continuing, continuation of a "world war"? I don't know the answer.

More importantly, what do you see happening in the 2025-30 period upcoming, DaK? Given that the period after is what you call a frozen period or stalemate/cold war, I'm interesting in the nearer term anyway, because of its proximity and better chance at guessing what shakes out.

I assume, by the way, that nations like India and Saudi Arabia not paying mind to the USA any longer is the precursor or recent foundation to your post.

[Tom Mazanec]

Beast from the East! Panicking Putin 'calls up OBESE 280lbs retired general, 67, to lead forces in Ukraine' after 'most of his best and battle-hardened senior commanders are killed' in war
By WALTER FINCH FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 07:10 EDT, 26 June 2022 | UPDATED: 11:47 EDT, 26 June 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... raine.html

G7 face battle for unity as cost of Ukraine war mounts
By James Landale
Diplomatic correspondent
Published
22 hours ago
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61940007

[DaKardii]

Navigator, how long do you think the interbellum period will be in between the two wars?

[Navigator]

Navigator, how long do you think the interbellum period will be in between the two wars?

More and more I think that we will have three periods, each of which last 42 months (3.5 years each), which would be WW3, the interwar period, and then the final war WW4.

[DaKardii]

Navigator, how long do you think the interbellum period will be in between the two wars?

More and more I think that we will have three periods, each of which last 42 months (3.5 years each), which would be WW3, the interwar period, and then the final war WW4.

Those numbers are inspired by the Book of Revelation, yes?

[Navigator]

My current opinion is my PERSONAL interpretation of what the numbers in Revelation and other Biblical/Theological sources mean to me. Many within my own religious circle would disagree with me, but to me, PERSONALLY, it makes the most sense.

I do not see things being dragged out much longer.

[Cool Breeze]

What's your range for the start of WW3? Within 3-5 years? Or 5-10 years?

[Navigator]

What's your range for the start of WW3? Within 3-5 years? Or 5-10 years?

I would say within no more than 1.5 years. I think this October may be more like it, and am preparing for that.

I think the economy will go south very soon, and war will follow shortly thereafter. The Chinese will want to move before the Biden presidency is over, even better for them if the Democrats control congress.