Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 18-Feb-2019 Fall of ISIS presents problems to Kurds and Europe

There appears to be a gathering storm in eastern Syria because
  • The Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), backed by the US
    military, are close to destroying the last remnants of the ISIS
    caliphate in eastern Syria, according to US military
  • Trump has announced that 2,000 US troops will begin to withdraw
    once the caliphate is destroyed
  • This will leave hundreds of European ISIS fighters free to return
    to Europe on their own. Trump is demanding that European countries
    take them back and try them in courts, something that most Europeans
    don't want to do. The UK is trying to figure out what to do about
    British wives and children of ISIS fighters.
  • Trump tweeted:
    “The United States is asking Britain, France, Germany and
    other European allies to take back over 800 Isis fighters that we
    captured in Syria and put them on trial. The Caliphate is ready to
    fall. The alternative is not a good one in that we will be forced to
    release them.

    The US does not want to watch as these Isis fighters permeate Europe,
    which is where they are expected to go. We do so much, and spend so
    much - Time for others to step up and do the job that they are so
    capable of doing. We are pulling back after 100% Caliphate victory!”
  • Turkey considers the SDF to be terrorists, and would like to
    destroy them, but couldn't so far because they were protected
    by US forces. They're now threatening to do so.
  • For their own protection, the SDF wants to ally with
    Bashar al-Assad.
  • However, as soon as the SDF allies with either al-Assad or
    Russia, the US will immediately sever all ties with the SDF.
There's also a new report out that more than 300 chemical attacks
were launched during Syria's civil war. 98% of them were launched
by the sainted Bashar al-Assad, and 2% were launched by ISIS.



--- Trump: EU must take back 800 Isis fighters captured in Syria
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/ ... d-in-syria
(Guardian London)

--- U.S. cannot back Syrian forces who align with Assad:
U.S. commander
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mide ... SKCN1Q60OI
(Reuters)

--- More Than 300 Chemical Attacks Launched During Syrian Civil War,
Study Says
https://www.npr.org/2019/02/17/69554525 ... study-says
(NPR)

--- Related:

** 1-Dec-18 World View -- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181201

John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 18-Feb-2019 Increasing numbers believe that the earth is flat

With more and more decisions between made today by idiots like Bernie
Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, it's not surprising to learn
that the number of people who believe that the earth is flat is
increasing. The "experts" are blaming this phenomenon on YouTube.

For years we've been hearing that SAT scores have been going down, and
we can see the results in a new way every day.

I've posted the following before, but it's worth posting again. I've
frequently joked that many young people are too stupid to pick out
China on a map. But it's not a joke.



Jimmy Kimmel - Can you name a country?


--- Study blames YouTube for rise in number of Flat Earthers
https://www.theguardian.com/science/201 ... t-earthers
(Guardian, London)

--- YouTube is to blame for spreading 'Flat Earth' conspiracy theories that claim the world is the shape of a disc by 'promoting misinformation'
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech ... thers.html
(Daily Mail, London)

FishbellykanakaDude
Posts: 1313
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:07 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FishbellykanakaDude »

John wrote:
Tom Mazanec wrote: > As we've been saying for six years and is finally being increasing
> recognized by Western countries, every Huawei device, including
> iPhones and routers, contains a "backdoor" that permits the
> Chinese military to spy on it, collect data, and even control it
> when necessary.

> I have an iPhone, but I am not the POTUS, just a nobody. Should I
> be worried, and if so about what?
You should feel honored and flattered that your name, along with
personal information from your iPhone, merged with any information
about you that could be hacked from hotel, airline, medical and other
databases, is stored as a record in the Chinese military Huawei cloud
database. Doesn't that make you feel special, rather than just being
a nobody?
Well, I don't know about you guys, but I feel VERY special, indeed!

The record hoards (hordes?) of the early 21st Century will likely be a great treasure trove of sociological info for future anthropologists to draw fascinating conclusions from that may lead to truly important insights into how humans operate on a vast scale!

..I just feel SO very special I can hardly contain myself. I feel pretty,.. Oh, so pretty,.. That the city should give me its key,.. A committee,.. Should be organized to honor me,.. La la la la la, la, la, la,.. la la...!

Image

FishbellykanakaDude
Posts: 1313
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:07 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FishbellykanakaDude »

John wrote:One question that I have is: How would American ground
troops be introduced into the war?

In WW II, the troops massed in Britain, and were sent across
the English Channel to Europe.

What would be the analogous scenario in the next war?
Tardises and teleporters, of course... d'uh!

..or they'd simply fly in in their Ironman suits.

CH86
Posts: 397
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 8:51 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by CH86 »

John wrote:** 18-Feb-2019 Fall of ISIS presents problems to Kurds and Europe

There appears to be a gathering storm in eastern Syria because
  • The Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), backed by the US
    military, are close to destroying the last remnants of the ISIS
    caliphate in eastern Syria, according to US military
  • Trump has announced that 2,000 US troops will begin to withdraw
    once the caliphate is destroyed
  • This will leave hundreds of European ISIS fighters free to return
    to Europe on their own. Trump is demanding that European countries
    take them back and try them in courts, something that most Europeans
    don't want to do. The UK is trying to figure out what to do about
    British wives and children of ISIS fighters.
  • Trump tweeted:
    “The United States is asking Britain, France, Germany and
    other European allies to take back over 800 Isis fighters that we
    captured in Syria and put them on trial. The Caliphate is ready to
    fall. The alternative is not a good one in that we will be forced to
    release them.

    The US does not want to watch as these Isis fighters permeate Europe,
    which is where they are expected to go. We do so much, and spend so
    much - Time for others to step up and do the job that they are so
    capable of doing. We are pulling back after 100% Caliphate victory!”
  • Turkey considers the SDF to be terrorists, and would like to
    destroy them, but couldn't so far because they were protected
    by US forces. They're now threatening to do so.
  • For their own protection, the SDF wants to ally with
    Bashar al-Assad.
  • However, as soon as the SDF allies with either al-Assad or
    Russia, the US will immediately sever all ties with the SDF.
There's also a new report out that more than 300 chemical attacks
were launched during Syria's civil war. 98% of them were launched
by the sainted Bashar al-Assad, and 2% were launched by ISIS.



--- Trump: EU must take back 800 Isis fighters captured in Syria
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/ ... d-in-syria
(Guardian London)

--- U.S. cannot back Syrian forces who align with Assad:
U.S. commander
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mide ... SKCN1Q60OI
(Reuters)

--- More Than 300 Chemical Attacks Launched During Syrian Civil War,
Study Says
https://www.npr.org/2019/02/17/69554525 ... study-says
(NPR)

--- Related:

** 1-Dec-18 World View -- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e181201
More Excuses for Globalism, Assad is only dangerous to Syrians who rebelled against his government, he is not a danger to Non-Syrians. The reason ISIS rise resulted in an international intervention is that ISIS murders and has intent to murder Non-Syrians. Assad meanwhile only wants to kill other Syrians.

The Boomer fantasy of a world without governments who Murder is delusional, same with their notion of an EU Army rather than building up the US armies.

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

CH86 wrote: > More Excuses for Globalism, Assad is only dangerous to Syrians who
> rebelled against his government, he is not a danger to
> Non-Syrians. The reason ISIS rise resulted in an international
> intervention is that ISIS murders and has intent to murder
> Non-Syrians. Assad meanwhile only wants to kill other Syrians.

> The Boomer fantasy of a world without governments who Murder is
> delusional, same with their notion of an EU Army rather than
> building up the US armies.
This stuff about boomers again? Can't you say anything different?
You really are a one-trick pony.

You've been online here and in the fourth turning forum for well over
ten years, and I don't think you've had a new original thought since
then.

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** India-Pakistan tensions again escalate after Kashmir gunfight

As we've been reporting, the situation in India-governed Kashmir
continues to deteriorate, and the tensions between India and Pakistan
continue to escalate, as India blames Pakistan for the Kashmir terror
attacks, and Pakistan denies it.

Nine people, including four Indian soldiers and a policeman, were
killed in a gunfight in Kashmir on Monday. A civilian and three
alleged terrorists from Pakistan-based group Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM)
were also killed.

The gunfight occurred as Indian police returned to the neighborhood of
the militants who are believed to have caused last week's huge VBIED
(vehicle-borne improvised explosive device) car bomb attack on a bus,
killing over 40 Indian paramilitary police.

The Indian police had promised revenge for last week's attack. They
got their revenge on Monday, but also lost five more Indian security
forces in the resulting gunfight.

Kanwal Jeet Singh Dhillon of the Indian army bragged that the
terrorists had been killed "less than 100 hours." He said the
following in a Tuesday press conference:

We were tracking the Jaish [JeM] in the valley. As you know the
convoy attack with the control being done by them, along with the
control being done by Pakistan Army and ISI.

In less than 100 hours, we have eliminated the JeM leadership in
the valley.

Anyone who picks up a gun will now be eliminated in J&K. I urge
family members to tell their loved ones to give up the gun and
follow the surrender policy. We have a very good and cooperative
surrender policy, and that is the correct way to go. If not, from
here on, the armed forces will eliminate anybody who picks up a
gun.

Investigation is at a very advanced stage. We cannot share details
at the moment.

When encounters happen in civilian areas, we tell people not to
venture out. We cordon off the area and urge people to stay at
home and not interfere. We try our best to keep the civilian
casualty to its minimum.

Kamran was a Pakistani and was being handled by JeM Pakistan in
coordination with the Pak Army and ISI. He was a top commander in
the Valley.

JeM is a child of the Pakistan Army. It is 100 per cent certain
that Pakistan Army was involved, there should be no doubt about
it.
As I analyze this statement, I note that it just seems to be more
of the same.

I compare this statement by Dhillon to a statement by the Chief of Sri
Lanka's army in January 2008, when he committed to defeating the Tamil
insurgence once and for all by the end of 2008. This statement set a
firm deadline, which created a mood where the army would take any
steps necessary to destroy the Tamil insurgency by te end of 2008. I
considered this statement to be signaling a generational "Regeneracy,"
referring to the regeneracy of civic unity since the end of the
preceding generational crisis war. As it turned out, the insurgents
increased using civilians as human shields, and the army increased
attacks on insurgents, even when it meant killing the human shield
civilians. The insurgent Tamil Tigers were forced to surrender in
April 2009. Both sides were charged with war crimes.

So when I look at Dhillon's statement, I don't see anything like the
same intensity. There's no time deadline, and no other red lines.
It's not much different from June 2017, when India's army launched
"Operation All-Out," which so far has been a failure.
So I don't evaluate Dhillon's statement as indicating a
generational Regeneracy.

That could change overnight, of course. Another massive terror attack
might be so shocking to India's public that they demand a time
deadline and/or other red line. This would mean a substantial change
to the Indian army's playbook. Instead of "We try our best to keep
the civilian casualty to its minimum," as in Tuesday's statement,
they'll say something that would imply little or no concern
for civilians lives. It would probably also indicate a military
action on Pakistani soil, rather than just the usual vague
verbal threat.



On Tuesday, Pakistan's prime minister Imran Khan responded to India:
> How can one country's leadership be the Judge, Jury and
> Executioner. What sort of justice is this?

> All this attack on Pakistan keeping elections in mind. But if at
> all these are serious, Pakistan will not think of retaliating, it
> will retaliate.There will be no other option left with Pakistan.

> Pakistan is a country which has dealt the most with terrorism. We
> have suffered the most and lost the most.

> Pakistan is moving towards stability. Why would we do something
> like this. If there is any actionable intelligence, I will assure
> you Pakistan will take action on priority.
Once again, a mild response, not setting any red lines.



--- India / Pakistan / Pulwama attack: Nine killed in Kashmir gun
battle
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-47275072
(BBC)

--- Pulwama Attack Updates: In Briefing, Armed Forces Says "No
Doubt Pak Army Controls Jaish-e-Mohammed"
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pulwama ... ck-1995607
"New Delhi TV"#>


--- Related:

** Sri Lanka appears close to war (12-May-2006)
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e060512



** Sri Lanka government declares all out war against Tamil Tiger rebels (4-Jan-2008)
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e080104

John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 19-Feb-2019 Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei makes laughable claims about not spying

Huawei's founder Ren Zhengfei has been giving interviews and
going on a charm offensive to claim that Huawei's devices have
never spied and will never spy in the future.

He was asked about China's National Intelligence Law of 2017, which
requires every Chinese company to "support, cooperate with, and
collaborate in national intelligence work." He was asked what he
would do if China's military demanded his collaboration in collecting
intelligence information.

He evaded the question, and said,
> "Our company will never undertake any spying activities. If we
> have any such actions, then I'll shut the company
> down."
This answer is so absurd on so many levels, only an idiot would
believe it.

First, he's saying that he would go to jail rather than comply. Ren
was previously an officer and engineer in China's People's Liberation
Army (PLA), and came from the PLA to found Huawei. The idea
that he would disobey a PLA directive and go to jail is
absurd.

Second, he says he would shut the company down. Once again this is
completely absurd. Huawei has more than 180,000 employees in over 170
countries. It's impossible to shut down a company that big, and even
if it were, China's military would never permit him to shut it.

So he's told two obvious lies in two sentences, so it's pretty
safe to say that anything else he claims is a lie as well.

In another interview he was asked whether the technology could
be used for spying without his knowledge. His response:
> "It is not possible. Because across our entire organization, we've
> stressed once and again that we will never do that.

> If we did have that, with America's advanced technology, they
> would found that already. So that proves we do not have
> it."
As I've said in the past, I've spent a part of my career as a senior
software engineer developing chip-level operating system software for
embedded systems, so I know exactly how any chip or any electronic
device can be turned into a tool for espionage. Furthermore, I can
tell you that not only is it doable, it's not even particularly
difficult for someone with the right skills.

This "backdoor" could not be detected by tests, because the chip would
work normally until a backdoor is activated by receiving, say, a
secret 1024-bit code. Then it will execute commands sent to it by
Chinese engineers. Thus, the Chinese are then in control of any
devices with Huawei chips, and it cannot be detected until it's too
late. And since Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei was previously an officer
and engineer in China's People's Liberation Army (PLA), there's little
question that these steps have been taken.

It's even possible that Ren doesn't know. China's military could be
working with a small group of engineers that install the backdoor,
without anyone else in the company knowing about it.

America's "advanced technology" is irrelevant. Trying to guess the
1024-bit code by testing all possible values would take millennia. So
this is another obvious lie by Ren Zhengfei. Or maybe 74 year old Ren
Zhengfei has gone senile, and he's simply babbling with no idea what
he's talking about.



--- Ren Zhengfei / Huawei's founder denies presence of 'backdoors' for spying
https://www.pulse.com.gh/news/world/hua ... ng/esse7lz
(AFP)

--- Related:

** 12-Jan-19 World View -- China's economy destabilizes as Huawei introduces cheap smartphone
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e190112

FishbellykanakaDude
Posts: 1313
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:07 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FishbellykanakaDude »

John wrote:
CH86 wrote: > More Excuses for Globalism, Assad is only dangerous to Syrians who
> rebelled against his government, he is not a danger to
> Non-Syrians. The reason ISIS rise resulted in an international
> intervention is that ISIS murders and has intent to murder
> Non-Syrians. Assad meanwhile only wants to kill other Syrians.

> The Boomer fantasy of a world without governments who Murder is
> delusional, same with their notion of an EU Army rather than
> building up the US armies.
This stuff about boomers again? Can't you say anything different?
You really are a one-trick pony.

You've been online here and in the fourth turning forum for well over
ten years, and I don't think you've had a new original thought since
then.
Daddy issues.

..need I say more?

zzazz

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by zzazz »

John
America's "advanced technology" is irrelevant. Trying to guess the
1024-bit code by testing all possible values would take millennia. So
this is another obvious lie by Ren Zhengfei. Or maybe 74 year old Ren
Zhengfei has gone senile, and he's simply babbling with no idea what
he's talking about.
You show your own naivete in supposing that the only way to find the back door is brute force search for the secret code (BTW also contradicting yourself when you said that the singularity will happen by 2020 because AI is just search and by 2020 computers will be able to search anything).
1--An american spy embedded in China could learn the code.
2--The code could be revealed in signals.
3--American engineers can remove the silicon from the chip, then reverse engineer the photo resists, then the wiring, then the circuits, and just read the code from that.

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