Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 11-Jan-2020 World View: Becoming the family's Black Sheep
Chewy wrote: > @ John -- I told them that Iran is currently is an Awakening era
> where the youth are "questioning authority" and that the Iranian
> youth actually like the West, which is at odds with the older
> hardliners. I also explained the differences between Sunnis and
> Shiites (explaining who's on 1st and what's on 2nd). I explained
> about the protests and who was doing what and where regarding
> same. I also pointed out that for Iran, with the multitude of
> missiles they are reported to have, sending 10 or 12 missiles is a
> "save face" maneuver. So thank you, John-Obi Wan -- you have
> taught me well.
Chewy wrote: > ...oh, and I provided them the link to your website and the links
> to multiple other articles to support what I was telling them.

> All that info was conveyed with 2 thumbs and an iphone.
> :lol:
jmparret wrote: > Hi Chewy, So you did not see the blank face bobbing up and down
> and hear the uh-uh. Many do not understand nor want to understand
> what is happening and why. If they decide to follow John that is
> great and you have someone to speak with on these events of the
> world.
Chewy wrote: > jm: I am an "elder" in my family's generational make-up and so I
> don't really get the head-shaking or doubt.

> A while back, I actually explained to our different family
> generations that "I didn't just wake up one day hoping to be this
> family's doom-and-gloomer -- my cosmic purpose in this life is to
> keep you all safe, informed, and prepared."

> So, not surprisingly, the only one who doubted what I was telling
> him was our family's Uber Liberal, who didn't want to hear that we
> weren't going to war...because he especially despises President
> Trump and wanted to be able to place more blame on Trump for all
> the world's ills.

> btw I just donated to John too and also bought one of his books
> off Amazon. ;) Hope it helps!!
When you first wrote that you were telling "my multiple concerned
family members" that we're not going to war with Iran, based on
Generational Dynamics, I had the same reaction that Joe had -- that
you're going to be banished from your family, turned into a pariah,
and referred to by other family members as "the black sheep of the
family."

However, I see that you protected yourself by providing links to
numerous other articles. I do that myself.

Thank you for your donation, and I hope you enjoy the book.
jmparret wrote: > Everyone, I have to mention the Go Fund Me page James Kardys set
> up for John. I just made a donation and I was the second after
> one week. Let us show John our support of his work and
> communication.

> https://www.gofundme.com/f/john-xenakis-needs-your-help
Thanks to you and others who have made a donation.

And thanks to James Kardys for setting it up. However, as I wrote
last week, it would be a miracle if it works, and if it does, then
James Kardys should certainly receive a medal as a miracle worker.

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

John, twelve or twenty years from now I am likely to be in your shoes. I would contribute, but there is no way I can afford it. :(
And if I did, my cousin/guardian would cancel my credit card. :(
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

FishbellykanakaDude
Posts: 1313
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:07 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FishbellykanakaDude »

John wrote:
...
> ..I'm also a big supporter of the "Popular Front for the
> Restoration of Celtic Europe" (catchphrase: "Germans go [the f__k]
> HOME...!!"). :)
When you take on this project, maybe you can use Esperanto as a model.
Tio estas la bileto! Ni estos konker la vorto.. unu ridinda lingvo grupo en tempo!

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FishbellykanakaDude
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Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2018 8:07 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FishbellykanakaDude »

John wrote:** 10-Jan-2020 World View: The power of love
John J. Xenakis wrote:
Marypoza wrote: > -- you were listing examples of how the Government comprised our
> national security. I believe Rags was responding to that

> :heart: Bernie/Tulsi 2020 :heart:
It's worth noting that Tulsi Gabbard is the hottest candidate
currently running for president.

[im g]https://editorial01.shutterstock.com/wm ... 7913ad.jpg[/img]

I forgot about Marianne Williamson. She was hottest candidate running
for president, and the way she looks and the mystical way she talks
definitely remind me of a couple of sensational girls that I dated
years ago. But she dropped out today, so Tulsi Gabbard is now the
hottest again.
You, me hoaloha, you got da BIG lolo goin' on in yo' noggin, bruddah...!!

Image

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 11-Jan-2020 World View: The Shah
Classic-Xer wrote: > A Shah who is willing to share power and protect and oversee the
> formation of a democratic government/society would be
> ideal.
That WOULD be ideal. But if the ideal can't be met, then at least let
him be an ally of the United States, like the last Shah.

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Tom Mazanec
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Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Will Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei step down?
https://ronconte.com/2020/01/11/will-ir ... step-down/
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Trevor
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Joined: Tue Nov 15, 2011 7:43 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Trevor »

His reign of terror is over! My reign of terror begins!

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

13-Jan-20 World View -- In historic reversal, Iran admits shooting down passenger plane

Iran's 'Vietcong Tet Offensive'

** 13-Jan-20 World View -- In historic reversal, Iran admits shooting down passenger plane
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200113



Contents:
In historic reversal, Iran admits shooting down passenger plane
Why did Iran's government finally admit to shooting down the passenger plane?
Iran's 'Vietcong Tet Offensive'
Generational analysis of situation in Iran

Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Iran, Qassim Soleimani, Iraq,
Ukraine, Ukrainian Airlines PS752,
Vietnam, Vietcong, Tet Offensive,
Constitutional Revolution, Islamic Revolution,
Seyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

I wasn’t worried about young people getting Iran into a war with the US. I was worried about the old people there getting Iran into a war with the US.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

John
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Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 13-Jan-2020 World View: Reza Pahlavi son of Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi
Warren Dew wrote: > I agree that would be ideal. Reality is rarely ideal, though.

> John, wouldn't a change of form of government be inconsistent with
> an awakening era? If you think it's consistent, can you outline
> how you think it could happen?
The Crisis Climax is typically a bloody, genocidal military event
that establishes the winner of the war, and the loser. It can
take many forms.

The Awakening Climax is typically a chaotic political event that
establishes the winner of the political struggle between the
generations of survivors of the preceding crisis war and the
generations growing up after the war, and resolves unfinished business
from the end of the crisis war.

The Awakening Climax, which typically occurs 30-50 years after the
Crisis Climax, can be thought of as a political event that settles and
solidifies the changes that occurred as a result of the Crisis Climax.

If the preceding crisis war was an internal ethnic or racial civil
war, then the Awakening Crisis is typically resolved with a political
victory by the older generations (survivors of the war), which
represent the winning race or ethnic group.

If the preceding crisis war was an external war, then typically the
country has political freedom, and the Awakening crisis is a free
political battle that is typically resolved with a political victory
by the younger generations (growing up after the war).

Either way, it signals the beginning of the Unraveling Era.

Some examples of Awakening climaxes:
  • 1918 Germany: the Imperial government of Germany is replaced
    by the Weimar Republic.
  • 1974 America: Richard Nixon is forced to resign.
  • 1989 Czechoslovakia: The Velvet Revolution in Czechoslovakia ended
    communist rule, and turned the country into a parliamentary
    republic.
  • 1989 China: Tiananmen Square massacre turned China into a far more
    oppressive dictatorship.
Identifying an Awakening Climax is a lot harder than identifying a
Crisis Climax, so this is an area that requires more research.

At any rate, with regard to Iran, the constitution that Khomeini set
up in 1979 is clearly defective, with no checks and balances, as I
described in my book. So I would expect that some kind of change to
the constitution would come out of the Awakening Climax. If there's a
reversion to the constitution adopted by the Constitutional Revolution
in 1906, then Reza Pahlavi, who is a leader of Iran's opposition, may
become the Shah of Iran, the country's new leader. He is the son of
Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, the last official Shah of Iran. He's
quite popular among opposition groups outside of Iran.

However, all this is speculative and, even if it occurs, it may not
occur for years.
pbrower2a wrote: > I once saw an interview of the son of the late Reza Shah Pahlavi
> II, and he said that he would function much like Juan Carlos of
> Spain... promoting a liberal and largely-secular Iran that
> respects the religious sensibilities of the People. Whatever that
> means...
Just promise the people whatever nonsense they want to hear, and then
forget about it when you get elected.

The last Shah of Iran was almost as violent and repressive as
Khomeini, so I don't expect much change.

---- Related:

** 9-Nov-15 World View -- Political crisis in Iran grows over nuclear agreement
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e151109

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