Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Wed Nov 27, 2019 1:05 pm

** 27-Nov-2019 World View: China and Japan stock prices

utahbob wrote:> https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3038460/forget-trade-war-beijings-worst-nightmare-property-market-collapse

> China’s property market is the grey rhino, overfed on massive
> liquidity steroids. One injection was the massive stimulus
> introduced in response to the 2008 global financial
> crisis. Another injection was from the six consecutive interest
> rate cuts in the 12 months to November 2015. Awash in liquidity,
> Chinese stock markets took off too, but by late 2015, the bubble
> had burst and the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index tumbled about
> 50 per cent from its 2015 peak. Real estate, however, partied on.”

> “Zhongnanhai’s worst economic nightmare is a Japan-style
> collapse. Despite Xi’s caution that ‘houses are for living in, not
> for speculation,’ China’s real-estate market value has risen to
> twice the size of the G7 economies combined. At US$65 trillion, it
> is almost five times China’s GDP in 2018, and more than 10 times
> China’s stock market capitalisation. In 2019, China’s property
> bubble is being pricked – on both the supply and demand sides.”


This reminds me of a financial stat from 1990 that's always stuck in
my mind: At that time, the value of the property in just the one city
of Tokyo was greater than the value of ALL the property in the entire
United States.

Of course, that was just before the bubble burst, leading to a huge
financial crisis, real estate bubble crash and stock market crash
in Japan.

I wrote a lengthy article on this in 2007:

** Japan's real estate crash may finally end after 16 years
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e070220.htm#e070220


This graph is from the article, showing the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE)
index. What it shows is that the TSE's previous crash was in 1919,
ten years before the US stock exchange crash in 1929.

Image
    Nikkei 225 Index -- Tokyo Stock Exchange -- 1984-2007 and 1914-2007

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Wed Nov 27, 2019 7:56 pm

** 27-Nov-2019 World View: China rebellion

Warren Dew wrote:> By the time they're rebels, though, it's too late to indoctrinate
> them. I can see how starting a war with Japan could serve to
> preempt a southern Chinese rebellion if it was done before the
> rebellion actually happened, but after the rebellion happens, it's
> too late.


That's not what happened during WW II. China's civil war began in
1934, but Mao and Chiang suspended the civil war after Japan invaded
in 1937, and resumed it in 1945. This is the "United Front" concept,
which survives to this day.

From Seoul

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby From Seoul » Thu Nov 28, 2019 12:01 pm

The North is firing rocket artillery again. Normally I wouldn't care, but after reading this blog, I do. People in my office all read your blog (or translations of it), and we are all worried. Can we expect die soon?

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Thu Nov 28, 2019 1:14 pm

** 28-Nov-2019 World View: North Korean missile

From Seoul wrote:> The North is firing rocket artillery again. Normally I wouldn't
> care, but after reading this blog, I do. People in my office all
> read your blog (or translations of it), and we are all
> worried. Can we expect die soon?


Lol! You'll probably live longer than I will!

Well, the bad news is that Kim has launched another short-range
missile. These missiles could reach Seoul, but not the US.

The good news is that Kim really has no particular reason to
attack Seoul at this time. Doing so would also attack US forces,
and bring about massive retaliation.

You know a lot better than I do how unpredictable Kim can be, and you
also know very well that for decades there have been a huge mass of
missiles just north of the DMZ, ready to be launched at Seoul.

My personal view is that, when the time comes, Kim will join China in
attacking Japan. There'll surely be a new war between North and South
Korea, but that will come later.

In the meantime, Kim is still very young, and he's been out of the
news since his last meeting with Trump. So firing off a short-range
missile is his way of saying "I'm still here! Look at me!"

So you have a little time left! Enjoy!

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Thu Nov 28, 2019 6:35 pm

** 28-Nov-2019 World View: Hong Kong on Thanksgiving

Image

Thanksgiving day pro-democracy demonstrations in Hong Kong on
Thursday, Demonstrators are thanking the United States and President
Donald Trump for signing the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act
of 2019.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Thu Nov 28, 2019 10:22 pm

29-Nov-19 World View -- Spiraling bloodbath in Iraq, as anti-Iran and anti-government riots spread


Protesters demand restructuring Iraq's 'confessional' government


** 29-Nov-19 World View -- Spiraling bloodbath in Iraq, as anti-Iran and anti-government riots spread
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e191129.htm#e191129




Contents:
Bloodbath in Nasiriyah, Iraq, as riots spread to multiple cities
Protesters demand end of intervention by Iran
Protesters demand restructuring Iraq's 'confessional' government


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Iraq, Iran, Iran/Iraq war,
Nasiriyah, Najaf, Baghdad, Confessional government,
Abbas Mousavi, Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps, IRGC,
Popular Mobilization Forces, PMF, Lebanon

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Fri Nov 29, 2019 11:50 pm

** 29-Nov-2019 The Apostle

FishbellykanakaDude wrote:
John wrote:
Tom Mazanec wrote:
I meant John the Apostle


I'm an Apostle of Generational Dynamics.


..yeah,.. so THERE...!!

..is there a St. Malthus mentioned in the Catechism?



Look at all my trials and tribulations
Sinking in a gentle pool of wine
What's that in the bread it's gone to my head
Till 'this morning' is 'this evening', life is fine

Always hoped that I'd be an apostle
Knew that I would make it if I tried
Then when we retire we can write the gospels
So they'll all talk about us when we die

-- Lyrics, The Last Supper, Andrew Lloyd Webber, Jesus Christ Superstar

https://genius.com/Andrew-lloyd-webber-the-last-supper-lyrics

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Tom Mazanec
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby Tom Mazanec » Sat Nov 30, 2019 6:30 pm

Iran on the Brink:
https://www.americanthinker.com/article ... brink.html
Are we finally witnessing the end of the Islamic Republic? Yes, but not immediately. It is only a matter of time -- and not a very long one either.
SHARKS (crossed out) MONGEESE (sic) WITH FRICKIN' LASER BEAMS ATTACHED TO THEIR HEADS

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby John » Sun Dec 01, 2019 11:36 pm

2-Dec-19 World View -- Massive measles epidemic joins Ebola as health crises in DR Congo


Civilians attack UN peacekeeping missions in DR Congo for failure to protect them

** 2-Dec-19 World View -- Massive measles epidemic joins Ebola as health crises in DR Congo
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e191202.htm#e191202




Contents:
Measles spreads like wildfire across DR Congo, and spikes globally
WHO closing Ebola health clinics in DR Congo, after attacks by tribal militias
Civilians attack UN peacekeeping missions in DR Congo for failure to protect them


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Democratic Republic of Congo, DRC,
measles, World Health Organization, WHO, anti-vaxx movement,
United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo,
Monusco, Alliance of Democratic Forces, ADF, Uganda, Maï-Maï,
Ebola, North Kivu

FishbellykanakaDude
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Postby FishbellykanakaDude » Mon Dec 02, 2019 12:07 am

Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:
Guest wrote:Blinked 10 times in ten seconds? When the Royals get this emotional they usually shape shift into Draco Reptilians. Guess they edited the interview.

PIZZA

Referendum on the monarchy now.

Would that be "Royxit"..?

..or "Monarxit", or somesuch?


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