** 05-Dec-2019 World View: Beijing's Hong Kong policy
According to the article:
"But according to two Chinese scholars who have
connections to regime insiders and who requested anonymity to
discuss the thinking of policymakers in Beijing, China’s response
has been rooted not in anxiety but in confidence. Beijing is
convinced that Hong Kong’s elites and a substantial part of the
public do not support the demonstrators and that what truly ails
the territory are economic problems rather than political ones—in
particular, a combination of stagnant incomes and rising
rents. Beijing also believes that, despite the appearance of
disorder, its grip on Hong Kong society remains firm. The Chinese
Communist Party has long cultivated the territory’s business
elites (the so-called tycoons) by offering them favorable economic
access to the mainland. The party also maintains a long-standing
loyal cadre of underground members in the territory. And China has
forged ties with the Hong Kong labor movement and some sections of
its criminal underground. Finally, Beijing believes that many
ordinary citizens are fearful of change and tired of the
disruption caused by the demonstrations."
This article is pretty close to fantasy.
The article was written on 9/30, well before the 11/24 elections,
which blew many of Beijing's hopes and dreams out of the water.
HK has plenty of economic problems, but there are ALSO major political
problems. The elections were a historic "stunning upset" of the view
that "a substantial part of the public do not support the
demonstrators." It's true that much of the public do not support the
violence, but polls and the election have shown that they support the
political goals of the demonstrators. Furthermore, they're appalled
by the violence on the part of police and triad thugs.
To say that Beijing's policies are not rooted in anxiety is NEVER
true. The CCP is extremely paranoid and anxious all the time,
particularly since the collapse of the Soviet Union.
As I keep pointing out, the CCP thugs have a record of doing one
incredibly stupid thing after another. I don't know what the CCP
thugs will do about the situation in Hong Kong, but I can say with
certainty that whatever they do, it will make the situation worse.
The fact that they haven't yet sent in the army to bash the protesters
actually proves this point. Even the CCP thugs realize that doing so
would make things massively worse, and so they're choosing to do
nothing, in the hope that the problem will go away by itself.
There are many reasons why the problem won't go away, such as the
split between Cantonese and Mandarin speakers. But the biggest reason
of all is that young Hong Kongers know that if they marry and bring
children into the world, then these children will be subjected to a
full-scale brutal CCP dictatorship in 2047, with all the oppression
and atrocities that go with the CCP.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2) Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99