U.S. Administration in extremely weak negotiating position

[Reality Check]

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The U.S. Obama administration is in an extremely weak negotiating position in relation to implementing the peace agreement they, the E.U. and the interim Ukrainian government, just signed with the Russians.

The Obama administrations desperately wants the Ukraine crisis to disappear from the headlines between now and the Congressional elections.

Polling shows Obama's political party is heading toward a major electoral defeat in November 2014.

Obama needs to shift news coverage away from foreign threats to the United States, and onto stories Obama hopes will stir up his political base to get them to come out and vote.

However, the U.S. administration has signed a peace agreement that the Obama administration is already threatening to blow up, by imposing additional sanctions on Russia, just one day after the Obama administration signed the peace agreement.

Russia called Obama's bluff and said, fine, if the U.S. wants to declare the peace agreement dead, before it even had a chance, and go back to the state of affairs immediately before the peace agreement was signed, keep talking about it, Russia will be happy to blame the U.S. for killing any chance of a peaceful settlement.

Now the U.S. Administration, the Kiev government, and the E.U. will have to make the best of what the Russians will give them during the hopeful period of the peace agreement, or they will have to declare it failed.

E.U. wants the peace to work, even more than the U.S. administration does, so they will likely refuse to go alone with the U.S. declaring the peace deal dead until many weeks, or many months, are allowed pass during which the E.U., U.S. and Kiev government attempt to make the agreement work.

The Kiev government is finding out that neither the U.S. nor the E.U. will any longer support them using force against the anti-Kiev separatists, for fear of provoking the Russians to invade.

The U.S. has a choice, accept the occupation of eastern Ukraine cities by anti-Kiev separatists, or declare the peace agreement dead.

The following military analysis videos are long, but well worth watching in their entirety:

On the military situation facing the United States and the Kiev government before Geneva:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/ ... kling.html

On the military situation facing the United States and the Kiev government after Geneva:
http://video.foxnews.com/v/348048781200 ... 4949842001
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