That's what they HAVE been doing for years. And not just bankers.MarshAviator wrote: I propose that bankers adopt the pirates creed: "Take what you can, give nothing back".
It would be the first honest thing they have done in years.
John
That's what they HAVE been doing for years. And not just bankers.MarshAviator wrote: I propose that bankers adopt the pirates creed: "Take what you can, give nothing back".
It would be the first honest thing they have done in years.
Consider the situation where you are wrong on the former and right on the latter. Think about it.mannfm11 wrote:The goverments really can't sustain anything and Bernanke wasn't born smarter than 99.9% of all people, maybe not over 50%. ... The only way they are going to stop a deflationary depression is to create a Weimar Republic in the US.
I'm not an economist, but I did study global energy balance radiometry at MIT. Global warming may be a problem, but a small increase in CO2 has almost no effect on heat capture (infrared transmission). The focus on "carbon emissions" is total BS.mannfm11 wrote:We have global warming supposedly, which is probably another attempt of governments to gain control of and brand their people like they are cattle and they are going to do something about it, but in the meantime they are going to put out stimulous packages that make certain that as much in the way of pollution and destruction of natural resources as possible goes on.
Yes, and the chart shows that. Look at it. Before Roosevelt, the Dow oscillated from 10 to 40 and after Roosevelt, 5 to 20. Note that this change did not take place in 1929, but 8 years later in 1937. Similarly today we have a crash in 2000 and then a systemic change 8 years later. I don't know what the new oscillation will be around, but I'd guess much lower, 1 to 4 maybe? Just watch. When we go to war, the monetary base will increase 8x while the markets will increase 2x and we'll call it a recovery because we'll be back to the numbers at the peak, nevermind that the real value has dropped to 1/20th. Also, unemployment will drop because the formula drops people out of the calculation after a year or so and GDP will be way up because of the inflated prices that government pays for stuff.mannfm11 wrote:20 years from now we are still going to be trying to get out of this trading range, which is being pushed as a bargain price.
Hi StilesBC,StilesBC wrote:Malleni,
The vast majority of what you hear about "printing" isn't actually printing. It is fiddling around with numbers on a screen. You need to understand the difference between money and credit (Geld und Schuld. Es gibt ein grosse Unterschied). We have been tricked into believing that they are the same thing. For decades they were the same, because debt was "liquid". Now it is illiquid. Creating more of it does nothing.
Even if it was attempted to actually print physical notes on a scale that would have some overall impact on the total supply of money and credit, you need to have the demand for those notes to be used for accumulating assets in order to create inflation. If the Fed creates notes and gives them to the banks, they will just sit there. Nobody needs them to carry out their activities. If the Fed just shipped the money to every American (which is preposterous and likely illegal), people would just take it to the bank and pay off some of their debts. The bank would have all the money again, and send it back to the Fed.
There is only demand for physical currency at a certain proportion to the size of the entire economy (~5%). The problem is that debt is 400% greater than the entire economy. It's like pissing in the ocean. Sure, if you piss enough, you might start changing the sea levels. But it's not going to create Mel Gibson's Waterworld all over again.
http://mises.org/story/2892malleni wrote:
CAN NOT HELP one average American investor or citizen!
Those just blinding them!
Thank you for me.
Good luck.
http://mises.org/story/2892aedens wrote:malleni wrote:
CAN NOT HELP one average American investor or citizen!
Those just blinding them!
Thank you for me.
Good luck.
Q4 earnings are finalized and the current P/E ratio is 57 and heading to 1,944 and then into negative territory for the first time ever. In fact the Dow had a few years of negative earnings during the early years of the Great Depression so this really isn't the first time.Q1 estimated to be down -22.5%, ex/Financials it is down -32.7%, hence the warnings
ACTUALS
12/31/2008 903.25 -$0.09 -$23.25 18.24 60.70
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