Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Higgenbotham
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Higgenbotham »

Black Voters’ Support For Democrats Appears To Be Slipping Going Into 2024
In both polls and recent elections, Republicans have been increasingly able to draw votes from a group that has long been Democrats’ most reliable source of support, leaving Biden unable to assume his path to a win will look the same as it did in 2020, Politico reported Saturday. An early October Fox news poll shows Biden leading 74 percent to 26 percent among black voters in a hypothetical match-up with former President Donald Trump, down from his 90 percent lead among the demographic in 2020, according to a new report from Democratic data firm Catalist.
https://dailycaller.com/2023/10/21/blac ... into-2024/
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

FullMoon
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Guest wrote:
Mon Oct 23, 2023 10:27 am
Why is the Gaza war in America's national interest?

It isn't.
Protecting Israel is, without a doubt.

FullMoon
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Bob Butler wrote:
Mon Oct 23, 2023 12:18 am
While there are haters everywhere, Xi needs the oil and would not want the war expanding. Following orders, you will see the Chinese playing nice.
They're definitely involved. Xi is a devout Communist and regularly trades financial losses for political gains.

John
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 23-Oct-2023 World View: The Mideast Regeneracy

On Sunday morning, CNN's Fareed Zacharia
put forth the CNN position that Joe
Biden is being a strong president,
advising the Israelis to be "strategic,"
and pursue the "two-state solution,"
rather than rushing into an invasion of
Gaza. He blamed the far-right Israeli
government for the war.

On Saturday evening on Fox News, Mark
Levin read off a lengthy list of all the
ways that the Biden administration has
weakened America in the last two years
-- the Afghanistan disaster,
unenthusiastic support for the Abraham
Accords, funding and enthusiastic
support for Iran, declaring war on the
energy industry, thereby indirectly
funding and strengthening America's
enemies including Iran, Russia,
Venezuela and China, throwing away most
of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
(SPR), completely opening the southern
borders, thereby flooding the country
with fentanyl, flooding the country with
millions of migrants from hundreds of
country, including from Iran, Lebanon,
and China.

Question: Which of these two statements
is "correct"? Which one is the best way
to prevent a major Mideast war?

Answer: Neither. A major Mideast war is
100% certain, no matter what we do.

I've been saying this for 20 years,
pitting Arabs vs Jews, Sunnis vs Shias,
and various ethnic groups against each
other, and that nothing can be done to
prevent it.

I couldn't predict what the scenario
would be, but this is the exact moment
I've been expecting. This is the moment
of "Regeneracy" for both Israel and
Hamas, as existential threats to each of
them force political opponents within
each side to unify against a common
enemy who is threatening to completely
destroy that side.


You may wonder, have we really reached
that point? Is there any way to stop a
major Mideast war? Well, perhaps Egypt
and Jordan will successfully force Hamas
to free the 200+ Israeli and American
hostages unharmed. Or, perhaps the
Israelis will agree to just let the
hostages dies in Gaza. These kinds of
things are impossible deep into a
generational Crisis era, where both Gaza
and Israel are today.

I've heard several politicians and
analysts for a few days calling for a
pause or a ceasefire, comparing today to
something that happened in the 60s, 70s,
80s, or 90s. As I've written dozens of
times in the past, policies are
determined not by the politicians but by
generations of people, and the mood of
ordinary people is much different today
than it was in the 60s, 70s, 80s, or
90s. In the current generational era, a
ceasefire amounts to a big Hamas and
Iranian victory.

Far more likely than any ceasefire or
peace deal would be an Israeli ground
invasion of Gaza or a Hezbollah invasion
of Israel, or both.

One thing that has caught me by surprise
is the extent to which the Mideast
Regeneracy has spread to cities around
the world, resulting in large
anti-Jewish demonstrations in many
cities in America and around the world,
with protesters carrying Nazi or Hamas
flags, and carrying signs like "Gas the
Jews" or "Kill all the Jews" or "Push
Israel into the Sea."

An example of the public relations
success of Hamas occurred last week
after a Hamas rocket misfired and
exploded at a hospital near Gaza City,
killing hundreds of innocent Gazans.
Hamas immediately announced that it was
genocide by a targeted missile launched
by Israel. Hamas knew that they could
say anything, and the leftist press in
America and around the world would
parrot what they said -- and that's
exactly what happened in the credulous
NY Times, and around the world.

These violent anti-Jewish protests are
being incited in America by a segment of
the Democrat party.

Rashida Tlaib, a leader of the far left
"The Squad" caucus of the Democrat Party
in the House of Representatives, has
been the most active in inciting calls
to kill Jews. She has a Palestinian
ancestry, and is using her position as
an American politician in the Democrat
party to call for ending American aid to
Israel and to kill Jews.

FullMoon
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by FullMoon »

Thanks John. Antisemitism is added to the list of "progressive" values which is damning and ensures they/them/those are certainly NOT going to have ANY influence in the post crisis period.

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Bob Butler
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Bob Butler »

FullMoon wrote:
Mon Oct 23, 2023 5:21 pm
Bob Butler wrote:
Mon Oct 23, 2023 12:18 am
While there are haters everywhere, Xi needs the oil and would not want the war expanding. Following orders, you will see the Chinese playing nice.
They're definitely involved. Xi is a devout Communist and regularly trades financial losses for political gains.
Involved, yes. I certainly can't deny Xi has made economically questionable decisions, such as building housing, cities and reservoirs he doesn't need. I'm not sure if the roads and bridges initiative should be considered economic or political, likely both. But the oil is critical, and I see it likely that there will be an official push for no widespread war. Whether it occurs or not is another question.

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Bob Butler
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Two Assertions

Post by Bob Butler »

John

I did kinda like Biden’s recent speech. I do think the push should be for a two state solution. I disagree with Fareed Zacharia that Israel is to blame for the conflict. It was clearly started by Hamas.

I think leaving Afghanistan was prudent. Fighting a forever war when more of the people were more willing to fight for the Taliban culture would be stupid. Not that I approve of the Taliban culture, but you can’t change a people at gunpoint.

They are not funding Iran. That is another of your lies.

The goal is not to destroy the energy industry but to seek a sustainable energy policy. You can argue they are mistaken, but not that their goal is not a proper one.

I am nervous that they spent much of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but it exists to allow the country to minimize an emergency. I think we had an emergency.

We are a country of immigrants. The rich have long tried to import cheap labor. Most locals are unwilling to work jobs at the cheap rates offered, so the politicians are bribed to allow immigration. The dominant factions in the Middle East are autocratic and immersed in the instinct to hate, oppress and kill. The best we can do is accept those who are not.

In short, both statements are questionable.

The Hamas conflict is a microcosm of the difference between the Agricultural Age and the Information Age. The question is whether violence will remain viable. Can defensive alliances subdue forces such as Putin’s and Hamas? It seems a ground invasion of Gaza is deemed necessary by most of Israel. Murder is easy by Hamas if it isn’t stopped. It would be nice if you could invade without killing people. Color me dubious? I heard a prediction that within 3 days the IDF will be able to occupy all of Gaza, but it will take weeks or months to clear out the tunnels and hidden Hamas remnants. This will cost much, but is necessary to put a halt to the loss of life.

The world is full of haters. That is part of the instinct to hate, oppress and kill those who are different. Loving thy neighbor is an equally strong instinct. Still, there are too many anti semitic people about, and with free speech as it is they get to spread hate. Regrettable, but perhaps inevitable.

richard5za
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Location: South Africa

Re: Two Assertions

Post by richard5za »

Bob Butler wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2023 7:10 am
John

I do think the push should be for a two state solution.
Timing is wrong for a two state solution: After the next war might work

Cool Breeze
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Anti-semitic material removed by Moderator.

Cool Breeze
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Re: Two Assertions

Post by Cool Breeze »

richard5za wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2023 9:00 am
Bob Butler wrote:
Tue Oct 24, 2023 7:10 am
John

I do think the push should be for a two state solution.
Timing is wrong for a two state solution: After the next war might work
These people always need enemies. It's their mojo. What's more, much higher up people love that they fight and fund wars.

The funniest part about all of this is that there are people here that actually believe that Israel fell asleep at the wheel while the most monitored and occupied part of the country, which they claim to be an enemy, flew across on hang gliders and did what they please.

This forum has reached an all time low.

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