Generational Dynamics World View News

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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Sun May 04, 2025 5:41 pm

Didn't John predict the Singularity by 2030? It seemed ra6far fetched at the time but it appears to be on time...
https://youtube.com/shorts/wEDztVCyHfU? ... Oh4BELrCaE

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Sun May 04, 2025 4:41 pm

Looks like the Yemen/Iran theater just got a big boost. Didn't we just officially announce that all Houthi actiona will be blamed on Iran? How did they get a missile through? We already know that the satellite guidance needed is Chinese. This is pretty bad....

Re: Change

by FullMoon » Sun May 04, 2025 4:35 pm

Bob Butler wrote:
Sun May 04, 2025 12:44 pm
Yah. The greater the disaster, the greater the need for progressive change. We're getting a bunch of disaster. The rich elites having too much say in government? Too much prejudice?

Personally, I'd rather the current system had been preserved by a Kamala victory, but with Trump we are getting a true economic collapse and constitutional crisis. A real S&H crisis, missing only a crisis war thus far. Still, give him time...
I believe the basic premise of what happens is attributable to the fate of the situation rather than the moves of the players at the time. What's happening is what's already been spoken of here. It's happening now. If Trump didn't push the situation (which actually is more in the long term favor of our nation as it appears with the currently known circumstances), it would have eventually happened regardless.
The forest is tinder dry and the wells had no water. L.A. USA
We soon enough will forget petty squaggles because a true crisis unites the people. Given this second basic assumption, we're currently still ascending in crisis level. Getting scary up here.

Change

by Bob Butler » Sun May 04, 2025 12:44 pm

Yah. The greater the disaster, the greater the need for progressive change. We're getting a bunch of disaster. The rich elites having too much say in government? Too much prejudice?

Personally, I'd rather the current system had been preserved by a Kamala victory, but with Trump we are getting a true economic collapse and constitutional crisis. A real S&H crisis, missing only a crisis war thus far. Still, give him time...

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Sun May 04, 2025 12:05 pm

spottybrowncow wrote:
Fri May 02, 2025 8:31 pm
I would like to encourage all GD readers to to read this:

https://now.tufts.edu/2019/11/21/why-un ... superpower

It is somewhat dated (2019), but I think still highly relevant. In a time of increasing pessimism and doomsaying, it offered me an engagingly different perspective - maybe right, maybe wrong, but engaging, nonetheless. I look forward to others' feedback.

Spotty
Yale historian Paul Kennedy conducted a famous study comparing great powers over the past five hundred years and concluded: “Nothing has ever existed like this disparity of power; nothing.” The United States is, quite simply, “the greatest superpower ever.”
People liked the fact that although John was gloomy about the terrible trials we're going to face, the USA will overcome and continue on afterwards. But even with our lopsided advantages in many ways, we're also dangerously weak in other critical areas. We're far too vulnerable in critical areas and most people have extremely limited ability to take care of their own basic living needs outside of the system that's known to be extremely vulnerable.
It's a time of rapid and radical change unseen in almost anyone's lifetime. It's easy now to be pessimistic and jump on the doomsaying bandwagon and we see the trend whereas before we were outliers.
But we have to hold out some hope and do our best, for those of us responsible for the lives of others it's important to both recognize the mortal danger we're all facing imminently but also hold out hope that we can make efforts to secure and protect them.
What happens on the society and global level we'll potentially never know... while we try to hold on living in what will be primitive conditions for an extended period of time. Better to get fully prepared now than wish you had done so when you're feeling like that clueless father in Obama's movie. That's my game plan. Good luck to everyone!

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by spottybrowncow » Fri May 02, 2025 8:31 pm

I would like to encourage all GD readers to to read this:

https://now.tufts.edu/2019/11/21/why-un ... superpower

It is somewhat dated (2019), but I think still highly relevant. In a time of increasing pessimism and doomsaying, it offered me an engagingly different perspective - maybe right, maybe wrong, but engaging, nonetheless. I look forward to others' feedback.

Spotty

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Mon Apr 28, 2025 6:25 am

https://rubino.substack.com/p/recession ... is-already
Let’s take the office building story step-by-step:

Between 2010 and 2020, millions of square feet of office space were financed with unnaturally cheap credit.

During the pandemic, millions of Americans discovered that they prefer working from home and refused to return to the office. Occupancy rates for many office buildings, as a result, are now so low that cash flow doesn’t cover expenses.

The post-pandemic inflation spike forced governments to raise interest rates just as loans on thousands of office buildings are coming up for refinancing. Combine lower cash flow with higher interest expense, and the result is plummeting valuations for many office buildings.

The Trump administration begins cutting the federal workforce, further emptying already underused offices. The result: a mountain of bad commercial real estate paper festering on bank balance sheets, threatening a banking crisis in the coming year.
Can An Economy Grow While Its Real Estate Tanks? Nope

Housing is a lead weight, while office space is a ticking time bomb. Neither is conducive to steady 3% non-inflationary growth. They might be the first dominoes to fall, as in 2008, or they might contribute to a crisis caused by geopolitics or an equities bear market. Either way, real estate is definitely part of the “imminent recession” story.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Tom Mazanec » Sun Apr 27, 2025 4:10 pm

Tensions soar as India weighs how to hit Pakistan
After the Kashmir attack, military action is possible but comes with huge risks
Photograph: AFP
Apr 27th 2025|Delhi and Islamabad
https://www.economist.com/asia/2025/04/ ... t-pakistan

India Seems to Be Building Its Case for Striking Pakistan
As world powers face multiple crises, the one set off by a terror attack in Kashmir is getting scant attention or help in de-escalating between nuclear-armed neighbors
Mujib Mashal
By Mujib Mashal
Reporting from New Delhi
April 27, 2025
Updated 7:02 a.m. ET
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/27/worl ... shmir.html

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Tom Mazanec » Fri Apr 25, 2025 7:48 pm

Phong Tran wrote:
Thu Apr 24, 2025 12:03 pm
As the India/Pakistan conflict is becoming heated again, due to the 26 tourists killed, I found this 1 year old video fairly informative as to the issues that Pakistan has been dealing with. They may be looking to enter a war against India as a way to distract their own population from their domestic and economic issues, just like China may.

Pakistan is dying (and that is a global problem) by CaspianReport
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xqm3kcHpIsI

Another one that's longer but gives a more geopolitical discussion.
Sushant Sareen Explains Pakistan's Real Truth - Military, Politics, Economy & Chaos by BeerBiceps
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUs7JPf3rsg
Here is Mike Snyder's take on this:
http://themostimportantnews.com/archive ... any-moment

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Phong Tran » Thu Apr 24, 2025 12:03 pm

As the India/Pakistan conflict is becoming heated again, due to the 26 tourists killed, I found this 1 year old video fairly informative as to the issues that Pakistan has been dealing with. They may be looking to enter a war against India as a way to distract their own population from their domestic and economic issues, just like China may.

Pakistan is dying (and that is a global problem) by CaspianReport
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xqm3kcHpIsI

Another one that's longer but gives a more geopolitical discussion.
Sushant Sareen Explains Pakistan's Real Truth - Military, Politics, Economy & Chaos by BeerBiceps
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUs7JPf3rsg

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