25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

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Expand view Topic review: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by Guest » Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:57 am

What would an economic collapse look like? Mad Max? Or will there be a nuclear war before law and order breaks down completely?

With the world being as connected as it is, wouldn't most of the world be pulled down together? What about race wars in Europe and North America?

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by John » Thu Jul 31, 2014 10:04 pm

mooreupp wrote:I need to start posting more. I love these blog posts and read them everyday. First few thoughts.

1. I agree completely on people not even being willing to consider many possibilities. In the last century we had 2 world wars, a decade plus economic depression, a cold war, massive change in technology, but if you suggest to anyone that any big changes are coming in the next few years (outside of the ones they want), you are often immediately dismissed. Trying to tell someone that a lot of actions being taken can easily lead to a world war in the next decade or so is treated like absurd. Telling them that our debt driven economic system has mathematically no long term solution but to crash is ignored (people either think of the economic as run by experts :lol: or by almost like magic with no way of predicting long term results).
Don't you know? The politicians and economists today are much smarter
than they were last century.

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by mooreupp » Thu Jul 31, 2014 2:50 pm

I need to start posting more. I love these blog posts and read them everyday. First few thoughts.

1. I agree completely on people not even being willing to consider many possibilities. In the last century we had 2 world wars, a decade plus economic depression, a cold war, massive change in technology, but if you suggest to anyone that any big changes are coming in the next few years (outside of the ones they want), you are often immediately dismissed. Trying to tell someone that a lot of actions being taken can easily lead to a world war in the next decade or so is treated like absurd. Telling them that our debt driven economic system has mathematically no long term solution but to crash is ignored (people either think of the economic as run by experts :lol: or by almost like magic with no way of predicting long term results).

2. (regarding earlier posts)The cultural components are very important to look at. We very much do put a Western type mindset on the thinking of most people and it's a definite fallacy. I agree we have to be careful in our discussions of differences, but we have to look at them too if you want any chance of predicting the future.

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by Guest » Thu Jul 31, 2014 10:39 am

It's obvious. You know your side will lose; that's why you are hiding in a cave.

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by vincecate » Wed Jul 30, 2014 12:06 pm

Guest wrote:You are going to have to think more than two hours ahead.
Come on, give me a hint. Do you think other Arabs want a piece of this or that Hamas is going to wipe out Israel on its own?

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by Guest » Wed Jul 30, 2014 10:41 am

You are going to have to think more than two hours ahead.

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by vincecate » Wed Jul 30, 2014 10:37 am

Guest wrote: HAMAS might not survive this onslaught, but the Israelis won't either.
How would Israel not survive this?

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by Guest » Sun Jul 27, 2014 12:03 am

Using your logic, the Jews are also a tribe, and they behave in the same ways. What hypocrisy.

What the pro-Israeli types are trying to do is justify mass murder. And it's not working. HAMAS might not survive this onslaught, but the Israelis won't either. Arrogance and racist contempt for your enemies won't help you defeat them. I really don't have anything to add that most of the international press hasn't already pointed out.

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by NoOneImportant » Sat Jul 26, 2014 1:30 am

And Vincecate wrote:
And having Hamas tell your kids to run to the rooftops when a missile is coming might make you wonder if Hamas is really protecting you.
There is an abject lack of understanding regarding the Palestinian mind set. The comments posted here attempt to impute a Western mindset - vision of the world - upon the decision making process of those who were born, reared, live and were conditioned in the ME. They don't have a mind set (a view of the world, if you will) equivalent to that of our life's experiences. In their mind it isn't the Hamas people who sent their children up to the roof to be killed by the known, and well defined coming Israeli ordnance. The fault lies with the Israelis, and with the western press who will just gobble up the pictures of the mangled little bodies - the dead children are merely cheap props, yes they are a personal tragedy, but vengeance will burn just so much the brighter. Incongruous, and irrational, from our perspective, as this may seem, they see the world through a tribal set of glasses. As I've noted before, the closest we can come to understanding this mindset, and world view is the Hatfield, and McCoy feud that raged in West Virginia, and Kentucky in the latter part of the 19th century. For the Brits who read this it's equivalent to the problem that England suffered with the highland Scot Clans prior to the battle of Cullloden. It's the reason that they - Middle Easterners - don't assimilate. It's the reason that they seek large families, all that can be truly counted upon is family - "...challenge me, and you challenge all my brothers, and all my relatives, and their relatives - and it isn't through the rule of law. And we will never stop coming."

We see things culturally. The bed rock foundation of our world view is based upon the written, and imposed rule of law. Great lengths are gone to in our society to attempt to dispense, flawed though it may be, impartial justice. That just isn't how the clan works. The clan in it's most basic form is: us vs them. The outsiders, or "they" can never become one of "us." And anyone of "us" wanting to become one of "them" is justification for killing them. There are cultural rules that order all societies, but those cultural rules in the case of the ME and Palestinians are specifically tribal based. They make no attempt to dispense "justice" (as we would identify and view it) when the parties are an "outsider" vs "one of us." It almost doesn't make any difference how brutal the act perpetrated by one of "us"; "justice" is only appropriately dispensed only when it rules for "our-side."

Re: 25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?

by John » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:31 am

John wrote: > There is no reason to be believe that a "moderate" government
> would be any more successful in governing Gaza as Hamas. And
> there's no reason to believe that this kind of military victory
> and imposed government wouldn't lead to a new war in a couple of
> years time, even worse than this one.
vincecate wrote: > In the West Bank the Palastinians have a more moderate
> government. It does not waste all its money on tunnels and
> rockets. It is more successful in governing. It has not gone to
> war with Israel in a long time.
That was tried in Gaza starting in 2005, but within a year, the
"moderate" government was ejected, and replaced by a radical
government. That would happen again.

The West Bank is extremely restive. Mahmoud Abbas, who may be the
only remaining survivor of the 1948 war in a leadership position, has
been able to keep a lid on the most extreme forms of violence. But
he's 79 years old,

Almost any younger replacement would be far more radical, including
the likely successors Jibril Rajoub and Mohammed Dahlan.

Note the massive West Bank protests today. That's a sign of the
future.

John

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