Guest wrote:
> I wrote the chest thumping post.
> I read the website because it reports news from the overseas
> press, that's interesting. I can ignore all the Obama bashing and
> polemical soap-boxing. But I get tired of the "counseling of
> despair", something I once heard W.F. Buckley (rightly I decided)
> denounce.
> My advice concerning generational dynamics: get quantified. As it
> stands now, it is not much different from a palm reader staring at
> your hand and saying "someday there will be another war".
> If generational dynamics is real, there will be statistics that
> prove it. Can't find the statistics---then it isn't real. And if
> it is real there will also be policies that mitigate it, and these
> are the proper research content of the theory, not counselling
> despair.
First off, I have quantified it. There are some 4,000 articles on my
web site containing hundreds of predictions, all of which have come
true or are trending true. None has turned out to be false. There
have been some cases, such as analysis of the Mideast peace process in
2003, Lebanon in 2006, Sri Lanka in 2009, and Iran in the last ten
years, when I've been right and pretty much the rest of the world has
been wrong. There is no other web site, analyst, journalist or
politician in the world with a better predictive record than mine. So
it's been quantified.
And if you want to challenge that, then be my guest, and good luck
trying. A number of others have tried and failed. You will too.
As for Obama bashing, I'll take just one example.
When Obamacare was announced in 2009, I said it would fail
disastrously, comparing it to Nixon's price controls in the 1970s.
That's exactly what's happened. Obamacare is a complete disaster, and
just as Nixon's price controls destroyed the economy for years,
Obamacare has destroyed medical services for years. So I was
completely right about this, and those who call what I write
"Obama-bashing" were dead wrong.
Let's make this explicit: I was completely right, and you were dead
wrong.
You're just an anonymous commenter, probably majored in women's
studies or sociology, think you know everything, but actually know
nothing except how to thump your chest and make nonsensical comments.
Guest wrote:
> What could mitigate a crisis period--things like the draft, the
> peace corps, service in UN peacekeeping operations, some forms of
> government are all plausible palliatives---there must be many---a
> serious theory would perform a serious search for ways to avert
> the coming clash of civilizations war--and not just say "oh it's
> hopeless", and chest thump whenever some tragedy superficially
> seems to confirm it.
Oh really? And which of these things are going to stop Kim Jong-un?
Maybe a UN peacekeeping operation can go into North Korea and clear
out the nuclear weapons. (Hint: UN peacekeeping operations in various
African countries have been at best useless, and at worst disastrous.)
All of those same "plausible palliatives" were around in one form or
another prior to World War II, but they didn't stop the Nazis or
Imperial Japan.
Are you really so dumb that you think any of these things could stop a
world war? If you do, then you really are a total moron.