5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

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Expand view Topic review: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by CH86 » Thu Apr 26, 2018 3:16 pm

John wrote:
Guest wrote: > How does this sound: China begins with a total suspension of all
> trade to Taiwan while simultaneously declaring a naval blockade of
> the island. China, on the same day, seizes the Senkaku Islands, a
> fait accompli. What would America do? If America tries to move
> against China, North Korea sucker punches South Korea. Personally,
> I think this is exactly where all this is heading.
If China tries a naval blockade of Taiwan, the US would aid
Taiwan in breaking the blockade, and a war would result.

If China tries to seize the Senkaku Islands, then Japan would
declare war, and the US would aid Japan in defending the
islands, and a war would result.

** 28-Apr-15 World View -- US reaffirms defense of Japan's Senkaku Islands
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e150428


If China tries any of these things, they would start by declaring war
against the US, and launch a bunch of ICBM's hoping to cripple the US
military before we could respond (similar to Japan's attack on Pearl
Harbor).
If it comes to direct war between China/Taiwan and China/Japan the US will remain neutral to avoid the above scenario ( unless we've established a reliable ABM/Stealth ICBM retaliation system beforehand). The Chinese general who back in the late 1990s, who when publicly questioned on this scenario said that the US would not Sacrifice Los Angeles for Taipei was and likely will ultimately be proven correct. The Reason For this is simple Nations place national integrity a higher priority than the integrity of International "rights and Wrongs". The above sentence is also the reason why a Nuclear First Strike on North Korea is Inevitable at this point; because the US will act to eliminate the direct threat regardless of whether Seoul is devastated in the process.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by John » Thu Apr 26, 2018 10:51 am

Guest wrote:Would China bother to declare war? Why not just a surprise attack?
Right.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by Guest » Thu Apr 26, 2018 10:16 am

Would China bother to declare war? Why not just a surprise attack?

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by John » Thu Apr 26, 2018 10:13 am

Guest wrote: > How does this sound: China begins with a total suspension of all
> trade to Taiwan while simultaneously declaring a naval blockade of
> the island. China, on the same day, seizes the Senkaku Islands, a
> fait accompli. What would America do? If America tries to move
> against China, North Korea sucker punches South Korea. Personally,
> I think this is exactly where all this is heading.
If China tries a naval blockade of Taiwan, the US would aid
Taiwan in breaking the blockade, and a war would result.

If China tries to seize the Senkaku Islands, then Japan would
declare war, and the US would aid Japan in defending the
islands, and a war would result.

** 28-Apr-15 World View -- US reaffirms defense of Japan's Senkaku Islands
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e150428


If China tries any of these things, they would start by declaring war
against the US, and launch a bunch of ICBM's hoping to cripple the US
military before we could respond (similar to Japan's attack on Pearl
Harbor).

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by Guest » Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:50 am

How does this sound: China begins with a total suspension of all trade to Taiwan while simultaneously declaring a naval blockade of the island. China, on the same day, seizes the Senkaku Islands, a fait accompli. What would America do? If America tries to move against China, North Korea sucker punches South Korea. Personally, I think this is exactly where all this is heading.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by Guest » Tue Apr 24, 2018 4:43 am

Nearly 70 percent of Taiwanese are willing to go to war if China were to attempt to annex Taiwan by force, a survey released by the Taiwan Foundation for Democracy yesterday said.

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/a ... 2003691661

Here we go...

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by John » Sun Apr 08, 2018 12:19 am

Yes I remember Warren. He's a very interesting guy.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by Guest » Sat Apr 07, 2018 11:58 pm

John wrote:OK, thanks for the information about Japan. It was very interesting
and helpful. Also, I've actually had other people online tell me the
same sorts of things about the Japanese, so it makes sense. However,
not everyone would agree with you that Japan has a more powerful
military than China's, but on the other hand, I'm sympathetic to the
view that China's military is bloated, corrupt and poorly trained.
I have been following you for years. Warren Pollack interviewed you 6-7 years ago on his You Tube Channel. That's how I found you. I mentioned WP to you in a post several years ago. I occasionally comment here. WP took down his channel in 2012-13. He had a lot of interesting things to say that I agreed with, but he didn't understand Asian cultures that well. He was also an apologist for Israel, which I grew I tired of. I don't trust people with moral blind spots. Still, I miss his videos, and I am grateful he brought me to you.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by John » Sat Apr 07, 2018 11:37 pm

OK, thanks for the information about Japan. It was very interesting
and helpful. Also, I've actually had other people online tell me the
same sorts of things about the Japanese, so it makes sense. However,
not everyone would agree with you that Japan has a more powerful
military than China's, but on the other hand, I'm sympathetic to the
view that China's military is bloated, corrupt and poorly trained.

Re: 5-Apr-18 World View -- China on path to repeat Japan's experience after Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930

by Guest » Sat Apr 07, 2018 11:32 pm

John wrote:You're American? The language in your writing does not appear to be
native American. The wording appears to be English as a second
language, with an Asian language as a first language.
I have lived half my life overseas. I was born in Europe to two American parents and grew up in in foreign countries. Maybe that has influenced my writing style? I don't speak English with an accent. I'm also white.

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