Generational Dynamics World View News

Post a reply


This question is a means of preventing automated form submissions by spambots.
Smilies
:D :) ;) :( :o :shock: :? 8-) :lol: :x :P :oops: :cry: :evil: :twisted: :roll: :!: :?: :idea: :arrow: :| :mrgreen: :geek: :ugeek:
BBCode is ON
[img] is ON
[url] is ON
Smilies are ON
Topic review
   

Expand view Topic review: Generational Dynamics World View News

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Sun Jun 08, 2025 3:34 pm

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-prepar ... 025-05-16/
US prepares for long war with China that might hit its bases, homeland: Peter Apps

LONDON, May 16 (Reuters) - Earlier this month, U.S. Air Force Brigadier General Doug Wickert summoned nearby civic leaders to Edwards Air Force Base in California to warn them that if China attacks Taiwan in the coming years, they should be prepared for their immediate region to suffer potentially massive disruption from the very start.

In a remarkable briefing shared by the base on social media and promoted in a press release, Wickert - one of America's most experienced test pilots now commanding the 412th Test Wing - outlined China's rapid military growth and preparations to fight a major war.

Cutting-edge U.S. aircraft manufactured in California’s nearby “Aerospace Valley”, particularly the B-21 “Raider” now replacing the 1990s B-2 stealth bomber, were key to keeping Beijing deterred, he said. However, if deterrence failed that meant China’s would likely strike the U.S. including nearby Northrop Grumman factories where those planes were built.

"If this war happens, it's going to happen here," Wickert told them, suggesting attacks could include a cyber offensive that included long-term disruption to power supplies and other national infrastructure. "It's going to come to us. That is why we are having this conversation... The more ready we are, the more likely to change Chairman Xi’s calculus."

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Sun Jun 08, 2025 3:30 pm

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/ ... eral-warns
China Is Preparing a “Pearl Harbor” Attack on America, US General Warns

But the main thrust of Beijing’s attack is likely to come far above the Earth, in outer space—where America’s satellites are vulnerable to innovative new Chinese weapons.

United States Air Force Brigadier General Doug Wickert, the commander of the Air Force’s 412th Test Wing, warned an audience of airmen that the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is preparing to conduct a Pearl Harbor-style attack on the United States as part of China’s larger effort to conquer Taiwan. Gen. Wickert’s nearly 40-minute talk is available for viewing on YouTube, and it already has well over 400,000 views.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Sun Jun 08, 2025 3:21 pm

I miss John's analysis. I'm surprised after all these years nobody has picked up the torch and continued with generational theory.

Lots of speculation based on personal bias of whats going to happen, John's was the only one trending correct for over 20 years.

Were getting closer to the point where we can call John's predictions accurate or not.

When the time comes its clear John was correct all along we most likely won't be able to contact each other or visit this forum.

national priorities

by spottybrowncow » Sat Jun 07, 2025 5:45 pm

Andrew Branca, a lawyer specializing in self-defense (covered the Kyle Rittenhouse trial for legalinsurrection.com), also has a political blog.
I found his recent posting on the Trump / Musk feud to be enlightening. It's lengthy, and parts can be skipped, but it's actually quite entertaining in its entirety. He gives an excellent argument for supporting the Big Beautiful Bill, despite the pork. Reason? It would be the most powerful anti-illegal-immigration bill ever passed, and he states that illegal immigration, not the debt, is the current existential crisis for the U.S. During the campaign, Musk gave a very concise analysis of why the democrats were so anxious to move illegal aliens to the 7 swing states, so I'm a little surprised to see him break with Trump over this now. Possibly it's a result of Asperger's. After all, neither Trump nor Musk are "normal" in the usual sense, as "normal" people don't have lives quite like either of them.
As always, looking forward to hearing other GD members' comments.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35yjmDx_2Kk

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Navigator » Fri Jun 06, 2025 11:21 pm

I certainly anticipate a very major war, the likes of which hasn't been seen for 80 years. But I personally don't think we are going to see a 50-60% or higher reduction in the world population.

I think that we are up for a high tech version of WW 1, very similar to what is going on in Ukraine, just on a much much larger scale. Loss of life will be significant. Even hundreds of millions, but that would still be a far cry from 50% of world population which is now around 8.25 Billion. Even a 1 Billion reduction in world population is only 12%.

Having said that, I think that we will only have a short respite after WW 3. Which I believe will act as a "final warning" to the world. After that I can certainly see nut jobs like Hitler/Stalin/Mao rising out of the ashes and engaging in widespread nuclear warfare. THEN we will see quite dramatic reductions in world population.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Fri Jun 06, 2025 11:30 am

Navigator wrote: Fri Jun 06, 2025 12:41 am Instead of "CCP members" I should have said "anyone with any connection to the CCP", which is basically any student from mainland China. They all need to go. These people are not our friends. They are the enemy. They are doing everything possible to weaken us from within.

When war does come, it won't just include a loss of the electrical grid. They are planning to attack any kind of infrastructure and industry. The fungus plot was just showing that they will go after agriculture as well.

So preparation is not just for loss of electricity, it will be for a temporary disruption of just about everything that we take for granted that is conveyed to us by any kind of distribution. Gasoline, food, water, heating fuels, medicine. They will go about disrupting all of this.
It will be the"mutually assured destruction" that everyone feared during the Cold War. We already know that 60-80%+ population drop, some say 90%+ are expected. And we're probably set up and ready to do something likewise to them. That's probably why we're operating in the Cold War methodology with proxy wars ongoing, testing each other's weaponry and resolve. Because both sides can destroy each other WITHOUT nuclear weapons. But unfortunately our capable generation has passed and now we have people who apparently think they can play with fire during park fire season.
Instead of "CCP members" I should have said "anyone with any connection to the CCP", which is basically any student from mainland China. They all need to go. These people are not our friends. They are the enemy. They are doing everything possible to weaken us from within
The idea that maintaining economic and cultural ties helps prevent war is a good one. We can all agree that getting potential spies out of key industries and upgrading our security infrastructure specifically towards potential enemy operatives is critical right now. But MOST CCP connected people only on it for benefits and will be hard pressed to help a government that they themselves don't like.
And we have Alqaeda, Iranian, Russian and Chinese all walked across the border and have set up shop just like the drug cartels have. Any one of them can probably fly a little drone. Or better yet, just let it go with AI installed with a payload. If we keep prodding Russia, maybe they'll give up the START treaty and share some of their vast holdings of the good stuff terrorists could use.
We need a bit more tact in our diplomacy. Some kind of idea that war really is something that needs to be avoided at all costs. Because 80-90% population reduction changes everything. Maybe that's what some of the bunker billionaires want. All of us useless eaters out of the way....
Unless a huge solar flare(expected any time now) does the job for them.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Navigator » Fri Jun 06, 2025 12:55 am

Some thoughts on Trump and Musk.

I believe that Musk thought that Trump would do something to reduce government debt. He also knew that if he helped Trump, a lot (and he did), that Trump would owe him some favors. And he could get into the government to help reduce its spending, which is an existential threat to the overall economy. Musk has more or less sucked up to every administration, of both parties. He was very chummy with Obama. He built his empire on the back of government subsidies and contracts and tax breaks, and he certainly wanted to control what happened to those. I don't think that he anticipated the backlash Tesla would receive as a consequence of his support of Trump. His current backlash may, in part, be due to his needing to distance himself from Trump.

Trump is not a fiscal conservative. Far from it. Neither is the Republican Congress (as a whole). The "big beautiful bill" is as full of pork as any federal budget in the last 65 years (that is, since JFK). The reality is that there is no hope of solving the government debt crisis, and it just gets worse every year, dragging the rest of the economy down with it.

Radical fiscal action is needed, and it can only be done by congress. Yet it is politically unfeasible. The general public does NOT understand that there is a limit to how much the government can borrow, and we are well past that point. Take the now notable town hall in Iowa where people were shouting at their Senator that any reduction in Medicaid would mean that "people will die" (to which she replied "we are all going to die"). The logic of limiting how much should the government spend on someone is lost on the vast majority. Should the government spend $50M to save the life of someone (who, by the way, did nothing to earn such a benefit)? What if everyone needed that? Where would these funds come from? Far too many think the government can just "wave a magic wand" and take care of it all.

We passed the point of "no return" fiscally as a nation in 2009.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Navigator » Fri Jun 06, 2025 12:41 am

Instead of "CCP members" I should have said "anyone with any connection to the CCP", which is basically any student from mainland China. They all need to go. These people are not our friends. They are the enemy. They are doing everything possible to weaken us from within.

When war does come, it won't just include a loss of the electrical grid. They are planning to attack any kind of infrastructure and industry. The fungus plot was just showing that they will go after agriculture as well.

So preparation is not just for loss of electricity, it will be for a temporary disruption of just about everything that we take for granted that is conveyed to us by any kind of distribution. Gasoline, food, water, heating fuels, medicine. They will go about disrupting all of this.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Thu Jun 05, 2025 10:37 am

I don't think the vast majority of CCP members have anything to do with the party other than trying to move up the social ladder, because in China it's usually about the only way for anyone not entrepreneurial. Restricting all Communist Chinese from military and research would be the biggest impact.
Looking at the Ukraine drone attack on Russian air bases, we should look inwards and wonder how safe we really are to a comparable attack. They used local workers and had everything already in place. If MI6/CIA was capable enough of doing this kind of internal sabotage with the Ukrainians, then we can assume there's already attacks preplanned waiting for the right time in the US. We already know that they're deeply embedded in our electronics and telecommunications.
I hope everyone is/has thought about being without electricity for an extended time. We're a global society that has lost much of the resilience that helped people survive during the cyclical times of chaos and catastrophe in the past. As we rapidly descend into chaos and the world is turned upside down, we don't really have the ability to put it into context. Like a frog sitting in simmering water which slowly warmed and then boiled it. We're sitting in simmering water and waiting to see the big bubbles below. But we won't see them because at that moment, we'll be without the ability to see. The knockout punch might be small as a straw that breaks the back.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by Navigator » Thu Jun 05, 2025 12:26 am

The most worrying thing I have seen in a while is the plot by two Chinese to smuggle a highly toxic fungus into the US.

The fungus would destroy main crops (wheat, corn, rice), and kill or gravely sicken livestock and humans that might come into contact with contaminated grain.

I am sure that we are not catching everything the Chinese are moving into the country. We can expect that these kinds of things are going to get dispersed on a non-trivial scale once the Chinese make a move.

In other areas, the Chinese continue to stoke internal conflict within the US. It is now becoming clear that a major sponsor of Pro-Palestinian and Antisemitic activism is China. Just like they were a major sponsor of BLM.

If there is any group of foreign nationals that the US needs to export as quickly as possible - it is CCP members living in this country.

Top