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Dear Pat,

The Grey Badger wrote: > I would have thought their crisis era *began* in 1991. That's how
> I was figuring it.

Well, Russia's last crisis era climaxed in the 1920s with Stalin's
defeat of Trotsky. That would put the beginning of the fourth turning
(crisis era) in the 1980s. So by this time, Russia would be in a
fifth turning.

John

John wrote:Dear Pat,

The Grey Badger wrote: > Did I understand you to say Russia is in a Generational Crisis
> Era? I thought they'd been through one in the 1990s -- or is it
> still going on? (counts on fingers) --- and that they were now
> 1T. Justin 77, who has lived and worked in Russia, seemed to
> confirm the notion that they were now 1T.

People, including Justin, who claim that Russia's crisis era ended in
the 1990s are in a world of denial and wishful thinking. There's no
credible regeneracy, there's no credible crisis (crisis war or
otherwise), and there's no credible crisis era climax. Russia is in
no way immune to what's coming.

John

I would have thought their crisis era *began* in 1991. That's how I was figuring it.

I just read a comment by an intelligent historian who blamed religion for the destruction of the Library at Alexandria. He said something like "Christians, Muslims take your pick, religion at work". In fact, most agree and the evidence suggests that this tremendous event was an accident resulting from Julius Caesar burning his ships during a military campaign to keep them from falling into enemy hands.

So why did the historian make such a mistake? It was probably due to the widely held personal bias in left leaning academia against religion (especially Christianity), a bias borne of subconscious resistance against the standards and demands that religion places on one's personal conduct and the shame and self-loathing felt at not living up to those standards. Bottom line, such biases skew, leading to long term and long range detrimental effects.

The beauty of Generational Dynamics is that it provides an extremely general, big picture, theoretical framework, which avoids the fatal trap of devolving into nebulousness. But as a general framework, it also cannot be applied too exactly either. A narrow, self-rooted idea like that in the example above, almost always distorts reality when applied in a general way; but even a robust framework can distort if it is applied too specifically.

Dear Pat,

The Grey Badger wrote: > Did I understand you to say Russia is in a Generational Crisis
> Era? I thought they'd been through one in the 1990s -- or is it
> still going on? (counts on fingers) --- and that they were now
> 1T. Justin 77, who has lived and worked in Russia, seemed to
> confirm the notion that they were now 1T.

People, including Justin, who claim that Russia's crisis era ended in
the 1990s are in a world of denial and wishful thinking. There's no
credible regeneracy, there's no credible crisis (crisis war or
otherwise), and there's no credible crisis era climax. Russia is in
no way immune to what's coming.

John

Did I understand you to say Russia is in a Generational Crisis Era? I thought they'd been through one in the 1990s -- or is it still going on? (counts on fingers) --- and that they were now 1T. Justin 77, who has lived and worked in Russia, seemed to confirm the notion that they were now 1T.

9-Aug-10 News -- N. Korea seizes S. Korean fishing boat

** 9-Aug-10 News -- N. Korea seizes S. Korean fishing boat
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 09#e100809

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"Wildfires in Russia infuriate the people"
"Additional links"
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