Generational Dynamics World View News

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Expand view Topic review: Generational Dynamics World View News

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by DaKardii » Thu Jan 08, 2026 5:23 pm

Well, it's that time of year again! Here are the top 20 most powerful countries going into 2026.

SUPERPOWERS
1. United States
2. China

GREAT POWERS
3. Japan
4. Germany
5. France
6. India
7. United Kingdom
8. Russia

LESSER POWERS
9. Brazil
10. Canada
11. Italy
12. South Korea
13. Australia
14. Saudi Arabia
15. Spain
16. Turkey
17. Netherlands
18. Indonesia
19. Mexico
20. Israel

Source: https://korbel.du.edu/pardee/download-ifs/

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Tue Jan 06, 2026 11:10 am

Iran is in an awakening era, where the younger generation is seeking to take power and install their own values in the country.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ ... his-alone/
Protesters clash with security forces in Tehran’s Grand Bazaar; Pezeshkian: Government ‘can’t handle this alone’
https://apnews.com/article/iran-economi ... 634acaa61e
Security forces clash with protesters in Iran’s main market as at least 35 killed in demonstrations
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Protesters angry over Iran’s ailing economy conducted a sit-in Tuesday at Tehran’s Grand Bazaar, witnesses said, with security forces ultimately firing tear gas and dispersing demonstrators as the rest of the market shut down.

The protest at the Grand Bazaar, the beating heart for centuries of both Iran’s economic and political life, represents the latest signal that the demonstrations likely are to continue as the country’s rial currency fell to a record low Tuesday. Already, violence surrounding the protests has killed at least 35 people with authorities detaining more than 1,200 others, activists abroad say.

Meanwhile, the situation is likely to worsen as Iran’s Central Bank drastically reduced the subsidized exchange rates for dollars it offers to importers and producers in the country. That likely will see merchants pass on price hikes in the coming days for goods directly onto consumers, whose life savings already have dwindled over years of international sanctions targeting the Islamic Republic.
https://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg ... 060919.htm
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel. (19-Sep-2006)Summary
William G. McLoughlin and other historians have long recognized America's "Great Awakenings" as times of great social turmoil and religious revival. Each Awakening resolved the turmoil by setting new priorities for the nation, and the most recent awakening solidified our support for Israel. Awakenings are a pillar of Generational Dynamics, and they occur in every nation and society throughout history. The most recent Awakenings among Muslim nations have solidified their desire to eliminate Israel.
Generational Dynamics predicts that there'll be a "clash of civilizations" world war, pitting the Muslim world (with China as an ally) against the Western World (with Russia and India as allies). This war was launched by events and social changes that occurred decades ago (and, some would say, centuries ago). Nothing can be done to prevent it today.

Although we can't predict the scenario leading up to that war, current events make it clear that Palestine and Israel will be the epicenter (or at least AN epicenter) of that war. This really shouldn't be surprising, since Palestine and Jerusalem have been the epicenter of many "world wars" for millennia.

However, it would be a mistake to assume that Israel is the only issue leading to a world war. America actually has signed a large number of mutual defense treaties with other countries as well. These include agreements with Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the ANZUS agreement with Australia and New Zealand, and the NATO agreement with all of Europe, as well as with Israel.

More and more, I've been telling people lately the following: Treasure the time you have left, and use it to prepare yourself, your family, your community and your nation.

We can't predict the time frame for this war, but with the aggressiveness of Iran in its intent to eliminate Israel, with China's increasing economic instability, with Russia's increasing social instability, and with the the world population's increasing anxiety and fear over violence and terrorism, the time cannot be too far off.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Tue Jan 06, 2026 11:06 am

As John used to say, "world events are escalating":

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/tr ... r-AA1TFdh4
Trump team puts a target on Cuba, with threats and oil blockade

No place was hit harder than Cuba by the shock waves that Saturday morning’s U.S. military seizure of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro sent throughout Latin America and the world.

Within hours of the operation — long before the government in Havana acknowledged it — phone calls and texts across the island spread the news that dozens of elite Cuban security forces had been killed guarding Maduro.

But by the time it finally released a statement late Sunday saying that 32 of its military and security personnel were dead in Caracas, the Cuban government had bigger problems on its hands.

Both President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio made clear over the weekend that the collapse of Cuba’s communist government was not only a likely side benefit of Maduro’s ouster but a goal.

“I don’t think we need [to take] any action,” Trump said as he flew back to Washington from his extended Florida holiday break. Without Maduro and the oil supplies Venezuela provided, he said, “Cuba looks like it’s ready to fall.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/worl ... url-share/
How the ‘Donroe Doctrine’ Reinforces Xi’s Vision of Power in Asia

The U.S. assault on Venezuela points to a world where big powers seek to call the shots in their regions, an idea Beijing knows well.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/06/europea ... erest.html
‘Greenland belongs to its people’: European leaders unite over Trump’s threats to annex territory
https://www.afr.com/world/europe/europe ... 107-p5ns6g
European leaders urge Trump to respect Greenland’s borders
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/us/p ... =url-share
Stephen Miller Asserts U.S. Has Right to Take Greenland

In a CNN interview, the Trump aide also echoed the president’s intent to run Venezuela as he laid out a case for the United States to control weaker states by flexing its military might.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Tue Jan 06, 2026 10:59 am

We are slowly moving into WWIII but the real shooting hasn't started yet.

China is expanding its sphere of influence, Russia is expanding its sphere of influence, and now America is.

The idea of taking Greenland before Russia or China can get it along with other countries in the U.S. sphere of influence shouldn't be surprising to anyone who studies Generational Dynamics.

https://steelcutter.substack.com/p/the- ... r-is-going
The global resource war is going kinetic
Today, the unipolar period which followed the end of the cold war is coming to an end. It’s being replaced by a tri-polar world if you count the three greatest military powers: the USA, Russia and China. Or, it's a bipolar world if you consider it to be a contest between the USA and its allies, and the emerging BRICS bloc.

In my humble opinion, (news flash), the US naval fleet currently assembled in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific is not actually about stopping drug boats. It's about securing the largest oil reserve in the world for U.S. refineries. It’s also a message to Russia and China that the USA is exerting a new economic Monroe Doctrine, with the Americas in our zone of control.
I'm also wondering about the timing of our recent attacks on the Muslim terror camps in northern Nigeria. The Christians have been enduring massacres in Nigeria for over a decade, and now we are suddenly taking notice. Maybe it's just a coincidence. Maybe not. In any event, both with the Caribbean and Pacific drug boats, the recent attack on the alleged Venezuelan drug port, and the recent attacks inside Nigeria, America is flexing its kinetic muscles and putting our adversaries on notice. I'm not cheering on this development, I'm just noting it as a fact.

Venezuela

by Navigator » Mon Jan 05, 2026 12:47 pm

I would estimates somewhere between 500K and a million armed and motivated "Chavenistas" (Chavez/Maduro supporters).

Yes, we could flood the country with guns, but that would most likely lead to a bloody and protracted civil war. This is most likely what the situation will devolve into. Chavez/Maduro held onto power through handouts to these people, who came from the lower classes of Venezuelan society, and they aren't going to quietly accept going back into poverty

Something did need to be done. Venezuela needed to be taken out of the active orbit of China/Russia. And during the upcoming war, Venezuelan oil will be very important to the US. It is obviously much easier to get oil from Venezuela than the Middle East, especially during wartime.

Re: Venezuela

by spottybrowncow » Mon Jan 05, 2026 9:42 am

Navigator wrote: Mon Jan 05, 2026 12:23 am The take-out of Maduro makes great TV, but, unfortunately, resolving the situation in the US's favor will be complex.

Any dictator puts echelons of cronies in power below them. Just taking out the dictator does not take away the power these people have. Plus, they and their supporters are usually the only ones with weapons.

It would be great if Venezuela transitioned to regular democracy, but all the Chavez/Maduro cronies would lose what power/influence/wealth they now enjoy. I'm afraid they aren't going to go anywhere without a fight.

Similar situation in Iran for those that want freedom/overthrow of the Khameni regime.
Thanks Navigator. Two questions:

1) We obviously have great intel in Venezuela, most of the population hates him, I read someone very close to him gave the U.S. his precise location during the exercise. Why can't we just flood them with guns, directed to the "right" people?

2) What percentage of the population, heavily armed (with the rest unarmed), are necessary to keep the Maduro regime in power?

Venezuela

by Navigator » Mon Jan 05, 2026 12:23 am

The take-out of Maduro makes great TV, but, unfortunately, resolving the situation in the US's favor will be complex.

Any dictator puts echelons of cronies in power below them. Just taking out the dictator does not take away the power these people have. Plus, they and their supporters are usually the only ones with weapons.

It would be great if Venezuela transitioned to regular democracy, but all the Chavez/Maduro cronies would lose what power/influence/wealth they now enjoy. I'm afraid they aren't going to go anywhere without a fight.

Similar situation in Iran for those that want freedom/overthrow of the Khameni regime.

The last crisis?

by Bob Butler » Sun Dec 28, 2025 7:25 am

FullMoon wrote: Sat Dec 27, 2025 12:03 pm
I'd like to think that in a Crisis people learn that a particular flavor of conflict is considered ugly and the cultures involved squish that form of conflict. Optimistic,
I've seen some otherwise well educated and intelligent people say something like this. Probably because they think this time is different. We're now more advanced and sophisticated to bring about the kind of destruction that's happened EVERY time in previous eras. And so they are also guilty of not providing enough resistance to the trend towards destruction besides looking away and saying that it's not bad enough and we'll be fine after this rough patch.
I see things like nobility, slavery and world war end with crises. Of course there are more things that could end. There are more crises yet to be had. Of course weapons keep getting more potent. These transitions will continue to be ugly.

Yes, each crisis is different, but I don't see the patterns discussed by S&H as invalid, nor this crisis as likely to be last.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by FullMoon » Sat Dec 27, 2025 12:03 pm

I'd like to think that in a Crisis people learn that a particular flavor of conflict is considered ugly and the cultures involved squish that form of conflict. Optimistic,
I've seen some otherwise well educated and intelligent people say something like this. Probably because they think this time is different. We're now more advanced and sophisticated to bring about the kind of destruction that's happened EVERY time in previous eras. And so they are also guilty of not providing enough resistance to the trend towards destruction besides looking away and saying that it's not bad enough and we'll be fine after this rough patch.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

by tim » Fri Dec 26, 2025 10:18 pm

https://www.twz.com/sea/chinese-cargo-s ... rs-emerges
Chinese Cargo Ship Packed Full Of Modular Missile Launchers Emerges

Image

China has packed a deck of a medium-sized cargo ship with 60 containerized vertical launch cells, radar, and close-in weapons.
We had a feeling we would be in for another round of weapons ‘reveals’ out of China this Christmas, following last year’s ‘leaks’ of not just one, but two tailless stealth tactical jet designs, among other developments. It appears we are getting at least one installment of this in the form of a medium-sized cargo ship packed full of containerized vertical launchers, along with sensors and self defense systems. The message is clear, China is making it known that it could, and likely will, turn ships from its behemoth of a commercial fleet into not just shooters, but arsenal ships.

The vessel has containers packed on its deck, both used for containing weapons and for mounting them, along with sensors. In other words, the layout appears to be designed as something of an improvised superstructure in order to turn the cargo ship into a heavily-armed surface combatant of sorts. This includes the mounting of a large rotating phased-array radar forward of the bridge atop three containers, as well as another domed radar or communications system across the deck from it mounted on two containers.

A closer look at the radar and CIWS installation on the vessel. (Chinese internet)

Near the bow of the vessel, high-up mounted above two containers, we see an Type 1130 30mm close-in-weapon system (CIWS) for last-ditch defense against incoming threats, especially cruise missiles. One container lower, on both sides, we see Type 726 decoy launchers mounted on top of another pair of containers. The large cylindrical pods appear to be emergency life rafts, likely required because of the expanded crew size to make a concept like this work.

A closer look at the radar and CIWS installation on the vessel. (Chinese internet)
Then we get to the real eyebrow raiser, a deck literally covered with containerized vertical launchers. Installed five wide and three deep, each packing four large launch tubes, this arrangement gives the vessel a whopping 60 vertical large launch cells. This is two-thirds the VLS capacity of a Arleigh Burke class Flight I or II destroyer.

Due to the large radar installation, it appears this ship’s mission is something of a picket ship, rather than just an arsenal ship, providing area air defense, but that doesn’t mean its containerized launchers couldn’t pack other weapons. Still, something like this could be useful for persistently providing air defense over a given area.

Another angle of the ship. (Chinese internet)

Regardless, it’s an impressive display and there have been rumors about China going this route as it races to advance its goal of naval supremacy. We have already seen Chinese commercial ships leveraged at improvised helicopter carriers and ferries being shifted to the island invasion mission during exercises. It’s also worth noting that containerized weapon systems have moved from controversial oddity to the mainstream over the last decade, and it’s an area the U.S. continues to pursue heavily for all sorts of applications.

The images of China’s cargo ship turned floating missile farm offer a lot to look at, but the question has to be raised just how real this configuration is? It very much looks like it was made photo ready for these images. Is this a proof of concept demonstrator or just a mockup? How sturdy are the radar and CIWS installations, for instance? On closer examination of the images, the radar installation looks relatively robust, but takeaways are limited at this time. The radar would have an issue with being close to inline with the ship’s actual aft superstructure, although there are ways to mitigate this. And just because you can bolt all this to a commercial ship, it doesn’t mean it can employ these sensors and weapons effectively. What combat information system exists on the ship to integrate all these systems and effectively use them in combat?

We just don’t know at this time.

That isn’t to say that fully developing bespoke weapons configurations for commercial vessels isn’t a good strategy. Some will take major issue with this as it would supposedly ‘turn every ship into a target’ during a time of conflict, and certainly maritime lawyers would have insightful opinions on it, but the advantage of such a ready-to-go capability is clear. China, with its massive fleets of cargo ships and gargantuan shipbuilding capacity could leverage this concept to a degree that it would become a huge problem for the U.S. and its allies. On the other hand, as we have suggested before, going a similar route will likely become necessary for the U.S. Navy, which is being overrun in shipbuilding by the People’s Liberation Army Navy, and that delta will likely only widen as time goes on. This reality is only exacerbated by one failed surface combatant program after another.

There will be much more to discuss about China’s weaponized cargo ship concept in the days to come, and, if last year was any indication, this may not be the only ‘surprise Christmas gift’ that Beijing delivers in the hours ahead.

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