> So you seem to think that a "generational crisis war" is pretty
> far off in Nigeria due to the fact that their last crisis war was
> ended 42 years ago and, as such, much of that generation is still
> alive an will prevent it.
> Now, I know that average are just that... averages. But a quick
> lookup shows me that the average life-expectancy in Nigeria is
> just 46.9 years (46.4 years for males).
> Therefore, I would think they're close to another "generational
> crisis".
The average life expectancy is actually irrelevant, since there are
always older people around. What's important is the length of a
maximum human lifetime, and that's been around 80 years for millennia.
The average life expectancy usually has to do with infant and child
mortality, which is irrelevant to the generational model.
Interestingly, it could plausibly be argued that a decreasing average
life time actually means that they generational cycle length should be
longer, not shorter. The argument would be as follows: If the average
lifetime becomes shorter, then it probably means an increase in infant
and child mortality, which means that older people have greater
influence for more of thair lives.
However, I don't really believe that the average lifetime has
any relevance at all, one way or the other.
John