Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

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Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Sat Jun 13, 2026 3:24 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Fri Jun 12, 2026 4:14 pm In the new dark age, it will likely not be possible to achieve the scale of a standard insurgency but a large number of independent insurrections can mimic that without any coherent endpoint, as would be expected in a dark age environment.
Military analyst Michael Clarke has said he would be "surprised" to see Iran sign an agreement with the US on Sunday.

"It's not a peace deal," he explained, adding "it's a series of modalities to arrive at a peace deal".

"It would be unusual to me if the Iranians signed it tomorrow, because why would they play to Donald Trump's agenda?

"They want to humiliate him, and it would suit them to embarrass him and sign it next week when they're really happy with it."

Although everything is "unpredictable" with the US president, Clarke said he believes Iran will wait longer before signing any agreement.

"I think we're not going to see a neat end to this, it will just drift on for a long time," he said.

"The Strait of Hormuz will open again, but it will never go back to the way it was because the Iranians now know how easy it is for them to close it."
https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-lat ... z-13509565

Similarly, this is a good encapsulation of what war will look like in the new dark age.

Sure, it would be to the Iranian's advantage at this time (in the current new dark age environment) to go ahead and open the Strait of Hormuz, then close it again when the US is unprepared and least expects it. Generally, it would be to their advantage to say, yeah, yeah, we'll go ahead with an agreement, then drag their feet over minor negotiating points, maybe sign an agreement, then renege on it when it's convenient for them to do so...as the new dark age tightens its grip.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by aedens » Sat Jun 13, 2026 9:07 am

Military and administrative costs. Rot unchecked. Capital moved.
Leading to inflation.
Loss of public trust.
Shift toward barter.
As warned the stalking horse always shows its color.
Pro tip it was currency as the West destroyed it and itself by it.
The warning agency issue was and is ignored as the illegal wailing was clear to the Gulag I did it for the Officials.
Every one knows who reformed the currency and the period that existed after because of it.
They will refuse to admit what saved the Eastern Empire for Hundreds of years until the cubed cult zealots
flipped over the applecart. It is apparent as warned into September in our view who is deceived
as delay deny distort. Even Texas is going to flip because the locals know data centers is not a sane future
as financial decay is now certain was forwarded. The data fragility message was clear as SLM to survive.
That sucking sound has not stopped now did it. Current open source intel states Pakistan deceived intent and interpretation.
Exit plan to escape America by tech money is ongoing. Social the waste on Taxpayer as private loots on the way out is
ridicule clear.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jun 12, 2026 4:37 pm

This remains my summary forecast for the new dark age:
Higgenbotham wrote: Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:49 pm My more specific predictions would be:
  • There will be a major global financial panic and crisis. Supply chains will break, resulting in unavailability of critical raw materials and components. Global trade will begin to shut down. As it begins to become apparent that the supply chain linkages are permanently broken, the global interlinked financial markets will shut down and cease to exist. This will all happen very quickly. It will not take years from the initial panic.
  • The focus of governments will turn to controlling their panicked and hungry populations. Due to lack of availability of imported goods and adequate storage "sufficient to reconstitute" a system consistent with nation state government, this will prove to be too little too late and most government will devolve to the local level as populations lose faith in their national governments and the national governments lose the resources and ability to control their populations.
  • There will be no large scale nuclear war. Instead, the population will be culled through starvation, local strife (including settling of long-standing scores) and disease. Wave after wave of pandemics will sweep the world.
  • Similar to national economies and governments, centralized utilities will fail or become so decrepit as to be unsafe and unusable. All centralized utilities including the power grid will shut down permanently.
  • The initial worldwide kill rate during the first couple decades following the financial panic will exceed 90%. The global population will be in the range of a few tens of millions when the bottom is hit in two or three centuries. Similar to the last dark age, the world's largest cities will have a population on the order of 25,000 and a large town will be 1,000.
  • Life during the coming dark age will be similar to the last dark age but worse due to environmental damage and pollution.
The above few posts fall into the category of "local strife".

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jun 12, 2026 4:14 pm

Insurrection vs Insurgency in the New Dark Age
Could a large number of independent insurrections that operate under leaderless resistance have the same effect as a large organized insurgency?

AI Overview

Yes, a massive number of independent, leaderless cells can achieve the disruptive, psychological, and systemic effects of an organized insurgency. However, while they can inflict significant damage, they generally struggle to achieve the decisive, political end-goals of a unified insurgency.

Why Leaderless Resistance Can Equal an Organized Insurgency

Operational Security: Without a central command or communication networks, these cells are highly resistant to traditional intelligence gathering, infiltration, and the "leadership decapitation" that often cripples organized insurgencies.

Overwhelming Saturation: Even small-scale actions, when executed concurrently by thousands of independent actors across wide geographies, can completely overwhelm state security, policing, and economic resources.

Asymmetric Persistence: Without the structural vulnerabilities of a standing military force, these movements are notoriously difficult for established authorities to root out completely.

The Limits of Leaderless Resistance

Lack of a Political Endgame: Organized insurgencies often have overt political wings, provide social services, and offer a viable alternative government. Decentralized cells are usually limited to violence, mayhem, or protests without a clear path to taking or transitioning into power.

Tactical Incoherence: Independent actors may contradict each other's actions, target the wrong assets, or alienate the broader population through uncoordinated violence.

Vulnerability to Countermeasures: Because these cells operate without central command, they rely heavily on broad, ideological narratives to stay aligned. This means authorities can sometimes neutralize them by disrupting information pipelines, deploying algorithmic censorship, or initiating targeted counter-messaging campaigns.
This clarifies why these terms are being used interchangeably here in this dark age hovel. In the new dark age, it will likely not be possible to achieve the scale of a standard insurgency but a large number of independent insurrections can mimic that without any coherent endpoint, as would be expected in a dark age environment.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jun 12, 2026 2:49 pm

How likely is a localized domestic insurrection composed of small cells numbering under 300 total individuals within the United States in the next 12 months?

Federal intelligence assessments indicate that while the likelihood of a massive, organized uprising is very low, the threat of localized violence or targeted attacks by small, decentralized cells (numbering well under 300 individuals) is a persistent and escalating concern.

Security experts and threat analysts track this localized risk through several key frameworks:

Tactical Approach: Domestic violent extremists and anti-government groups increasingly favor "leaderless resistance" and compartmentalized, decentralized cells rather than large, centralized paramilitary formations.

Target Selection: Small cells typically avoid heavily fortified government installations, focusing instead on "soft targets", critical infrastructure, law enforcement personnel, or local civic and political events.

Federal Disruption: The FBI and the Department of Homeland Security heavily prioritize tracking and disrupting domestic terrorism. Because of sophisticated surveillance and undercover operations, large-scale coordinated plots are frequently detected and dismantled in the early planning phases.Tracking domestic extremism requires an understanding of both the ideology and the tactical methods of these actors. For more details on how threat levels are monitored nationwide, you can review the 2026 Homeland Threat Assessment provided by the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.
My tendency is still to think that not much happens until the financial system crashes, but, at the same time, it seems it is well past the "sell by" date for a crash. This increases the chances that a whole lot of things happen all at about the same time.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jun 12, 2026 2:09 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Thu Jun 11, 2026 3:50 pmWithout doing a full blown analysis of the population in that area, I would venture to say that choosing Frisco as a location for replacement of the native population is problematic because it can easily be a target for a domestic insurgency, as it is on the far north edge of the Dallas Metroplex and butts up against rural areas full of ex military, hunters, preppers, etc.

viewtopic.php?p=94397#p94397
Is the area directly north of Frisco Texas home to a lot of ex military, gun owners, and preppers?

Yes, the areas directly north of Frisco (such as Prosper, Celina, and McKinney) attract a demographic that highly values independence, security, and conservative principles. While Frisco itself has become a high-tech corporate hub, its immediate northern neighbors offer the larger acreage, self-reliance, and gun-friendly environments many of these communities seek.

Key regional characteristics for the area directly north of Frisco include:

Gun Ownership & The 2A Culture: Because of Texas’s broad protections and the conservative nature of the North Central region, these northern suburbs see very high rates of gun ownership and thriving shooting sports/tactical training communities.

Military Veterans: North Texas is a primary hub for transitioning servicemembers. Neighboring cities like McKinney feature strong VFW posts and veteran support networks, and dedicated organizations like the Veterans Out Post are based right in Celina.

Prepper Community: These ex-urban and rural-adjacent towns are well-suited for homesteading and emergency preparedness. Communities in the northern fringes of the DFW exurbs lean heavily toward self-sufficiency and disaster readiness.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Thu Jun 11, 2026 4:07 pm

Has the number of Indians in the US increased or decreased since Trump took office in January 2025?

AI Overview

The total number of Indian immigrants and Indian Americans in the US has generally grown over the long term, but net international migration has significantly slowed. While exact, finalized demographic counts for late 2025 and 2026 are still being processed by the U.S. Census Bureau, data shows a marked nationwide decrease in overall immigration and international student entries since the Trump administration took office in January 2025.

Key factors influencing this shift include:

Student Visas: Higher education centers saw a sharp drop in incoming international students, with arrivals from India seeing a reported reduction during the fall 2025 semester.

Deportations: In 2025, over 3,800 Indian nationals were deported from the US, an uptick in enforcement actions.

General Migration Trends: Overall net international migration to the US has dropped, affecting both legal and unauthorized immigration streams.

Longer-term demographic realities tracked by the Pew Research Center show that two-thirds of the US Indian population are foreign-born immigrants, making this demographic highly sensitive to shifts in international entry, visa approvals, and enforcement policies.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Thu Jun 11, 2026 3:50 pm

tim wrote: Thu Jun 11, 2026 9:03 am The dark age is already present in parts of the Western world. This YouTuber goes to places invaded by immigrants:
https://youtu.be/ralf0yL1Tfw
I Exposed Texas' Indian Invasion...
Tyler Oliveira
9.49M subscribers
3M views 2 months ago
First, this youtuber has 9.49 million subscribers because he is striking a chord with people.

Second, Trump wants to tell you that because he is getting rid of a few illegals that he is tackling the immigration problem. The real immigration problem is the subject of the videos this youtuber is putting out. That's why this particular one has 3 million views and over 40,000 comments. As Europe burns as was noted yesterday. The comments are spot on and truthful.

Third, the reason people voted for Trump is because he promised to solve the immigration problem. Since he has taken office, the problem has grown by leaps and bounds. This was entirely predictable.

Fourth, since Trump has failed to solve the immigration problem, as was entirely predictable, people will now start to look for alternative solutions. Without doing a full blown analysis of the population in that area, I would venture to say that choosing Frisco as a location for replacement of the native population is problematic because it can easily be a target for a domestic insurgency, as it is on the far north edge of the Dallas Metroplex and butts up against rural areas full of ex military, hunters, preppers, etc.

viewtopic.php?p=94397#p94397

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by tim » Thu Jun 11, 2026 12:43 pm

https://substack.brownstone.org/p/sinc ... -loss-half
Since Lockdowns, a 12% GDP Loss; Half of US Dollar Purchasing Power Stolen

Many of us have had the intuition that the economic damage from 2020 was greater than official statistics indicate. What follows will shore up this intuition.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by tim » Thu Jun 11, 2026 9:03 am

The dark age is already present in parts of the Western world. This YouTuber goes to places invaded by immigrants:

https://youtu.be/6Kp5INDksAc

https://youtu.be/jpvJQC2CLwI

https://youtu.be/ralf0yL1Tfw

https://youtu.be/lMf1-vZQtDI

https://youtu.be/sX-IKLSFH_I

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