Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

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Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Sun Jan 11, 2026 4:19 pm

Higgenbotham wrote: Sun Jan 11, 2026 3:18 pm One time, he commented that his friend Buffet would not have done well during prehistoric times by shouting at a predator, "I allocate capital well."
Warren’s success:
- “I was born wired to allocate capital well.” If I was born in Bangladesh and I walked down
the street explaining that “I allocate capital well”, the townspeople would say “get a job”.
- Bill Gates says that if I was born 1000 years ago, I wouldn’t survive because I am not fast or
strong. I would find myself running from a lion screaming “I allocate capital well!!”
https://tilsonfunds.com/BuffettVanderbi ... !%E2%80%9D

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Sun Jan 11, 2026 3:18 pm

“My answer is this: I am still an optimist because I see what innovation accelerated by artificial intelligence will bring.”
Artificial intelligence won't likely even slow aquifer depletion or many other similar negative trends. During the maintenance phase of this declining civilization he did a lot to slow the decline. But as the new dark age takes hold, it seems his relevance is drawing to a close. One time, he commented that his friend Buffet would not have done well during prehistoric times by shouting at a predator, "I allocate capital well."

This was written 12 years ago and it only seems the negative trends have accelerated.
Higgenbotham wrote: Wed Jun 11, 2014 7:40 pm Bill Gates and others say this is not like Roman times because of all the great technology we have. To that point, let's talk about some of this great technology and how it relates to the drawdown of the resource. I only see technology that works to draw the resource out faster; for example, irrigation in the Midwest that draws down the aquifers, or fracking that draws down the oil resource. Both of these then allow the renewable resource excess extraction rate to be maintained at a higher level than would otherwise be possible. There does not exist any great technology which is putting water back into aquifers or increasing stores of liquid fuels (unless it depletes the other resources - ethanol for example). Most of the enhancement of soil is done with fossil fuel derived products.
Although deforestation has slowed by about an estimated 15% in recent years.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by FullMoon » Sun Jan 11, 2026 1:05 pm

Bill Gates warns the world is going ‘backwards’ and gives 5-year deadline before we enter a new Dark Age
https://fortune.com/2026/01/09/bill-gat ... dark-ages/
“The next five years will be difficult as we try to get back on track and work to scale up new lifesaving tools,” Gates continued. “As hard as last year was, I don’t believe we will slide back into the Dark Ages.”

I thought you'd like the title of this article but it seems like click bait. Haha. Gates is probably a eugenicist and probably wants government rather than himself to cause death and destruction for the unwitting.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by FullMoon » Sun Jan 11, 2026 12:56 pm

If the above is predictive in any way, though, it will be true that we have a good 10 years to run before food prices and food shortages become a really major issue. Silver and real estate in that town bumped along at pretty low prices for a decade before finally making their major move. This year I grew about 3% of our family's food and my goal for next year is 8%. It may be 10 or 20 more years before many people say that good home grown food is wealth in a way, as in an investment in their family's health and future well being.
I think it will be sooner than that and much more drastic. It will come as such a surprise that most people will literally have no idea what to do.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by tim » Sat Jan 10, 2026 12:29 pm

https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/s ... es-a-young
SHOCKING: Canada Euthanizes a Young & Healthy 26-Year-Old for 'Depression'

After one physician refused to administer the lethal injection saying he was “too young and healthy” to die, the state ultimately approved his euthanasia anyway.
Canada’s assisted-death regime has crossed another disturbing line.

According to his mother, a 26-year-old man previously rejected for euthanasia by a doctor who deemed him “young and healthy” was later killed through the government’s MAiD program for depression despite family pleas, prior safeguards, and an official ban on euthanasia for mental illness.

Her account raises urgent questions about medical ethics, legal loopholes, and whether vulnerability in modern Canada is now met with care, or with death.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jan 09, 2026 3:10 pm

I still think it's much more likely that the financial system hits the brick wall first, then things wind down from there. That would imply sooner than 15 to 35 years out but less catastrophic. At this point, we are close enough to collapse that preparing for collapse seems more important than trying to figure out the when and how.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Fri Jan 09, 2026 2:51 pm

Theoretical Physicists Say 90% Chance of Societal Collapse Within Several Decades
By Nafeez Ahmed
July 28, 2020
Two theoretical physicists specializing in complex systems conclude that global deforestation due to human activities is on track to trigger the “irreversible collapse” of human civilization within the next two to four decades.
The paper is written by Dr Gerardo Aquino, a research associate at the Alan Turing Institute in London currently working on political, economic and cultural complex system modelling to predict conflicts; along with Professor Mauro Bologna of the Department of Electronic Engineering at the University of Tarapacá in Chile.
Both scientists are career physicists. Aquino has previously conducted research at the Biological Physics Groups at Imperial College, the Max Planck Institute of Complex Systems and the Mathematical Biology group at the University of Surrey.
https://www.vice.com/en/article/theoret ... l-decades/

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Thu Jan 08, 2026 3:56 pm

Thirty years ago, plus or minus, I thought things like silver and real estate were good ways to build wealth. I was reminded of that during two recent conversations.

The first was with a man around age 65 who is invested in silver. He said that he wished he had picked up on silver being a good buy a long time ago but he wasn't aware of it. I told him that I had been interested in silver in the 1990s but no longer am. Silver recently passed $75, a new record high. I told him that I am now interested in producing my own food and that I feel food shortages are coming long term. He gave me a rather blank look. That was when I realized that even if I had mentioned silver to him back at $5 I would have received the same blank look, as I recognized that same look in people I had talked to about silver back at that time.

The second was with a man around age 50 who is interested in real estate. He said that if he can just find a way to get a hold of enough real estate he would have it made long term. I told him that I had bought some real estate back in the 1980s in a town where it was really cheap. Since Zillow, etc., are now available, we looked at two of the houses I had purchased back then that had sold recently. One that I purchased for $11,500 had recently sold for $165,000. As we looked through the pictures, it was evident that essentially nothing had been done to the house since I had upgraded it. A second house that I had purchased for $15,900 had recently sold for $225,000. As we looked at these I told him that I am no longer interested in real estate. My latest interest is gardening because I believe the price of food is going to increase more and more and that eventually food shortages are coming. He ignored that and went back to talking about real estate.

If the above is predictive in any way, though, it will be true that we have a good 10 years to run before food prices and food shortages become a really major issue. Silver and real estate in that town bumped along at pretty low prices for a decade before finally making their major move. This year I grew about 3% of our family's food and my goal for next year is 8%. It may be 10 or 20 more years before many people say that good home grown food is wealth in a way, as in an investment in their family's health and future well being.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Tue Jan 06, 2026 12:37 pm

dominant milankovitch cycle

AI Overview

The dominant Milankovitch cycle driving ice ages has shifted over time, with the ~41,000-year obliquity (axial tilt) cycle dominant for much of the last 2.5 million years, but the ~100,000-year eccentricity (orbital shape) cycle became dominant in the last 800,000 years, influencing glacial periods.

While all three cycles (eccentricity, obliquity, precession) affect incoming solar radiation, the 100,000-year eccentricity cycle, linked with precession (~20,000 years), now paces major ice ages, despite the 41,000-year tilt cycle still playing a role.

Key Milankovitch Cycles

Eccentricity (Orbit Shape): Changes Earth's orbit from nearly circular to slightly elliptical over ~100,000 and ~400,000-year cycles, affecting total solar energy received.
Obliquity (Axial Tilt): Varies Earth's axial tilt (related to seasons) every ~41,000 years, altering summer/winter intensity.
Precession (Axial Wobble): Earth's slow wobble changes the timing of seasons relative to its orbit, with cycles around ~19,000-26,000 years (often simplified to ~20,000 years).

Dominance Over Time

Before ~800,000 years ago: The ~41,000-year obliquity cycle seemed to pace ice ages.
Last 800,000 years: The ~100,000-year eccentricity cycle became the primary driver for glacial-interglacial cycles, often working with precession.

Why the Shift? (The 100,000-Year Problem)

While the 41,000-year tilt cycle is strong, the ~100,000-year eccentricity cycle's dominance for the last million years, despite its weaker direct effect, is known as the "100,000-year problem".
The interplay of these cycles, particularly how eccentricity modulates precession's influence on high-latitude summer insolation, drives the larger ice age patterns, notes Skeptical Science.
There might be something similar happening with the generational cycles. The 80 year cycle has been dominant. The most recent crisis concluded in 1945. After nearly 20 years of extend and pretend, it appears the current crisis may just be getting started.

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

by Higgenbotham » Tue Jan 06, 2026 3:33 am

Unpacking the Epidemic of Parental Estrangement
The generation that was scared of their parents is now scared of their children.
Posted May 19, 2024
Experts are reporting that we may be in an epidemic of adult children cutting off contact with their parents. In one recent study, researchers found that 26 percent of young adults are estranged from their fathers, and six percent are estranged from their mothers. The parents report that these estrangements often happen without notice or explanation, leaving them feeling deeply hurt and in the dark.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog ... trangement
The Disturbingly Common Reason So Many Adult Kids Are Choosing To Become Estranged From Their Parents
I was ahead of the trend when I decided to go “low contact” with my mother 20 years ago.
McKenna Meyers
Written on Oct 27, 2024

I recently had a disturbing experience that many others will undoubtedly face in years to come. Two of my co-workers came to me on separate occasions, needing to unburden themselves after their adult children decided to disconnect from them. Their grownup kids, like an increasing number of millennials and Gen-Z chose the nuclear option and went “no contact” with their parents.

One study found that 7 percent of adult children were estranged from their mothers while a whopping 27 percent were alienated from their fathers. In recent years, though, these unsettling numbers have surely grown as it’s become more socially acceptable for millennials and Gen-Z to cut parents out of their lives.
https://www.yourtango.com/heartbreak/re ... trangement
the ten commandments honor thy father and mother

AI Overview

"Honor your father and your mother" is the fifth commandment, found in Exodus 20:12 and Deuteronomy 5:16, instructing children to show respect, obedience, and care for their parents, with a promise of long life and well-being. It's the first commandment with a promise, signifying that honoring parents reflects honoring God and builds stable families and societies.

Key Aspects of Honoring Parents:
Respect & Esteem: Treating parents as important ("heavy" or weighty in Hebrew).
Obedience: Children should obey parents, though this is balanced with honoring God above all.
Care: Providing for parents, especially as they age, and showing gratitude.
Communication: Being honest and avoiding disrespect, interruption, or contradiction.
Promise: The blessing of a long life and prosperity in the land, representing God's favor and a stable community.

Biblical Context:
New Testament: The Apostle Paul reiterates this in Ephesians 6:1-3, calling it the "first commandment with a promise".
Jewish Law: Emphasizes duties like not sitting in a father's place or contradicting him, applying equally to mothers.

In essence, honoring parents is a foundational principle for a righteous life, linking respect for earthly parents to reverence for God, our Heavenly Father.
This in my opinion is fundamentally indicative of a breakdown in this civilization.

As previously mentioned, I am not a very religious person, but this stuff is just basic to a good life, a life well lived. My father made sure he was there when I entered this world and I made sure I was there when both of my parents exited this world. I look at it as a fundamental duty to do so. My parents weren't perfect and I didn't expect them to be. People who aren't there when their parents exit this world because they have cut them off are going to have real problems. Besides the fact that family members are going to need each other...as the new dark age tightens its grip.

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