Search found 4182 matches

by Tom Mazanec
Wed Sep 19, 2012 2:21 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: When will the nukes be used?
Replies: 16
Views: 9239

Re: When will the nukes be used?

Just a little reminder...
China might have 3,000 nukes:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldne ... nnels.html
by Tom Mazanec
Tue Sep 18, 2012 10:41 am
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: When will the nukes be used?
Replies: 16
Views: 9239

When will the nukes be used?

John says that every nuke will be used. But when? I can see two possibilities. There will be a fear of "use 'em or lose 'em" that might result in the birds flying in the early hours of the CoC war. Alternately, the thought of nukes may be so horrifying that they will be held in reserve until one sid...
by Tom Mazanec
Tue Sep 18, 2012 8:14 am
Forum: International events
Topic: North Korea
Replies: 35
Views: 30378

Re: North Korea

Chemical weapons are a lot easier to make than nuclear ones. I've heard them called "The Poor Man's Atom Bomb" for precisely that reason. The problem is they work about as well as a poor man's attempt at making an atom bomb. One of the funniest, in a make you cry kinda of way, that I have seen in t...
by Tom Mazanec
Tue Sep 18, 2012 7:32 am
Forum: International events
Topic: Civil war in China + WW3 with the US + Singularity -- how?
Replies: 7
Views: 5326

Re: Civil war in China + WW3 with the US + Singularity -- ho

I once said to John (in an email) that I expected "every last nuke" to kill five or six billion people, and that would abort the Singularity. John replied that even if that many died, it would leave one or two billion to continue on to reach the Singularity. Well, maybe...I don't know. But WWIII+Sin...
by Tom Mazanec
Mon Sep 17, 2012 12:45 pm
Forum: Science, Technology and the Singularity
Topic: Couple Singularity books
Replies: 50
Views: 249710

Couple Singularity books

The Singularity is starting to show up in Science Fiction. I have just read The Complete Atopia Chronicles by Matthew Mather (available for a limited time half-price on Kindle). The "Crisis of 2020" turns out to be a massive cyberattack which collapses the infrastructure for several weeks in a bitte...
by Tom Mazanec
Mon Aug 27, 2012 12:31 pm
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: Book recomendation
Replies: 12
Views: 136339

Book recomendation

7 Deadly Scenarios by Andrew F. Krepinevich (2009) depicts 7 ways the "pot starts to boil". The chapters lay the background of the flashpoint, explore a scenario of it going critical, and end asking "what next". The chapters are: 1 The Collapse of Pakistan 2 War Comes to America 3 Pandemic 4 Armaged...
by Tom Mazanec
Wed Aug 01, 2012 7:14 am
Forum: Generational Theory
Topic: The Great Devaluation
Replies: 0
Views: 2024

The Great Devaluation

Something Strauss & Howe predicted to have occurred by now is the Great Devaluation. Was this the 2008 Crisis, or has it not occurred yet? What are your views?
by Tom Mazanec
Mon Jul 23, 2012 10:52 am
Forum: Weblog News Comments and Discussion
Topic: 23-Jul-12 World View -- IMF will end bailout for Greece
Replies: 3
Views: 4744

Re: 23-Jul-12 World View -- IMF will end bailout for Greece

So it looks like Europe will kick the can down the road yet again.
John, I once asked you why we cannot kick the can down the road forever. You replied that evemtually, you run out of road.
How will we know when we are reaching the end of the road in Europe?