Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

I was wondering about the genocide of the Tutsi's in Rwanda of the 60's and 90's and how that plays into Generational Theory? Could there be an exception to the rule?

Hesiod wrote: > I was wondering about the genocide of the Tutsis in Rwanda of the
> 60's and 90's and how that plays into Generational Theory? Could
> there be an exception to the rule?

You ask a valid question. I have not researched Rwanda in the 1950s
and 1960s, so I don't have an answer. It's possible that what
happened in 1959-60 was a non-crisis war, just as the U.S. had a
non-crisis war in Vietnam that killed 50,000 Americans. It's also
possible that the 1959-60 war was the result of being drawn into
someone else's war.

For the most part, I've given up trying to analyze the countries in
black Africa, and there are two major reasons for that. First,
there's little historical information available on the internet,
except for what's provided by the colonists, and that's not enough.
And second, the region is enormous -- Africa is bigger than China,
America, Alaska, Europe and New Zealand COMBINED. If I studied
nothing else but Africa for a year, I might be able to figure out
what's going on, but that's not an option for me. Hopefully, some
enterprising college student can fill in the gaps some day.

John

John wrote: For the most part, I've given up trying to analyze the countries in
black Africa, and there are two major reasons for that. First,
there's little historical information available on the internet,
except for what's provided by the colonists, and that's not enough.
And second, the region is enormous -- Africa is bigger than China,
America, Alaska, Europe and New Zealand COMBINED.

I wonder if the generational cycle time depends on life expectancy. So in countries where life expectancy is 50 years do you see shorter times between crisis than when it is 80 years? I think we talked about this before and your answer was that the average life expectancy is not that important because what matters is when all the survivors of the last crisis have died off so there is nobody to remind people. It still seems like you need enough older people alive that they are in government positions and a much shorter life expectancy will make it where the younger generation gets in charge sooner. Anyway, it seems to me that Africa with shorter life expectancy might confuse the timing of the cycles.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... expectancy

The average life expectancy takes into account factors like
infant mortality that are irrelevant to generational theory.
The relevant figure is the maximum life expectancy, which is
about 80 years across all regions and all time periods. Even
with high infant mortality, there are always a group of people
in each generation that live to 80 years.

John

Yes you are right but i want to say that today the average life of man now decreased to 60-70 years..