Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

[aeden]

No H they are not even producing brain waves. The planet is effectively searing contacts until the adults show up for fair trade negotiation only now it appears more than clear. OPEC just enlightened the swamp uniparty about interests called reality at Home.
I gave up on the Brits for now and already put a fork in the French. 82 percent of the Germans told the Government your way off target and simply nuts on policy so hope for them is a real thing some year rather late. They are sprinting to mud huts and your Dark age Hovel is just touching the reality to many cannot even resister.

[aeden]

https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Hom ... b4fe1d6ffe t

Meanwhile, manufacturers continued to fill long-held vacancies, with employment rising at a modest pace.
Although easing from February, the rate of job creation was the second-fastest seen since last September.
The ability to work through backlogs was reflected in broadly unchanged stocks of finished goods in March.

90daytbill 4.87%
09:54 AM ETBuy 912797FZ5 Executed
https://dre.treasurydirect.gov/instit/a ... 0322_1.pdf
Customers placing competitive bids through a direct submitter, including Foreign and International Monetary Authorities placing bids through the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

spot check -- 1 Month AA Financial Commercial Paper Rate (I:1MAAFCPR) 4.88% for Mar 30 2023

MOVE may allude a few no worries.
Value from The Previous Market Day 4.82%
Change from The Previous Market Day 1.24%
Value from 1 Year Ago 0.49%
Change from 1 Year Ago 895.9%

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e21NOp69hM

[Higgenbotham]

IRRIGATION’S YIELD ADVANTAGE
THE YIELD GAP BETWEEN IRRIGATED VS. RAINFED CROPS SPREADS.
By Dave Mowitz
12/11/2020

A 65-year-long comparison finds the gaps between irrigated and non-irrigated crop yields are widening.

University of Nebraska’s Suat Irmak and Meetpal Kukal analyzed the annual yields of nine crops on a county-by-county basis over a 65-year period starting in the 1950s. They found that the differences in food produced with irrigation vs. rainfall alone generally widened over that span, a trend they suspect stems partly from climate change and technological advances in irrigation management.

“You get more yield from irrigated than rainfed (agriculture), but the magnitude of yield increase is a function of several variables,” Irmak notes. “It’s not surprising that as precipitation increases, the yield gap decreases.”

Corn benefits the most from irrigation, experiencing a massive 170% gain in yields. On the other hand, the unique growing season of winter wheat, for example, meant that its yields rose only nominally with irrigation. Yet even crop-specific yield gaps varied noticeably by location. Two corn-growing areas separated by about 700 miles, for instance, saw a sevenfold difference in irrigation-related yield gains.

Having mapped such differences across roughly 80% of cultivated land in the United States, the researchers say the findings can help guide future crop production while calibrating water management and irrigation use nationwide.

“Irrigation on 24% of the cultivated land produces 40% of the total global food supply,” Irmak points out. “If we stopped irrigating today, more people would suffer due to substantially reduced food, fiber, and feed production, especially in areas that are already experiencing a significant shortage of supplies.”

https://www.agriculture.com/machinery/i ... -advantage

[Higgenbotham]

It may be that the excess extraction rate initially exceeds the replacement rate required to maintain steady state approximately proportionally to the growth of the population. The growth rate of the population was approximately 0.1% per year in Roman times versus 2% per year in these late Industrial Age times. There would be a point where the population has grown sufficiently to consume the replacement that nature provides to those resounces that are renewable. At the time that point is hit, if the population is growing at a rate of 2% versus 0.1%; with all other conditions being equal, the first year drawdown is occurring at the relative rate of 2% divided by 0.1%. This would mean that the drawdown of the renewable resource where the Industrial Age population is growing 20 times faster than an Agricultural Age population will proceed 20 times faster, approximately, during year 1 of drawdown. This would relate to things that directly affect food production such as soil and water.

The estimate of annual loss is nearly double the rate of erosion the USDA considers sustainable.

For the purposes of this post, the USDA number will work. If the annual loss on the farmed land is double the sustainable loss and that hasn't changed over time, then soil loss has been going on in the US since the late 1800s, when more than half of the land in the US suitable for farming converted to farmland with the arrival of the Europeans, like my ancestors.

[Higgenbotham]

We covered that aspect from the Canadian study noted here H.

Wed Dec 02, 2015 8:30 am
A Kushi Institute analysis of nutrient data from 1975 to 1997 found that average calcium levels in 12 fresh vegetables dropped 27 percent; iron levels 37 percent; vitamin A levels 21 percent, and vitamin C levels 30 percent. A similar study of British nutrient data from 1930 to 1980, published in the British Food Journal,found that in 20 vegetables the average calcium content had declined 19 percent; iron 22 percent; and potassium 14 percent. Yet another study concluded that one would have to eat eight oranges today to derive the same amount of Vitamin A as our grandparents would have gotten from one. The only thing that keeps expanding is leftist stupidity.

viewtopic.php?p=29195#p29195
After two tours some of us still know who and why we sent our very own to end a sliver of madness.

Just gave my 3 year old kid a small orange (mandarin), then sat down to peel an orange for myself. Didn't have it half peeled when she said, "Dad! Still hungry!" and asked for another orange. I gave her another mandarin. She ate it and asked for another one. I told her to wait.

Lack of nutrition in today's food is part of the obesity problem which of course is affecting kids too. Fortunately, around here, there are a lot of kids still playing outside together and I can take her out to burn the excess food off. One of the kids out there is a throwback from an earlier time. She is slender, active and bright. Her teeth are straight and full, whereas many of the kids have crooked teeth with spaces between them. But her 4 year old sister is slightly autistic, can't put her shoes on, isn't potty trained and can barely talk.

Eating one old style orange that is full of seeds and fiber will make me feel full.

[aeden]

Lower high seen setup 9-9 spx trend count so.... decide mid week
Vix indicator closer view for now and odte for now ignored on my view only.
Oils shorts got smoked so nothing but a new floor now.
April not to hot as a looker hooker. Max pain on options range better guess. http://maximum-pain.com/
As warned inputs matter as the serf count will increase. Democrats are simply over the wire now.

[aeden]

Managed money shorts unwound bearish bets on WTI
Input material players said no.
Charred sheep pens flash fire again.

The control burn by the brain dead dnc think tanks as dialectic political poison level 4 labs just starting as the uniparty demsheviks zombies
not first use money companys pushed the big red buttom are collapsing. Remove funding as real Mom and Dads did.
Alinsky as charge them of what you did is the end of the current DNC. The prairie fire under way is no concern to actual adults.
17% short 42% tbills 41% Cash
We understand the mental swamp spending disease will run longer than you will stay solvent.
The current non disclosures in open border capex inflows are from adversary of intent as the greenwashing
with watermellon and greenmask intent in sector input mop ups.
Uniparty swamp has more than sold your ass out. You are the target. A few told you the cannibals are in full play.
No it was consevatives who pull the trigger was reply from the crayon chewer left.
The only plan was torch what was right to claims time you are running out of. The mental wasteleand is all that will be is the left.

“Civility is a weapon”. The insane counter productive ramblings of a leftist with a Rainbow flag was noted.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9buTS8bJ8s

[aeden]

Much deeper issue on its way as H is preparing for also as we are in affairs.
We will not even start on Doctor Quigleys or the recent root kits issues here.
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inli ... k=k7nsvdaj
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wwmOkaKh3-s
This stems to our political smoothing from the GATT modifications spillovers being resolved.
Not to be evasive you are not seeing the end of the tail risks in a few more years underway
as taproot inplementation also. H was clear in His reply to the phase two developements underway
seeing the implementations now focusing for more.

[Higgenbotham]

The number of women over 40 having children is at least close to those under 20 and the trend is unmistakable. I also read recently that some states are no longer reporting. I haven't verified this but, if true, there is no longer any reliable CDC birth data.

Eyeballing the data below, it can be calculated that about 8 percent of the births in the United States are to women under age 25 who are not on Medicaid.

I went to the CDC site and got the numbers for the data shown. Since the data is based on rate (number of births per thousand), this calculation assumes that the population in each 5 year cohort is the same. The ages of the cohorts are followed by the rate.

30-34 94.9
25-29 90.2
20-24 63.0
35-39 51.8
15-19 15.4
40-44 11.8

All the rates sum to 327.1.

The percentage of births not on Medicaid who are under age 25 is therefore about:

[15.4*(1 - 0.775) + 63.0*(1 - 0.637)]/327.1 x 100 = 8.0%.


Having the majority of births to women aged 25-34, while mostly OK on an individual basis, is probably not OK for the population at large, or at least not as good as the majority of births being to women aged 18-24, who on average are going to be healthier. Most of these births to women aged 25-34 would also be to fathers who are older than the women. At these ages, genetic defects, while still small on an individual basis, are probably increasing enough to have a negative effect on the health of the population, especially if this were to continue for several generations. I am no expert on these matters, but I am also skeptical that there are any true experts, as is the case with many health issues today.

American families changed a lot starting in the 1960s and 1970s. Two years stand out in particular: 1960, when the birth-control pill entered the market, and 1973, when the Supreme Court decided Roe v. Wade. A new study makes the provocative argument that the latter, not the former, is what really prompted Americans to get married and start having children at older ages than they used to. (Hat tip to Tyler Cowen; free draft of the paper here.)

https://nationalreview.com/corner/how-s ... -unfolded/

If this is true (and I'm skeptical about this too), this effect of abortion on the health of the future population did us no favors.

[Higgenbotham]

One of the kids out there is a throwback from an earlier time. She is slender, active and bright. Her teeth are straight and full, whereas many of the kids have crooked teeth with spaces between them. But her 4 year old sister is slightly autistic, can't put her shoes on, isn't potty trained and can barely talk.

I don't know the age of the autistic girl's mother because I've never met her, which brings up another point.

About 70% of the kids out there are never directly watched by their parents. Most of these kids range in age from 5 to 10. When I do see parents who watch their kids, they will invariably say something like, "I just can't send my kids out here without watching them. I don't understand parents who do this. But what really bothers me is that I have never met their parents and these kids are out here all the time. I'd at least like to know who the parents are."

We understand the problem when we discuss the situation. The last parent I was talking to about this works for Doordash and makes low $20s per hour he told me. Obviously, he is not working 40 hours per week to get by. Also, their goal is to bank as much money as they can and then get back to Graham, Texas, where there are few jobs but things are cheap.