Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

The Moon regime has become more and more dismissive toward the USA over the past several years. South Korean manufacturers are heavily dependent on China and China is dependant on Korea for technologies that can be used in 5G networks. I suspect China and Korea will align against the USA and Japan. South Korea and China needed the Kim family (or at least Kim Jong Un) out of the way to achieve this goal. KJU and Trump were getting along too well and KJU doesn't/didn't want to lose the power and wealth he maintains by a divided Korea. He is not nearly as ideological as his father and grandfather. With KJU out of the way, a confederation between the north and south can be created, giving south Korea access to nuclear and missile technologies, which they will likely use to act as a blocking force against Japan and/or Taiwan in a war between the USA and China. To me, it is becoming more and more clear where south Korea's loyalties are going to lie. Throughout Korea's history, they have been a tributary state to China (or Japan) and it looks like they are going back to that model.
Half of the Korean population would agree with you. Korea is as divided as the US, and the conservatives are extremely wary that Moon will sell out the country to China. Gordon Chang, an American and a long time time critic of Beijing, said much the same thing in an interview a few months ago. The dynamics in South Korea are very strange. What Thomasglee wrote is what many Koreans worry about. Ask a North Korean refugee living in South Korea what they think of President Moon and his administration...

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

27-Apr-20 World View -- CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America

Growing evidence of China's malicious behavior in spreading pandemic

** 27-Apr-20 World View -- CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e200427



Contents:
CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America
China's love for Ecuador
The Chinese master race
Global views of China continue to turn increasingly negative
Growing evidence of China's malicious behavior in spreading pandemic
A thousand ways to end the lockouts


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, China, Wuhan Coronavirus, Covid-19,
CNBC, Jim Cramer, Gilead Sciences, Remdesivir,
World Health Organization, WHO, Taiwan,
Ecuador, ECU-911, Venezuela, Bolivia, Angola,
Confucius, Kingdom of Heaven, Middle Kingdom, barbarians,
India, Takshashila Institution, Peter Navarro,
Wuhan, Li Wenlian, Wuhan Institute Of Virology

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

"North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is 'alive and well'"

First indication he's at room temperature.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

And still lefty American and British journalists call Trump "racist" for referring to this as the "Chinese flu."

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

Guest wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 1:49 am
"North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is 'alive and well'"

First indication he's at room temperature.
The South Koreans seem to think he's still alive. I would accept their intelligence as likely more accurate.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Xeraphim1 wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 10:46 am
Guest wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 1:49 am
"North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is 'alive and well'"

First indication he's at room temperature.
The South Koreans seem to think he's still alive. I would accept their intelligence as likely more accurate.
Unless it is in South Korea's interest to deny it.

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 27-Apr-2020 World View: Alive or dead?
Guest wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 11:10 am
Xeraphim1 wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 10:46 am
Guest wrote:
Mon Apr 27, 2020 1:49 am
"North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is 'alive and well'"

First indication he's at room temperature.
The South Koreans seem to think he's still alive. I would accept their intelligence as likely more accurate.
Unless it is in South Korea's interest to deny it.
According to BBC reporting from Seoul, the South Koreans have no clue
whether Kim Jong-un is alive or dead.

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 27-Apr-2020 World View: North and South Korea confederation
thomasglee wrote:
Sun Apr 26, 2020 5:36 pm
> The Moon regime has become more and more dismissive toward the USA
> over the past several years. South Korean manufacturers are
> heavily dependent on China and China is dependant on Korea for
> technologies that can be used in 5G networks. I suspect China and
> Korea will align against the USA and Japan. South Korea and China
> needed the Kim family (or at least Kim Jong Un) out of the way to
> achieve this goal. KJU and Trump were getting along too well and
> KJU doesn't/didn't want to lose the power and wealth he maintains
> by a divided Korea. He is not nearly as ideological as his father
> and grandfather. With KJU out of the way, a confederation between
> the north and south can be created, giving south Korea access to
> nuclear and missile technologies, which they will likely use to
> act as a blocking force against Japan and/or Taiwan in a war
> between the USA and China. To me, it is becoming more and more
> clear where south Korea's loyalties are going to lie. Throughout
> Korea's history, they have been a tributary state to China (or
> Japan) and it looks like they are going back to that
> model.
When Moon is "dismissive" toward the USA, I assume those remarks are
targeted to his political base. Actions speak louder than words,
and I would point again to the THAAD deployment.

In fact, take another look at the article that I wrote last year:

** 29-Apr-19 World View -- South Korea's weapons industry boosted by end of North's 'Charm Offensive'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e190429



The last section of that article describes South Korea's network of
anti-missile defenses. There are multiple layers of defense. The
Koreans are providing the KM-SAM Cheongung medium-range surface-to-air
missile system and the PIP missile interceptor. But the KM-SAM is
heavily dependent on working with two American anti-missile systems --
the THAAD and the Patriot.

So in addition to the multi-level anti-missile defenses, you have
29,000 American soldiers. That's a huge American presence, and that
isn't going away. So if Moon wants to say, "I don't like all that
American stuff here, but we're stuck with it" in order to appease
his political base, then I don't think it makes much difference.

You describe a North/South Korea confederation that sides with China
against Japan and Taiwan. This raises a number of questions in my
mind:

* You lived in Seoul for many years, so you have a feel for what the
South Korean people really want. What do the people really want?

* How is such a confederation possible without a North-South war?
Who would govern the confederation?

* At what point in your scenario would the America troops withdraw,
dismantling the anti-missile defense systems?

* You're drawing on historical analogies to describe "a blocking force
against Japan and/or Taiwan." How would that work? Would Korean
troops be involved against Japan or Taiwan?

* Why would South Korea side with China against Taiwan?

John
Posts: 11478
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 27-Apr-2020 World View: The Kim Jong-un mystery continues

At Donald Trump's press conference a few minutes ago, he was asked
about the status of Kim Jong-un. He said that he knows something, but
he can't talk about it.

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 49 guests