Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

After victory, China will break up Japan's four main islands into independent countries under the "supervision" of China and Russia, which will both establish military garrisons there. Okinawa will be broken off from Japan and either be managed by China or made into an independent country.
This is a sign that Russia has signed onto a modern-day equivalent of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, with the CCP replacing Nazi Germany and Northeastern Asia replacing Eastern Europe. But much like the original Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, I wouldn't expect this one to last long.

China wishes to expand its sphere of influence to include:
-Itself
-A few islands in the southwestern Philippines
-A few islands off the coast of northern Sumatra
-Afghanistan
-All of "continental" Southeast Asia (the former French Indochina, Myanmar, Thailand, and the western part of Malaysia)
-The Andaman Sea
-The eastern half of Central Asia
-The Himalayas
-Kashmir
-Both Koreas
-Mongolia
-The northern half of Borneo
-Okinawa
-Sakhalin
-The Senkaku Islands
-Singapore
-The South China Sea
-Southeastern Siberia
-Taiwan

Russia wishes to expand its sphere of influence to include:
-Itself (possibly minus Kaliningrad, as some Russian nationalists want to give it back to Germany for pragmatic reasons)
-Abkhazia
-All of Central Asia
-All of its former European territory minus Estonia and Western Ukraine
-Armenia
-The former Republika Srpska
-Greater Mongolia
-Both Koreas
-India
-Nagorno-Karabakh
-The predominantly Orthodox Balkan countries
-Tibet
-Turkish Kurdistan
-Vietnam
-Xinjiang

Based on these desires, we will soon be seeing Sino-Russian clashes over:
-The Andaman Islands
-Both Koreas
-The eastern half of Central Asia
-Greater Mongolia
-Himalayan India
-Kashmir
-Manchuria
-Sakhalin
-The South China Sea
-Southeastern Siberia
-Tibet
-Vietnam
-Xinjiang

Wheee!

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

My relatives in Taiwan don't seem worried about an attack...

I have moved gold and silver bullion to Singapore. It won't help me if i'm dead, but if that hapens, I won't have any more worries. Besides, it's not enough to "start over". Just a little something to help me survive for awhile until I can figure out what to do next. Other than that, I don't know what to do.

I once spoke with a refugee who said that he saw a family of refugees trapped by hillside with a river below it. The soldiers were approaching and they would do unspeakable things to the husband's wife and two daughters. The whole family was crying and screaming. The father speoke to them. The man couldn't hear what was said, he was faraway, but he watched as they all held hands and jumped off the hill into the river. They didn't try to swim. Sometimes there is no solution.

I would like to hear from Navigator too.

Thank you, John.

--Guest in Asia.

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

There's so much sadness in the world.


Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Guest wrote:
Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:13 am
Image
IS THIS TRUE?

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 25-Jul-2021 World View: Registered voters and votes cast
Guest wrote:
Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:13 am
Image
Guest wrote:
Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:23 am
> IS THIS TRUE?
There were 168.31 million registered voters in America in 2020.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/273 ... ed-states/

75 million voted for Trump, 80 million voted for Biden, for a total of
155 million votes cast.

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 25-Jul-2021 World View: Identity groups
Guest wrote:
Sun Jul 25, 2021 5:03 am
> My relatives in Taiwan don't seem worried about an attack...

> I have moved gold and silver bullion to Singapore. It won't help
> me if i'm dead, but if that hapens, I won't have any more
> worries. Besides, it's not enough to "start over". Just a little
> something to help me survive for awhile until I can figure out
> what to do next. Other than that, I don't know what to do.

> I once spoke with a refugee who said that he saw a family of
> refugees trapped by hillside with a river below it. The soldiers
> were approaching and they would do unspeakable things to the
> husband's wife and two daughters. The whole family was crying and
> screaming. The father speoke to them. The man couldn't hear what
> was said, he was faraway, but he watched as they all held hands
> and jumped off the hill into the river. They didn't try to
> swim. Sometimes there is no solution.

> I would like to hear from Navigator too.

> Thank you, John.

> --Guest in Asia.
Your observation that your relatives in Taiwan don't seem worried
about an attack is very interesting.

This corresponds to the discussion in my article about the fact that
the Japanese don't seem to fear an attack, and in fact have a "bring
it on" attitude. So we can conclude that, for the time being, the
attitudes of the Taiwanese people are in sync with that attitudes of
the Japanese people. This makes sense, since China is planning to
attack both of them.

During a generational Crisis era, populations generally form identity
groups with other populations of the same religion, race, ethnicity,
skin color, etc. So we would expect the Chinese people of Taiwan to
form an identity group with the Chinese people of China.

It's the Chinese Communist government that has screwed this up. What
the people of Taiwan have in common with the people of Japan is that
their governments are both part of the international liberal
democratic Western community of nations. In fact, "the West" can be
thought of as an identity group, joined together by common democracies
and "Western values."

So, for example, Israel is part of this identity group, but Saudi
Arabia is not. Ukraine is part of this identity group, but Belarus is
not.

However, the fact that neither the people of Taiwan nor the people of
Japan fear an attack by China takes this concept a step further, and
suggests that the two countries may be actively preparing to defend
themselves from China.

Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

However, the fact that neither the people of Taiwan nor the people of
Japan fear an attack by China takes this concept a step further, and
suggests that the two countries may be actively preparing to defend
themselves from China.
We are.

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 26-Jul-2021 World View: China clamps down on education stocks

China and Hong Kong stock markets fell sharply on Monday. In Hong
Kong, the selloff was led by education stocks (Scholar Education Group
and New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc). These companies
provide tutoring and test preparation services for K-12 students in
mainland China.

That was triggered by the announcement on Friday by the Chinese
Communists that education companies (Tal Education Group, New Oriental
and GSX Techedu) are "hijacked by capital" and would no longer be
permitted to make a profit. They are required to re-register as "not
for profit," and cannot raise funds from stock markets, and can't have
foreign investors.

A local court in Xian has issued an injunction preventing the CCP from
implementing the new regulations. Hahahahahaha. There is no such
court in China, and anyone who tried would be shot dead.

So with a simple announcement, the Chinese Communists have shut down
overnight an entire $120 billion industry, with millions of employees,
because it was a "capitalist" business. Nothing like that has
happened in America since the Democrat regime shut down overnight
Parler.com, with millions of subscribers, because many subscribers
were Trump supporters.

China announced on Friday that TAL cannot profit from subjects in
standard tests such as language, math, English, chemistry, physics,
etc. But it is ok to arrange profit businesses on sports, humanist and
art, and science, etc. OK. So TAL won't be destroyed, but will be
crippled. Undoubtedly the company will try to restructure its courses
so that they all fit under the new regulations.

The reason given is so that Chinese students won't have to work so
hard by attending so many tutoring sessions. The stated logic is that
these tutoring sessions cost money that the parents have to pay, so
that parents no longer want to have more than one child, which means
that China's new three-child policy is failing, and China is facing
demographic disaster.

The paranoid reason is that TAL is listed on the NY Stock Exchange and
is being subjected to stronger auditing requirements, and the Chinese
Communists are afraid that the Americans will get their hands only all
that data about Chinese students in TAL servers.

---- Sources:

-- China, Hong Kong shares tumble on regulatory clampdowns
https://www.reuters.com/business/china- ... 021-07-26/
(Reuters, 26-Jul-2021)

-- Another group of U.S.-listed China stocks plunge as Beijing
regulators crack down
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/23/us-list ... -down.html
(CNBC, 23-Jul-2021)

-- China's new private tutoring rules put billions of dollars at stake
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chi ... 021-07-25/
(Reuters, 26-Jul-2021)

-- TAL Education: The Worst Is Here, But Chinese Kids Still Need
Places To Learn
https://seekingalpha.com/article/444128 ... s-to-learn
(Seeking Alpha, 25-Jul-2021)

Xeraphim1

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Xeraphim1 »

DaKardii wrote:
Sat Jul 24, 2021 10:02 am
After victory, China will break up Japan's four main islands into independent countries under the "supervision" of China and Russia, which will both establish military garrisons there. Okinawa will be broken off from Japan and either be managed by China or made into an independent country.
This is a sign that Russia has signed onto a modern-day equivalent of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, with the CCP replacing Nazi Germany and Northeastern Asia replacing Eastern Europe. But much like the original Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact, I wouldn't expect this one to last long.
<snip>

Based on these desires, we will soon be seeing Sino-Russian clashes over:
-The Andaman Islands
-Both Koreas
-The eastern half of Central Asia
-Greater Mongolia
-Himalayan India
-Kashmir
-Manchuria
-Sakhalin
-The South China Sea
-Southeastern Siberia
-Tibet
-Vietnam
-Xinjiang
I will suggest that Russia would not clash with China over any of these other than Sakhalin and Siberia. Definitely not Manchuria, Tibet or Xinjiang since those are all components of China. Russia doesn't have strong interests in SE Asia since the relationships all tip toward either China or the US. There are relationships with India, but mostly in sales. Once upon a time Russia may have supported India in a war with China (1971), but those days are long past. India is building more of its defense equipment locally and would probably prefer to buy everything from non-Russia sources, but it still has a lot of legacy equipment to support so it needs to keep throwing Russia bones to keep the supply lines open.

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