Generational Dynamics World View News

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
Guest

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Guest »

Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:19 pm
Cool Breeze wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:39 pm
Brian Reynolds of credit analysis fame says this current credit streak can run for several more years.

Interesting.
What does that mean?
That he is a Democrat.

spottybrowncow
Posts: 317
Joined: Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:06 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by spottybrowncow »

Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 11:08 am
spottybrowncow wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 10:33 am
Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 1:13 am


And we will fight you.
"Real" is not black, don't take the bait.
What makes you think that?
Real's comment was expressly designed to sew discord and foment bickering on what is, generally speaking, a very intellectual and open-minded forum. As such, I think it is likely to have been posted by someone who reads this forum regularly, disagrees vehemently with some viewpoints, and would derive satisfaction from seeing what they could call "racist diatribes" here. If "Real" is black, it's only incidental.

Don't take the bait.

User avatar
Tom Mazanec
Posts: 4180
Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Tom Mazanec »

Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 7:59 am
Tom Mazanec wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 6:34 am
This would then lead to the resurgence of the suppressed feelings that existed before the war, yet without the means of keeping them in check.
Wouldn't this mean that WW3 would be immediately followed by ACW2?
Yes, but it would be waged by scattered groups of skeletal ethnic gangs using machine guns, bows and arrows, and hedge clippers while riding bicycles on flat tires...
LOL
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”

― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:19 pm
Cool Breeze wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:39 pm
Brian Reynolds of credit analysis fame says this current credit streak can run for several more years.

Interesting.
What does that mean?
He is one of the few very well studied and historically successful analysts that suggests that a new credit cycle is starting which means crash/bad times/pension failures, etc are more than 3 years and up to 5+ years out. He has a contrarian view compared to most people, especially those here.

My view is that the system is fragile and I think we'll see more soaring of particular assets, mostly market/commodities/BTC - for the better part of a year - but I am guessing that 2022 politically and geopolitically will get dicey so at that point most of my non cash investments will be what I have been holding, but in lesser amounts - oil, uranium, lithium, etc and of course BTC is my 10 year or lifetime hold.

Cool Breeze
Posts: 2935
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 10:19 pm

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by Cool Breeze »

spottybrowncow wrote:
Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:14 am
Guest wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 11:08 am
spottybrowncow wrote:
Sun Jun 20, 2021 10:33 am


"Real" is not black, don't take the bait.
What makes you think that?
Real's comment was expressly designed to sew discord and foment bickering on what is, generally speaking, a very intellectual and open-minded forum. As such, I think it is likely to have been posted by someone who reads this forum regularly, disagrees vehemently with some viewpoints, and would derive satisfaction from seeing what they could call "racist diatribes" here. If "Real" is black, it's only incidental.

Don't take the bait.
Spotty nailed it, I confirmed the fact, he isn't. John moved my comment to the CB topic forum - why? I have no idea.

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

** 22-Jun-2021 World View: Myanmar/Burma army fights new militia in Mandalay as civil war spreads

Image
  • Map of Myanmar / Burma, showing the warring ethnic groups (Economist)


A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma is
occurring, as the clashes between anti-junta rebels is spreading from
rural areas to Mandalay, a large urban area, where a new anti-junta
militia has been formed, the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay
PDF).

Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were
extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic
groups.

Most people were hopin' and prayin' that the current civil war would
fizzle out, like the one in October 2007. But that one occurred 49
years after the climax of the last crisis war, during a generational
Unraveling era. But since 2016, Burma has been in a generational
Crisis era, so the current civil war is spreading, not fizzling.

As the civil war spreads, it may spread into the larger region, as
China, Thailand and India may be forced to intervene. We keep
discussing scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and
this is one possibility.

----- Sources:

-- Mandalay People’s Defence Force / Mandalay PDF ‘declares war’ on
junta
https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/mandala ... r-on-junta
(MyanmarNow, 22-Jun-2021)

-- Myanmar sinks deeper into civil war, as anti-army groups multiply
https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/ ... s-multiply
(Economist, 20-Jun-2021)


** 29-Mar-21 World View -- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e210329

DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

The FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.

https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/

John
Posts: 11479
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:10 pm
Location: Cambridge, MA USA
Contact:

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by John »

DaKardii wrote:
Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pm
The FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.

https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Yikes!!!!!

DaKardii
Posts: 943
Joined: Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:17 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by DaKardii »

John wrote:
Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:29 pm
DaKardii wrote:
Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pm
The FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.

https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Yikes!!!!!
The US has seized Iranian state-owned websites before, but not one as high-profile as Press TV. This has the potential to become a major international crisis.

If Iran decides to retaliate, it could easily do one of the following things: (1) provoke a major escalation in the Middle East; (2) launch a cyberattack against the US; or (3) if possible, try to seize American websites.

The idea of Iran doing #2 and/or #3 is especially scary, given that Biden literally just gave Putin a list of "off-limits" infrastructure targets. Given how closely allied Russia and Iran are, Putin could easily give the Mullahs that list, if he hasn't done so already...

jmparret
Posts: 36
Joined: Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:16 am

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Post by jmparret »

John wrote:
Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:29 pm
DaKardii wrote:
Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pm
The FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.

https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Yikes!!!!!
Brought to you by Russia TV

Joe

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