That he is a Democrat.Guest wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:19 pmWhat does that mean?Cool Breeze wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:39 pmBrian Reynolds of credit analysis fame says this current credit streak can run for several more years.
Interesting.
Generational Dynamics World View News
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
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- Posts: 317
- Joined: Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:06 am
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Real's comment was expressly designed to sew discord and foment bickering on what is, generally speaking, a very intellectual and open-minded forum. As such, I think it is likely to have been posted by someone who reads this forum regularly, disagrees vehemently with some viewpoints, and would derive satisfaction from seeing what they could call "racist diatribes" here. If "Real" is black, it's only incidental.Guest wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 11:08 amWhat makes you think that?
Don't take the bait.
- Tom Mazanec
- Posts: 4180
- Joined: Sun Sep 21, 2008 12:13 pm
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
LOLGuest wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 7:59 amYes, but it would be waged by scattered groups of skeletal ethnic gangs using machine guns, bows and arrows, and hedge clippers while riding bicycles on flat tires...Tom Mazanec wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 6:34 amWouldn't this mean that WW3 would be immediately followed by ACW2?This would then lead to the resurgence of the suppressed feelings that existed before the war, yet without the means of keeping them in check.
“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.”
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
― G. Michael Hopf, Those Who Remain
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
He is one of the few very well studied and historically successful analysts that suggests that a new credit cycle is starting which means crash/bad times/pension failures, etc are more than 3 years and up to 5+ years out. He has a contrarian view compared to most people, especially those here.Guest wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:19 pmWhat does that mean?Cool Breeze wrote: ↑Sun Jun 20, 2021 8:39 pmBrian Reynolds of credit analysis fame says this current credit streak can run for several more years.
Interesting.
My view is that the system is fragile and I think we'll see more soaring of particular assets, mostly market/commodities/BTC - for the better part of a year - but I am guessing that 2022 politically and geopolitically will get dicey so at that point most of my non cash investments will be what I have been holding, but in lesser amounts - oil, uranium, lithium, etc and of course BTC is my 10 year or lifetime hold.
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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Spotty nailed it, I confirmed the fact, he isn't. John moved my comment to the CB topic forum - why? I have no idea.spottybrowncow wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:14 amReal's comment was expressly designed to sew discord and foment bickering on what is, generally speaking, a very intellectual and open-minded forum. As such, I think it is likely to have been posted by someone who reads this forum regularly, disagrees vehemently with some viewpoints, and would derive satisfaction from seeing what they could call "racist diatribes" here. If "Real" is black, it's only incidental.
Don't take the bait.
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
** 22-Jun-2021 World View: Myanmar/Burma army fights new militia in Mandalay as civil war spreads
A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma is
occurring, as the clashes between anti-junta rebels is spreading from
rural areas to Mandalay, a large urban area, where a new anti-junta
militia has been formed, the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay
PDF).
Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were
extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic
groups.
Most people were hopin' and prayin' that the current civil war would
fizzle out, like the one in October 2007. But that one occurred 49
years after the climax of the last crisis war, during a generational
Unraveling era. But since 2016, Burma has been in a generational
Crisis era, so the current civil war is spreading, not fizzling.
As the civil war spreads, it may spread into the larger region, as
China, Thailand and India may be forced to intervene. We keep
discussing scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and
this is one possibility.
----- Sources:
-- Mandalay People’s Defence Force / Mandalay PDF ‘declares war’ on
junta
https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/mandala ... r-on-junta
(MyanmarNow, 22-Jun-2021)
-- Myanmar sinks deeper into civil war, as anti-army groups multiply
https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/ ... s-multiply
(Economist, 20-Jun-2021)
** 29-Mar-21 World View -- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e210329
- Map of Myanmar / Burma, showing the warring ethnic groups (Economist)
A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma is
occurring, as the clashes between anti-junta rebels is spreading from
rural areas to Mandalay, a large urban area, where a new anti-junta
militia has been formed, the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay
PDF).
Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were
extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic
groups.
Most people were hopin' and prayin' that the current civil war would
fizzle out, like the one in October 2007. But that one occurred 49
years after the climax of the last crisis war, during a generational
Unraveling era. But since 2016, Burma has been in a generational
Crisis era, so the current civil war is spreading, not fizzling.
As the civil war spreads, it may spread into the larger region, as
China, Thailand and India may be forced to intervene. We keep
discussing scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and
this is one possibility.
----- Sources:
-- Mandalay People’s Defence Force / Mandalay PDF ‘declares war’ on
junta
https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/mandala ... r-on-junta
(MyanmarNow, 22-Jun-2021)
-- Myanmar sinks deeper into civil war, as anti-army groups multiply
https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/06/ ... s-multiply
(Economist, 20-Jun-2021)
** 29-Mar-21 World View -- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ ... tm#e210329
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
The FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.
https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Yikes!!!!!DaKardii wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pmThe FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.
https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
The US has seized Iranian state-owned websites before, but not one as high-profile as Press TV. This has the potential to become a major international crisis.John wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:29 pmYikes!!!!!DaKardii wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pmThe FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.
https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
If Iran decides to retaliate, it could easily do one of the following things: (1) provoke a major escalation in the Middle East; (2) launch a cyberattack against the US; or (3) if possible, try to seize American websites.
The idea of Iran doing #2 and/or #3 is especially scary, given that Biden literally just gave Putin a list of "off-limits" infrastructure targets. Given how closely allied Russia and Iran are, Putin could easily give the Mullahs that list, if he hasn't done so already...
Re: Generational Dynamics World View News
Brought to you by Russia TVJohn wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:29 pmYikes!!!!!DaKardii wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 2:25 pmThe FBI has seized the website of Press TV, a major Iranian state news organization.
https://www.rt.com/news/527292-us-seize ... -websites/
Joe
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