China could initiate a regional war against Japan and other regional countries, while the entire time claiming it was doing nothing more than defending it's territory from invasion.
China could use nuclear weapons, and threaten to use nuclear weapons, only in response to attacks on Chinese soil.
The war might start out with a rising of tension between North and South Korea, which threatens the security of China, at which point China would occupy all disputed islands in the East China and South China seas with large numbers of ground troops. This includes a large number of islands off the coast of North Korea that the United States and South Korea occupied after the cease fire between North and South Korea was signed.
China could remind everyone these Islands were all Chinese territory that China had only placed troops on after military threats from China's neighbors made it a prudent national defense move.
China could keep it's surface fleet in mainland Chinese ports, and it's strategic bombers patrolling over mainland China.
Any attempt by South Korea, Japan, The Philippines, Vietnam, or the United States to re-take the "Chinese Islands" would be met with nuclear weapons used tactically against the surface vessels. These Nukes could come from the Chinese troops on the Islands the allies were attacking in the form of short range missiles, or Nuclear warhead armed torpedoes on Chinese submarines, or from nuclear tipped cruise missiles carried by China's strategic bombers patrolling over the Chinese mainland.
China will make clear that if even one inch of Chinese soil is attacked by nuclear weapons, then China will retaliate against the local allies of the United States in kind. So if Chinese ports are attacked, then Japanese, South Korean, Filipino and Vietnamese port cities will be attacked.
This will leave the allies with a dilemma as to what to do.
They can keep sending fleets at the Chinese occupied islands and hope the Chinese deplete their nuclear weapons before the allies run out of ships.
They can respond with nuclear weapons on China's surface fleets located in Chinese mainland ports, and sacrifice the civilian populations in the port cities of Japan, South Korea, The Philippines and Vietnam.
The allies can attempt to enforce a naval blockade on the Chinese occupying armies with submarines and airborne anit-ship weapons alone.
The allies can escalate the war with conventional weapons by attempting to impose a world wide blockade on Chinese shipping, and attacking Chinese assets all over the world. China could respond to such world wide conventional attacks on it's assets, by joining it's ally North Korea in attacking and occupying Seoul, and the western company assets, in and around Seoul, ( Seaul is just over the border from North Korea ).
China can offer an immediate cease fire before the hostilities on the Korean Peninsula lead to all out war on the Peninsula, and before the world economy collapses.
The whole time China can repeat it never left it's own soil and it is just protecting it's own soil from invasion.
Anything short of China being driven off all the islands, before a cease fire, and China wins the war.
If China keeps all it's occupied Islands when a cease fire goes into effect, that is defacto recognition of China's ownership of the East China and the South China seas. It also rewards China for starting the war and makes the allies look weak and ineffective.
If nuclear weapons are used and only the allies lose surface fleets, then China win's again.
Even if China were to lose the small regional war because of U.S. technological superiority with drones and other high tech conventional weapons, China would learn important lessons regarding how to win next time.
Obama could be portrayed as a hero by the Main Stream media if he avoided a nuclear attack on the United States and used diplomacy to avoid World War III. Just like Britain saved the world from World War II by letting Nazi Germany have the traditional German portion of Czechoslovakia in the 1930s. Obama could bring us "Peace In Our Time".
Sino - Japanese War - 2014
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