Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

[aedens]

Uniformed and the uninformed dialectic they ignore H. Those clips presented exemplify the fact.
I spent the weekend checking facts on ground intel conditions to your equity positioning.

7-Year Cycles That Crush The Uninformed:
1. unbridled enthusiasm
2. mass confusion
3. sudden disillusionment
4. search for the guilty <--------------
5. punish the innocent
6. rewarding of the non-participants
7. see step one

They cannot care what hour they are in.
I was told from another this weekend go seek my chidren who remain.
The hour is late. Gather them and He is sent.

Locust attack.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ul7J0t2_ajg

[Higgenbotham]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctMu9qr7oGA

With the mention of Nelson Mandela on the news thread, it reminds to bring up China, specifically the CCP, and what appears to be their plan for Africa. The above presentation was put out by an entity controlled by the Central Propaganda Department of the Chinese Communist Party. It seems what they are trying to do is initially dial into a balanced presentation. I only watched the first 10 minutes, but didn't see them delve into the more sinister history of Winnie Mandela and the ANC as, for example, shown here:

https://youtu.be/FP_r5ET5CFU?t=177

I suspect they are well aware of it and also suspect this propaganda arm of the CCP, established only in 2016, is preparing the groundwork for a takeover of Africa. They will plan not to make the same mistakes the Europeans made. Generally, as Widdowson has noted, the Chinese are planning not to make the mistakes other countries have made in ignoring the cycles and rhythms of history.

The Chinese Communist Party is subtle about it, but they prep the audience and then finally introduce the topic at minute 20:
https://youtu.be/ctMu9qr7oGA?t=1192

Widdowson on the Chinese Communist Party:
https://youtu.be/eerb_ZnKp5s?t=1346
https://youtu.be/eerb_ZnKp5s?t=1966
https://youtu.be/eerb_ZnKp5s?t=2452

[Higgenbotham]

Between April and May this year, the Pew Research Center surveyed more than 2,000 adults aged 50 and over who have never had children, alongside 770 adults aged 18 to 49 who do not have children and are unlikely to have them.

According to the survey reports, the share of US adults under 50 who do not have children and are unlikely to ever have children rose by 10 percentage points from 37 percent in 2018 to 47 percent in 2023.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/3 ... n-us-women

Forgetting about the furor over Vance's statement, the second statistic is a good standalone one for the dark age hovel. Even I had no idea things were getting this bad, this quickly.

https://youtu.be/18bhyZIFXF4?t=197

3:14
I remember um I was talking to a young
3:16
woman who was like 26 or something and
3:19
she asked me if I had kids and I said
3:20
yes and I said do you have kids and she
3:22
like practically spit out her beer like
3:24
what and I thought do you think it's
3:27
really the crazy question that I would
3:28
ask a 26-year-old woman woman if she had
3:31
kids um and then you know she thought
3:33
about it it just felt very remote
3:36
and this is the economy that we're
3:37
bequeathing to people and my belief is is
3:40
that if the median individual cannot
3:43
count on being able to you know have a
3:46
home in a reasonable city that has lots
3:48
of jobs so that if one job doesn't work
3:50
they can switch and one person can stay
3:53
home doesn't have to be the dad doesn't
3:55
have to be a mom and a dad can any pair
3:58
but you need some somebody with the
4:01
freedom to stay home to raise children
4:03
while somebody else can be counted upon
4:06
to go be the bread winner in an economy
4:09
that isn't you know absolutely Razor's
4:12
Edge this is nuts and you know was
4:15
driven home to me recently my father
4:17
turned 85 we were at a party for his
4:19
friends and some of their closest
4:22
friends lived in in our neighborhood
4:24
when I was growing up they were saying
4:25
oh yes you know when we moved in all
4:28
those years ago so um there were 14 boys
4:32
who used to play on the street and now
4:34
there are none oh and I said what do you
4:35
mean there are none she said what young
4:37
families can't afford to live on the
4:40
street...

https://youtu.be/18bhyZIFXF4?t=697

and then of course
11:35
the main one which is really bizarre
11:38
which is there's the secret weapon and
11:40
the secret weapon is immigration and the
11:42
great part about immigration as a as a
11:45
invidious tool for one generation to
11:47
screw another generation with is that if
11:50
you call it out there's only one
11:52
explanation for why you would fight
11:55
having other people added to the bottom
11:57
of a pyramid scheme which is you must be
11:59
a xenophobe or probably a racist...

[Higgenbotham]

Prepare for a potential 'nasty shock' on Wednesday, macro strategists warn

© Reuters
Investors may be in for a significant surprise if Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report comes in higher than anticipated, warns Gavekal Research.

The markets are currently banking on aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, but a rise in inflation could quickly unravel these expectations, leading to what Gavekal terms a "nasty shock."

Furthermore, there is an expectation of a full 100 basis point cut by the end of 2024.

However, Gavekal cautions that an uptick in inflation could trigger a "violent position adjustment," forcing investors to rethink the Fed's trajectory.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets ... dbdb&ei=15

These guys are probably right. Potential for a massive crash if this number is outside expectations.

[Higgenbotham]

Widdowson's Latest

Earlier parts will give context to this: https://youtu.be/-LyCQYfe__w?t=2280

if you are dreaming about a better future and wanting to correct the problems you see
38:07
facing Society you are going to need to think of other ways meaning ways that
38:12
are not Democratic by today's terms meaning ways that have nothing to do
38:18
with existing political institutions not only is it useless voting for mainstream parties but it is
38:25
useless setting up new political parties because if those new parties come close
38:31
to success they will attract the same hacks and power Seekers as the existing
38:38
parties they will end up with the same problems they will betray their supporters like all the other parties
38:46
and for the same reasons they will become corrupted because the corruption
38:52
originates not in the parties but in the system itself so yes you've vote for old
38:58
parties you vote for new parties you spoil your ballot paper you don't vote at all and nothing seems to change you
39:06
feel your Prosperity diminishing you feel your chances of future Prosperity
39:13
disappearing you feel a Stranger in a Strange Land your own government calls
39:18
you the enemy you see your society and your world changing in ways that you
39:25
didn't choose that you even voted against you perceive that the opportunities
39:30
enjoyed by previous generations are not there for you and here I'm talking not
39:36
just about the young but also about the old who see the prospect of receiving a
39:42
pension retreating into the future or you may be thriving today
39:47
because it's always possible for those with drive and initiative to do well
39:52
whatever the social circumstances whether it's a golden age or a Dark Age
39:58
even if the mainstream world no longer wants to hire you you can still make a
40:03
career online for example but you may still feel that the political system is broken for you that
40:11
it doesn't serve you that the word democracy repels you and you want none
40:16
of it so you have two choices you can do nothing and cry into your beer trying to
40:24
make your life as peaceful as possible minimize ing the impacts not thinking
40:29
about it hoping that you die before the worst comes to the worst or you can
40:35
change your Paradigm realize that you're not looking for parties for voting for
40:41
democracy but for autocrats and particularly autocrats who care nothing
40:47
for democracy nothing at all not woke autocrats not politically correct
40:52
autocrats not autocrats who consult the people they're intending to govern not
40:58
autocrats who are trying to please the people or please other Masters no the
41:04
autocrats you are looking for are ones who act purely for their own motives
41:09
they exhibit what the cultural theorist Camille paria calls heroic
41:15
masculinity I'm talking about Genghis Khan who massacred the population of Beijing
41:22
I'm talking about Alexander the Great who killed his best friend in a drunken
41:27
brawl these people don't care if they offend someone they don't care about
41:32
anyone's issues they don't care how special someone is they don't care about
41:39
anyone's victim narrative if anyone claims to be oppressed they will just
41:45
think how pathetic how pathetic to be oppressed and the point is that such
41:51
autocrats are coming anyway that's anacyclosis you can either get behind
41:56
the one that you support or get trampled by the ones you don't and make no
42:02
mistake this is not an easy thing throughout history people have crossed
42:07
the Rubicon when they realize that persuasion negotiation being reasonable
42:14
being peaceful isn't working for them they have taken more direct routs and
42:21
they have been imprisoned they have been killed they have not lived to see the
42:27
World they fought for

It was my opinion that the US government was broken beyond repair in 2011 when they failed to control Bernanke. What that meant to me was Donald Trump would not be able to fix it.

The liberal welfare state is collapsing. In the big picture Trump was just another liberal. He spent copious amounts of money and ran up copious amounts of debt, just less than the far left liberals. A conservative position would have been to issue shoot to kill orders for illegals crossing the border, not fund a wall. Bullets are cheap.

The nation states had organized control. When the nation states break down and lose control, control will pass to local strongmen, gangs, etc., and for awhile there will be no control at all, just chaos.

PS I'm not strongly advocating that people adopt this opinion. Everyone should develop their own based on their own unique experience and study. But it is definitely mine based on my unique experience and study.

Always remember that the world runs at approximately the 97th percentile (in terms of ability).

Yes, the smartest people on average are at the centers of power. But just on average.

The absolute ablest individuals always exist on the periphery. Attila the Hun for example. Some of these individuals will rise to the top when the center collapses and the bailouts are no longer possible.

[Higgenbotham]

Widdowson is a Brit. He likely saw something those outside his country did not. If the British government falls this year, it will shock the world. The shock will likely be bigger than when the Soviet Union fell.

Other Dark Age Theorists have also recognized the possibility:
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-nibelungs ... ent-120637
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-nibelungs ... ent-120648 (scroll a bit to where the comment just above is addressed)

[aeden]

His research will be ignored.

Newton also left behind facts in some suppression, neglect, and confusion about the contents.

It will be no different as we reset another 10-year Kuznet Cycle in our sector as we note.

4. search for the guilty <--------------
5. punish the innocent
6. rewarding of the non-participants
7. see step one

Basically 3 or 4 decades from step 4 as we are now.
You research is accurate H.

Pretext is from on Tue Oct 28, 2008 9:29 pm to the 1346 cluster node study
which keep these neo pagans today from eating each other as we noted then.
The inception from by starting point was 1202 from your 1346 benchmark.

[Higgenbotham]

His research will be ignored.

Nobody is within his orbit that I am aware of. Maybe a few of the Chinese but the language and cultural barriers would be too much.

Based on the information he has presented, it is evident the Chinese are well aware that the West is collapsing and the only thing the Chinese are struggling with is what exactly they need to do to tip it over. If covid-19 was intentionally released to topple the West, for example, if it's currently on the trajectory that they calculated or whether further measures will be required. Clearly we're headed for accelerated bankruptcy as a result of covid.

https://youtu.be/eerb_ZnKp5s?t=1966

Xi and the
32:31
Chinese regime are ideologically committed to the idea of historical laws
32:38
and you would therefore expect China to take a strong interest in scientific
32:44
history and a couple of years ago I worked with a professor from Oxford
32:49
University who is very prominent in the area of scientific
32:55
history and he told told me that in 2018 he was invited by nanging University to
33:02
go and give a speech about his work when naning was opening up a center for
33:08
digital history which is about collecting these statistics and data so
33:13
that you can test for historical patterns and he said that the Chinese
33:19
academics told him they had published hundreds of papers in digital history
33:25
already which he found surprising because he assumed that they were just
33:31
getting started but in fact they've been working in this area for some time you
33:37
know perhaps since 2013 when President XI said it was
33:44
important so we get back to the point that when Xi said the Chinese regime
33:51
needs to study historical patterns and laws he was being serious he was wasn't
33:57
just having a laugh and that is why Chinese universities are setting up
34:03
departments in scientific history obviously their research is funded by
34:10
and belongs to the regime they don't do things unless the regime wants them to
34:16
and I don't think you have to be especially cynical to imagine that when
34:22
nanging University treated this Oxford Professor to a trip to China with plane
34:29
tickets and hotel rooms they didn't do it because they are just very friendly people they wanted to
34:38
pick his brains they wanted to find out what he's up to they wanted to know what the West
34:45
is doing in this area and it looks as though China May indeed be using theoretical history laws
34:53
of history in how it approaches the world

Soaring debt and deficits causing worry about threats to the economy and markets
PUBLISHED SUN, MAY 19 20246:50 AM EDT

However, in recent days the chatter has spilled over into government and finance heavyweights, and even has one prominent Wall Street firm wondering if costs associated with the debt pose a significant risk to the stock market rally.

The potential long-term ramifications of the debt were the topic of an interview JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon gave to London-based Sky News on Wednesday.

“America should be quite aware that we have got to focus on our fiscal deficit issues a little bit more, and that is important for the world,” the head of the largest U.S. bank by assets said.

“At one point it will cause a problem and why should you wait?” Dimon added. “The problem will be caused by the market and then you will be forced to deal with it and probably in a far more uncomfortable way than if you dealt with it to start.”

Similarly, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio told the Financial Times a few days ago that he is concerned the soaring U.S. debt levels will make Treasurys less attractive “particularly from international buyers worried about the US debt picture and possible sanctions.”

So far, that hasn’t been the case: Foreign holdings of U.S. federal debt stood at $8.1 trillion in March, up 7% from a year ago, according to Treasury Department data released Wednesday. Risk-free Treasurys are still seen as an attractive place to park cash, but that could change if the U.S. doesn’t rein in its finances.

Market impact

More immediately, there are concerns that rising bond yields could spill over into the equity markets.

“The huge obvious problem is that the U.S. federal debt is now on a completely unsustainable long-term trajectory,” analysts at Wolfe Research said in a recent note. The firm worries that “bond vigilantes” will go on strike unless the U.S. gets its fiscal house in order, while rising interest costs crowd out spending.

“Our sense is that policymakers (on both sides of the aisle) will be unwilling to address the U.S.’s long-term fiscal imbalances in a serious way until the market begins to push back hard on this unsustainable situation,” the Wolfe analysts wrote. “We believe that policymakers and the market are most likely underestimating future projected net interest costs.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/19/soaring ... rkets.html

[FullMoon]

Based on the information he has presented, it is evident the Chinese are well aware that the West is collapsing and the only thing the Chinese are struggling with is what exactly they need to do to tip it over.

This is true. And we know what they've done in preparation and also not sure about what else might be up their sleeves. They'd like to wait it out and let us collapse of our own making. Problem is that they're collapsing as well. And it seems like a race to the bottom. Like two drowning people grabbing each other, trying to use the other to stay above the water. We'll probably go down together. Just because the Chicom's have a game plan and intention doesn't mean that they're chance of success is high because they're incompetent and corrupt. It also behooves us to wait for them to collapse. But we've got incompetence and corruption hobbling us also.

[Higgenbotham]

Based on the information he has presented, it is evident the Chinese are well aware that the West is collapsing and the only thing the Chinese are struggling with is what exactly they need to do to tip it over.

This is true. And we know what they've done in preparation and also not sure about what else might be up their sleeves. They'd like to wait it out and let us collapse of our own making. Problem is that they're collapsing as well. And it seems like a race to the bottom. Like two drowning people grabbing each other, trying to use the other to stay above the water. We'll probably go down together. Just because the Chicom's have a game plan and intention doesn't mean that they're chance of success is high because they're incompetent and corrupt. It also behooves us to wait for them to collapse. But we've got incompetence and corruption hobbling us also.

China collapsing as well is part of the dark age thesis. As things crumble, nothing gets rebuilt to a higher standard. No Marshall Plan this time around. The birthrate, depleted by a poor economy and poor health, continues to decline. Morality hits new lows in unexpected ways. The unthinkable becomes thinkable. No winners, only losers. Except for the occasional individual winner in the lottery economy, the strongman sweepstakes, etc. The overall mentality becomes he/she who loses the least is the winner and he/she who loses the most is just a loser, part of a "basket of deplorables" or group of bitter "childless cat ladies", for example. LGBTQ+ convince themselves that they have "pride", childless cat ladies convince themselves they are "better off without a man because there are no good men anyway," and people on linkedin say they are "passionate" about jobs that are killing them and that they really, truly hate.