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Re: VIEW: STOCK MARKET CRASH IS OLD NEWS

Posted: Wed Aug 05, 2009 2:51 am
by burt
Hello, this is a question to JOHN (anyone can give it's interpretation for sure, but I'm looking for an answer from WITHIN the GD theory).

Based on GD theory (not your emotions and not on 1929 crisis history and not on PER) what makes you so sure there will be a PANIC in the so called "stock market"?

Thank you for your answer

Re: VIEW: STOCK MARKET CRASH IS OLD NEWS

Posted: Wed Aug 05, 2009 5:29 am
by John
Burt wrote: > Hello, this is a question to JOHN (anyone can give it's
> interpretation for sure, but I'm looking for an answer from WITHIN
> the GD theory).

> Based on GD theory (not your emotions and not on 1929 crisis
> history and not on PER) what makes you so sure there will be a
> PANIC in the so called "stock market"?
This was debated a few months ago in the Financial Topics thread,
with some people claiming that the "crash" is already happening, so
there's no need for a "panic."

Actually, the "generational panic" concept is very close to the
mainstream concept of "capitulation," the difference occurring in the
aftermath.

Here's a place where I wrote about it last year.

** There's never before been a day like this on Wall Street.
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 11#e081011


John

Re: VIEW: STOCK MARKET CRASH IS OLD NEWS

Posted: Wed Aug 05, 2009 3:32 pm
by burt
John wrote:This was debated a few months ago in the Financial Topics thread,
with some people claiming that the "crash" is already happening, so
there's no need for a "panic."
Thank you, That is why I wrote my note under this subject. The only trouble is that the guy has NO argumentation, except that he was lucky (this time). I don't care being wrong IF I can learn, but I am not interested by magic or revelations...

I read your article and the different articles on GD Theory (most of them I should say).
My question was about the GD theory: WHY is there a need for panic within a generational crisis?

This is a question which has the only goal to better understand the GD Theory, not the market (yet).
(my point of view on the "market", is that because we have 80% of the money worldwide which is ONLY used on financial purpose (derivatives), no more for the economics, so at ANY time there could be a panic, because unuseful money has to go somewhere, BUT, again on my point of view, this should be for 2010-2011, not 2009).

So again on my question: On the point of view of GD Theory .... why a panic?

Regards

Burt

Re: VIEW: STOCK MARKET CRASH IS OLD NEWS

Posted: Wed Aug 05, 2009 4:06 pm
by John
burt wrote:
John wrote:This was debated a few months ago in the Financial Topics thread,
with some people claiming that the "crash" is already happening, so
there's no need for a "panic."
Thank you, That is why I wrote my note under this subject. The only trouble is that the guy has NO argumentation, except that he was lucky (this time). I don't care being wrong IF I can learn, but I am not interested by magic or revelations...

I read your article and the different articles on GD Theory (most of them I should say).
My question was about the GD theory: WHY is there a need for panic within a generational crisis?

This is a question which has the only goal to better understand the GD Theory, not the market (yet).
(my point of view on the "market", is that because we have 80% of the money worldwide which is ONLY used on financial purpose (derivatives), no more for the economics, so at ANY time there could be a panic, because unuseful money has to go somewhere, BUT, again on my point of view, this should be for 2010-2011, not 2009).

So again on my question: On the point of view of GD Theory .... why a panic?

Regards

Burt
I'll think about this for a few days and give you an answer in one of the
"Generational Theory" threads.

John