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So while the strategic petroleum reserves are depleting past 50% and a growing portion of a finite quantity of high quite war fighting gear is being expended in Ukraine, it looks like Iran is ratcheting towards hot conflict with Israel and possibly Saudi or US. Walking into the Great conflict of civilizations at least has a prelude. Several.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YzCoJXxb5xI

How Russia could collapse (again)

Interesting, much different than Scott Ritter
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvVC1VBiWKM

Like most others i am not sure how this thing plays out. I do hope wwIII is not in the immediate future.

** 20-Jun-2022 World View: Famine

There are 40 million tons of wheat sitting in silos in Ukraine that
can't be exported because the Russians are blocking the ports. As a
result, people in many countries are starving, with food increasingly
expensive, scarce or unavailable.

EU officials today said that Russia is guilty of war crimes for
forcing much of the world to starve.

Unless Russia is forced to release the wheat, maize and cooking oil
produced in Ukraine, there's going to be massive famines in multiple
countries this summer and fall. This will cause massive unrest.

Sri Lanka's meltdown continues, with food, fuel, and medicines so
expensive or scarce that they're out of reach for most people. Sri
Lanka is the poster child for China's Debt Trap Diplomacy, and now the
chickens are coming home to roost. Sri Lanka is negotiating with the
IMF for a $5 billion bailout, but the IMF is insisting on tax
increasing and subsidy reductions, which is not what the corrupt
government wants to do.

Sri Lanka is being called "the canary in the coal mine," because other
countries are headed in the same direction. There are already price
riots going on now in countries from Pakistan to Belgium.

Here in the United States, it's expected that the sh-t will hit the
fan on July 4, when families want to take road trips, but gas (petrol)
prices will be sky high and gas may even have to be rationed.

Every day, the Biden administration does something to turn the United
States into a third world sh-thole. Whether America can survive until
we can get rid of these pro-Confederacy white supremacist a--holes
remains to be seen.

A couple of other issues.

Bitcoin fell to the 17K range over the weekend, but has now recovered
to just above 20K. Bitcoin is being seen as a bellwether of the
global financial crisis as a whole.

Up until 2-3 weeks ago, it seemed that Ukraine was winning. But
Russia has changed strategy to massive genocide and destruction
through huge amounts of artillery.

Massive monsoon floods in Bangladesh and India causing unrest.

China is increasingly demanding that the Taiwan Strait be declared
Chinese waters rather than international waters. Over the weekend,
the US administration signaled that it will reject those demands, and
will continue Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONO) in the South
China Sea and the Taiwan Strait. This could give rise to a military
confrontation, if China chooses to be more and more belligerent.

China's "zero covid" policy (alluding to the Wuhan Coronavirus) is
looking more and more like a joke. The Chinese Communists are
conducting millions of covid tests every day, and if they find even
one case, then an entire building or city can be shut down and locked
down for several days.

jmparret wrote: Mon Jun 20, 2022 7:08 am Interesting, much different than Scott Ritter
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvVC1VBiWKM

Like most others i am not sure how this thing plays out. I do hope wwIII is not in the immediate future.

16:00-20:00 is amazing. Ritter nailing it.

Now Kaliningrad issues. The US and NATO are an absolute joke, putting us in harm's way unnecessarily for decades, and now we will pay the price.

Cool Breeze wrote: Mon Jun 20, 2022 9:39 am

jmparret wrote: Mon Jun 20, 2022 7:08 am Interesting, much different than Scott Ritter
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvVC1VBiWKM

Like most others i am not sure how this thing plays out. I do hope wwIII is not in the immediate future.

16:00-20:00 is amazing. Ritter nailing it.

Now Kaliningrad issues. The US and NATO are an absolute joke, putting us in harm's way unnecessarily for decades, and now we will pay the price.

Scott Ritter: a convicted pedophile who has spent years in jail for sex crimes. Pro-Russian to the core; he even accused the Ukrainians of murdering its own people in Bucha and blaming the Russians for it.

His analysis is worthless.

China, US Escalate Over Legal Status Of Taiwan Strait After Beijing Rejects It As "International Waters"
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ernational
BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 05:00 PM

Russia Demands Lithuania Lift "Openly Hostile" Blockade; Panic Buying Ensues
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ing-notice
BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 11:01 AM

Prepare to fight and beat Russia in a Third World War, Britain's top general warns: New UK Army commander tells troops to brace for European land war in tub-thumping message as tyrant Putin menaces ex-Soviet states
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... warns.html
By DAVID AVERRE and CHRIS JEWERS FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 18:15 EDT, 18 June 2022 | UPDATED: 09:05 EDT, 19 June 2022

UPDATED MON, JUN 20 202210:11 AM EDT
Russia pounds villages in the Donbas; Mariupol residents said to be ‘on the brink of survival’
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/20/russia- ... -blog.html

Russian warship violates NATO waters TWICE as Vladimir Putin issues nuclear warning
ByMatthew DreschNews Reporter
13:16, 18 Jun 2022UPDATED14:39, 18 Jun 2022
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-new ... s-27268154

I don't recall any news like this in the Cold War except the Cuban Missile Crisis (the 1983 Soviet nuclear false alarm incident was not public knowledge at the time iirc).

The more I read Nyquist, the more I find him credible. He writes well, provides solid references, and teaches rather than criticizes. Moreover, his understanding of communism and the overall aim of the Marxist/Leninists who propagate it is enlightening.

My understanding of how we are getting to where we are going was somewhat skewed, I admit. But where we are going is still the same, and as I've said all along, China is a significant player of whom we should be wary.

Twilight of the Magicians: Aleksandr Dugin and the War Against the West

** 20-Jun-2022 World View: Aleksandr Dugin and the War Against the West

thomasglee wrote: Mon Jun 20, 2022 9:02 pm > The more I read Nyquist, the more I find him credible. He writes
> well, provides solid references, and teaches rather than
> criticizes. Moreover, his understanding of communism and the
> overall aim of the Marxist/Leninists who propagate it is
> enlightening.

> My understanding of how we are getting to where we are going was
> somewhat skewed, I admit. But where we are going is still the
> same, and as I've said all along, China is a significant player of
> whom we should be wary.

> Twilight of the Magicians: Aleksandr Dugin and the War Against the West

I skimmed through this essay. I would consider it to be total fantasy
except for the fact that I know that Joe Biden's policies, Xi
Jinping's policies, and Vladimir Putin's policies are all deeply
disturbed and delusional in different and conflicting ways, and this
essay is as good an explanation as any of Vladimir Putin's policies.
You can see why we're headed for WW III.

I think that a lot of us are just waiting for the other shoe(s) to drop.

The Russians are figuring out viable modern tactics. So are the Ukrainians, they just have less in terms of supply assets. I've always thought that modern war with two competent sides would look like a high tech version of WW1, and that is what we are seeing.

The Russians are inflicting serious attrition on the dug in Ukrainians. In the WW1 model, the front will look relatively static until it breaks. At that point there is a "minor" forward movement of 5-10km, and then the front stabilizes again while the attacker has to reposition his artillery forward.

BTW, good sources of info on the front line situation is https://militaryland.net/, as well as https://deepstatemap.live/en#6.75/48.958/33.699

Outside of Ukraine we have the looming stock market/real estate bubble. Debt bubble (personal and governmental). Fed inability to tackle economic implosion. Chinese warmongering, as well as continued Russian war mongering. NATO cracking (Germany is trying to prevent a Russian loss, as are France, Hungary and Slovakia; while Turkey is trying to hamstring NATO in any expansion or intervention endeavor). Looming mass Famine. Japanese credit/bond crisis. Chinese expansion into Micronesia (which threatens supply lines to Australia and SE Asia). Domestic political problems over Abortion, Gun Control, Immigration, Gender Issues; Supply Chain and Urban area breakdown; all while the country is devoid of leadership.

We know in general terms what will happen next, but the timing is impossible to pin down.

It is also happening in "slow motion", that is things don't change much in real day-day time. For example, we know that the progression in Europe pre-WW2 was:
Hitler becomes Chancellor
Hitler become Dictator
Germany re-occupies Rhineland
Germany annexes Austria
Germany annexes Sudetenland of Czechoslovakia
Germany takes over rest of Czechoslovakia
Germany declares full mobilization
Germany invades Poland.

But its not like these things happened on Sunday, the next on Monday, the next on Tuesday and so on. There were weeks and months in between.

Right now we are in the equivalent of somewhere between "Germany annexes Sudetenland" and "Germany takes of the rest of Czechoslovakia". But, as we are seeing, these things don't necessarily happen in quick order. And the present is always somewhat different than the past (though not by much).