Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

John wrote: Fri Jul 01, 2022 11:06 am Apparently, I have to head back to the hospital. I assume that I'll
be coming back home some time, but who knows? Be ready, Higgie.

Sorry to hear about this. I'm just seeing this now. I'll try to be ready if need be and am still believing you will see this forum through the crisis.

John, I was a filthy, dirty Democrat when I first started reading you about 15 years ago. Thanks for the enlightenment. Now I'm a filthy, dirty Independent. That has to account for something good you did, maybe enough to get you into heaven! But hopefully, not yet.

I hate hospitals, but at least you don't have to cook or even get up to go to the bathroom if you don't want to. Just rest and let them do all the work.

My best wishes for you.

Yeah, you've done some of the work of the devine John.
Thanks.
I was involved in an IARPA project ten years ago when I was first introduced to your writings and forecasts. I'm not as surprised of the consistent accuracy as I am of the understanding you bring. You would make a great teacher; an enlightened Soul.
Thanks so much

As Ukraine war bogs down, U.S. assessments face scrutiny
Dan Lamothe, Karoun Demirjian - Saturday
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/as ... ar-AAZ6SnK

Poland Says EU and Russia Agree They Need a Plan on Kaliningrad
European officials are in talks on a compromise and could reach a deal soon
by Dave DeCamp Posted onJune 30, 2022CategoriesNewsTagsEU, Kaliningrad, Russia
https://news.antiwar.com/2022/06/30/pol ... liningrad/

Ukraine Successfully Hitting Russian Command Posts With New Rocket System: Pentagon
BY TYLER DURDEN
SATURDAY, JUL 02, 2022 - 03:00 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/military/ukra ... m-pentagon

Russia’s messages with missiles tell West to back off
PUBLISHED SAT, JUL 2 20226:02 AM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/02/russias ... k-off.html

Op-ed: In Putin’s evil vs. good war against Ukraine, the forces of good prevailed at NATO this week
PUBLISHED SAT, JUL 2 20222:09 PM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/02/op-ed-i ... -week.html

POLITICS
Chinese company’s purchase of North Dakota farmland raises national security concerns in Washington
PUBLISHED FRI, JUL 1 20229:55 AM EDTUPDATED FRI, JUL 1 20225:54 PM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/01/chinese ... ngton.html

God Bless America!

POLITICS
Russia says its forces now have full control of east Ukraine region
PUBLISHED SUN, JUL 3 20226:13 AM EDTUPDATED SUN, JUL 3 20221:09 PM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/03/russian ... rated.html

The Quad is going beyond military exercises — and China is watching
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/07/04/t ... tches.html

Tom Mazanec wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:01 am POLITICS
Russia says its forces now have full control of east Ukraine region
PUBLISHED SUN, JUL 3 20226:13 AM EDTUPDATED SUN, JUL 3 20221:09 PM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/03/russian ... rated.html

Wait, you mean Ukraine isn't winning? I must be a Russian troll, too, right?

Warning that Vladimir Putin could invade rest of Europe within a year
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shocked the world, with NATO now ramping up its capabilities. But there are fears Vladimir Putin could strike again.
July 5, 2022 - 10:06AM
https://www.news.com.au/world/warning-t ... 9998da3105

EUROPE POLITICS
Finland and Sweden move a step closer to NATO membership with accession sign-off
PUBLISHED TUE, JUL 5 20227:49 AM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/05/finland ... rship.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/du ... 022-07-05/
It appears Navigator's prediction is coming true. Both sides feel a threat from each other and cannot understand the other's position. Talk of nuclear weapons is becoming commonplace.
Navigator, please tell us your current assessment and what we might expect coming up on this front.

Cool Breeze wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 7:39 pm

Tom Mazanec wrote: Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:01 am POLITICS
Russia says its forces now have full control of east Ukraine region
PUBLISHED SUN, JUL 3 20226:13 AM EDTUPDATED SUN, JUL 3 20221:09 PM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/03/russian ... rated.html

Wait, you mean Ukraine isn't winning? I must be a Russian troll, too, right?

Over all? No, Ukraine is not winning. However, Ukraine is making Russia pay a ruinous price for the for the underwhelming accomplishments it has achieved. While we can't know exact numbers (since Russia doesn't release much information and what it does is usually lies) Russia has suffered casualties of 30,000+, materiel losses in the tens of billions, and economic sanctions expected to reduce Russia's GDP by 10-15%. On top of that, Ukraine is receiving increasing amounts of Western equipment that outperforms anything Russia has while Russia is unable to even manufacture replacement equipment due to foreign sanctions.

So is Russia winning? Since it holds Ukrainian territory, you can say that. But the price already paid and coming up is much higher than anything they've achieved other than vanity.