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Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:01 am
by Cool Breeze
thomasglee wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 6:58 am
Guest wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 2:15 am When it comes to China we all need to face the demographic realities. According to their own most recent census their population will fall 50% by 2050, and at that point in 2050 the OVERWHELMING majority of people will be over 60. China will never be the consumer market our corporations desire, and by the end of this decade it's production will virtually collapse.
As we speak there is not a single industrial product that cannot be made cheaper in the USA. Hence the massive re-shoring of industrial plant to the USA. An industrial build out is under way in the US that is larger than it's build out for World War Two, to give a clear measure.
The play for the UK to make is to close a free trade deal with the USA with all possible speed. When you consider demographics North America will be the only viable consumer market going forward. The UK and the USA are a natural fit given shared contract law, shared accounting practices, and a thousand other cultural linkages. The German economy and demographic is dying. Ditto Russia, China, and Japan. What is left of the EU will be a French satrap. There is only one way for the UK to go. Don't let pride carry the nation into economic suicide.
Good point. Another reason why China needs a war.
The demographics appeals are specious. I have noticed this for years and you can go back and nullify much of the "demographics is destiny" yet you still see people bring it up as the biggest point to this day. The Japanese have largely bucked all those horrible predictions, though they have had to do massive monetization - but recall this is a fiat world where everyone also is doing the same thing, and the west is also dying in terms of fertility. So what if it replaces itself with non europeans? No one ever asks that question, since it is the key question and is politically incorrect.

We were also supposed to starve 50 years ago with this "population" and ... we didn't. So many predictions are far more nuanced and dependent on multiple layers of culture, alliances with other countries, geopolitics, monetary scheme, etc. For example, who says the consumption economy lasts? Again, recency bias abounds.

Now, I think war is on the horizon but talking about 2050 as if it is a worry for the Chinese, and ignoring the cultural rot of the US and the west in general, is missing the point. Capiche?

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 10:06 am
by Tom Mazanec
North Korea Willing To Send Russia 100,000 Troops For Ukraine War: Report
Tyler Durden's Photo
BY TYLER DURDEN
SUNDAY, AUG 07, 2022 - 05:00 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/north ... war-report

Chinese Missiles ‘Zoom Over’ US Patriot Defense Systems; Experts Decode Why Taiwan Could Not Intercept Them
EXPERT REVIEWS
By
Ashish Dangwal
August 7, 2022
https://eurasiantimes.com/chinese-missi ... em-taiwan/

August 8, 2022
6:00 AM EDT
Last Updated 4 hours ago
Ukraine faces key test on debt freeze plan in bid to avoid messy default
By Jorgelina Do Rosario and Karin Strohecker
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/ ... 022-08-08/

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:45 pm
by John
August 8th, 2022, Monday

China's military drills were supposed to end on August 7th, but they're continuing today. in the meantime Taiwan is now running its own military bills. what can possibly go wrong?

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:44 pm
by Tom Mazanec
After China’s Military Spectacle, Options Narrow for Winning Over Taiwan
Chris Buckley, Amy Chang Chien and John Liu - Yesterday 11:13 AM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/af ... r-AA10ozLG

China's Military Exercises Showcase Modern Fighting Force
Alastair Gale, Nancy A. Youssef - Yesterday 6:36 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ch ... r-AA10pHeI

Pelosi’s Taiwan Trip Exposes Foolishness of Interventionism
written by ron paulmonday august 8, 2022
http://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/fe ... entionism/

Russia Is Now Openly Threatening to Bomb a Nuclear Power Plant
Dan Ladden-Hall, Matt Young, Shannon Vavra
Mon, August 8, 2022 at 5:31 AM·
https://news.yahoo.com/nuclear-disaster ... 00137.html

Ukrainian Women & Children Captured by Russians Are Being Sold as Sex Slaves in UAE
By Joshua Young | August 08, 2022
https://humanevents.com/2022/08/08/ukra ... es-in-uae/

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:51 pm
by Xeraphim1
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/u ... elp-russia

Ukraine Situation Report: Army Of North Korean ‘Volunteers’ Said To Be Ready To Help Russia
A Russian talk show host claimed that 100,000 North Korean “volunteers” are ready to assist in Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine.
I give this less than a 1% chance of happening, but the fact that Russians are talking about importing North Koreans to fight for them is a special kind of pathetic.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:33 pm
by Tom Mazanec
China Just Made A Move That Could Literally Provoke A Major War With The United States
August 8, 2022
http://themostimportantnews.com/archive ... ted-states

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:00 am
by FullMoon
John wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:45 pm August 8th, 2022, Monday

China's military drills were supposed to end on August 7th, but they're continuing today. in the meantime Taiwan is now running its own military bills. what can possibly go wrong?
It's getting very close to the time when this issue will be resolved. And both sides now realize that peaceful reunification has been abandoned.
China will do as they've promised because it's their mandate to rule the nation. We'll see if these exercises have given them enough confidence, and equally important whether they have the time to wait for a more opportune moment. The longer that they prolong these exercises, the higher the chances of it occuring this season. They're pushing the limits at present and waiting. Unlike Russia, they don't want any dialogue.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:22 am
by FullMoon
The New York Times: In China, Xi Risks Overconfidence That Could Stoke Taiwan Tensions.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/09/busi ... aiwan.html
China seems like person who maxed out their credit lines to get a bunch of shiny new stuff but most of it is actually a mirage, being poor quality. Young kids have grown up with new stuff and think they're rich and great.
With so much wealth locked up into what's potentially the greatest real estate bubble on history, the popping of which will really piss off the people and make the CCP do desperate things to maintain control. It's happening now

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:26 am
by Xeraphim1
FullMoon wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:00 am
John wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:45 pm August 8th, 2022, Monday

China's military drills were supposed to end on August 7th, but they're continuing today. in the meantime Taiwan is now running its own military bills. what can possibly go wrong?
It's getting very close to the time when this issue will be resolved. And both sides now realize that peaceful reunification has been abandoned.
China will do as they've promised because it's their mandate to rule the nation. We'll see if these exercises have given them enough confidence, and equally important whether they have the time to wait for a more opportune moment. The longer that they prolong these exercises, the higher the chances of it occuring this season. They're pushing the limits at present and waiting. Unlike Russia, they don't want any dialogue.
The length of the exercises doesn't necessarily mean anything in regards to an invasion. You need to look at the other things going on. Are troops being concentrated in ports? Are RO/ROs and amphibious warfare ships moving to ports? Are aircraft and naval ships getting last minute maintenance done? Is China stocking up on imports that come by sea? Those signal actual intentions whereas exercises don't.

Re: Generational Dynamics World View News

Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:41 am
by FullMoon
https://asiatimes.com/2022/08/taiwans-r ... has-begun/
"the Xi government took the irreversible decision to “cross the Rubicon” and systematically force the reunification of Taiwan with the mainland."
"China need not overextend geographically, demographically, militarily or financially in order to effect unification. The natural course of economic development in East Asia itself (and globally) is its most powerful weapon. Time is on China’s side. Military force is the ultima, not the prima ratio. To subdue the enemy without fighting is the supreme strategy."
"Washington may not see it yet or may prefer not to call it by name. But the takeover is underway. It’s out in the clear light of day."
Comments on this article are welcomed.