Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

thomasglee wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 6:58 am

Guest wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 2:15 am When it comes to China we all need to face the demographic realities. According to their own most recent census their population will fall 50% by 2050, and at that point in 2050 the OVERWHELMING majority of people will be over 60. China will never be the consumer market our corporations desire, and by the end of this decade it's production will virtually collapse.
As we speak there is not a single industrial product that cannot be made cheaper in the USA. Hence the massive re-shoring of industrial plant to the USA. An industrial build out is under way in the US that is larger than it's build out for World War Two, to give a clear measure.
The play for the UK to make is to close a free trade deal with the USA with all possible speed. When you consider demographics North America will be the only viable consumer market going forward. The UK and the USA are a natural fit given shared contract law, shared accounting practices, and a thousand other cultural linkages. The German economy and demographic is dying. Ditto Russia, China, and Japan. What is left of the EU will be a French satrap. There is only one way for the UK to go. Don't let pride carry the nation into economic suicide.

Good point. Another reason why China needs a war.

A Russian talk show host claimed that 100,000 North Korean “volunteers” are ready to assist in Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine.

John wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:45 pm August 8th, 2022, Monday

China's military drills were supposed to end on August 7th, but they're continuing today. in the meantime Taiwan is now running its own military bills. what can possibly go wrong?

FullMoon wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:00 am

John wrote: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:45 pm August 8th, 2022, Monday

China's military drills were supposed to end on August 7th, but they're continuing today. in the meantime Taiwan is now running its own military bills. what can possibly go wrong?

It's getting very close to the time when this issue will be resolved. And both sides now realize that peaceful reunification has been abandoned.
China will do as they've promised because it's their mandate to rule the nation. We'll see if these exercises have given them enough confidence, and equally important whether they have the time to wait for a more opportune moment. The longer that they prolong these exercises, the higher the chances of it occuring this season. They're pushing the limits at present and waiting. Unlike Russia, they don't want any dialogue.