Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

Is this 4D chess? Or is the situation out of control?

** 01-Jul-2019 Ongoing: Hong Kong protests present increasing threat to Beijing

There are currently large, massive pro-democracy, anti-Bejing protests
going on in Hong Kong.

It's now midnight in Hong Kong, and the security forces apparently
are about to attack the protesters to disperse them.

The CCP thugs had to stop the 1989 Tiananmen Square pro-democracy
protests, because they were considered a threat to the survival of the
CCP. As a result, they massacred and killed thousands of peacefully
protesting college students.

This growing protest is also a major threat to the CCP because, as
I've previously explained, this could trigger a massive rebellion in
southern China, as happened in the past with the Taiping Rebellion
(1852-64), and Mao's Communist Revolution (1934-49).

This is an ongoing situation.

---- Sources:

-- Hong Kong police take up position to clear protesters who
smashed up legislature
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hong ... SKCN1TV0YE
(Reuters)

** 01-Jul-2019 World View: Trump's strategy for China and North Korea

As usual, the media are totally baffled by Donald Trump's strategy in
China and North Korea.

Here's the reality check:

• North Korea will never give up its nuclear weapons, no matter what
  Trump or anyone else does.
• China will never give up its illegal trade practices and illegal
  theft of foreign intelligence and intellectual property, no matter
  what Trump or anyone else does.
• Russia and North Korea will never stop illegally going around the
  North Korea sanctions, no matter what Trump or anyone else does.
• China will never stop preparing to launch World War III to
  exterminate Japan and annex Taiwan, no matter what Trump or anyone
  else does.

If Trump adopted the belligerent policies that many people in
Washington are demanding, all it would do is hasten World War III.

All of Trump's policies make perfect sense once you understand that
the strategy is to delay the inevitable -- delay deployment of North
Korean nuclear weapons, and delay World War III. This is the best
possible strategy available, and one that very few people besides
Trump could pull off.

I do believe that Trump believes he can prevent World War III. He's
like a terminal cancer payment who believes that if he can forestall
death long enough, then they might find a cure for cancer.

He's wrong about that. Nothing can prevent World War III. Trump may
try to forestall World War III, but he can't prevent it. But as I've
written many times, I'm not going to criticize Trump for taking steps
to forestall or prevent World War III, even though World War III is
100% certain.

At any rate, most of what you hear in the mainstream media is idiotic
nonsense. The above is what's really going on.


See: "World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John J. Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

These are the same people screaming "Russian Collusion" because they can't fathom the fact that Trump managed to beat their beloved Hilary. So much for anyone saying refusing to accept the election results is a danger to democracy.

I'll admit, I really don't think Huawei should be allowed to do business again with us, not with what we've found out about them.

Trevor wrote:These are the same people screaming "Russian Collusion" because they can't fathom the fact that Trump managed to beat their beloved Hilary. So much for anyone saying refusing to accept the election results is a danger to democracy.

I'll admit, I really don't think Huawei should be allowed to do business again with us, not with what we've found out about them.

Nope Trump was elected to in order to Move America away from the Clinton 1990s derived policies. Boomers never could admit after the events of 1999 through 2001 that "the 90s" were definitively over. Caving to NK is a continuation of Clintonist policy not a repudiation of those policies. Boomer politicians have always been "short-term" thinkers. In strategic terms the root of said flawed strategies is derived from a incorrect perception of the US' total strength compared to Russia and China. Boomers actually believe that the US is basically a small country with Russia, China and even India being stronger than America Militarily. When in fact the US is a military superpower who strength is Roughly equivalent to the combined strength of Russia and China put together. The reason North Korea and Iran feel confident enough to issue war threats occassionally is because they have spent 30 to 40 years looking at perceived cowardliness and Incompetence of US leadership, thus those nations have developed incorrect assessments of their own strength and incorrect assessments of US strength.

Trevor wrote:
I'll admit, I really don't think Huawei should be allowed to do business again with us, not with what we've found out about them.

Huawei should be destroyed, not tolerated.

So how long can war be delayed realistically? I think internal events will dictate it: Hong Kong. The masses there seem hell bent on violence. I think they know it's now or never. A bloody crackdown in HK will spur serious capital flight out; If it hasn't started already. War is in the offing.

** 02-Jul-2019 World View: Beijing closes the trap on Hong Kong protesters

• The People's Liberation Army (China's military) Hong Kong
  garrison comes out of hiding and conducts emergency response
  exercises for three days (Global Times)

During the protests on Monday, the BBC World Service entered the Hong
Kong’s Legislative Council (LegCo) building, and broadcast scenes of
vandalism and graffiti in one room after another. The BBC reporter
wondered why he was being allowed inside the building, and was allowed
to broadcast these scenes to the world. He raised the question about
whether the government was setting some kind of trap.

These scenes were broadcast after hundreds of protesters
smashed through the exterior glass doors and walls of the building,
and entered the building. Previously, they had been smashing
windows, ripping out barriers, and throwing eggs at
police. The demonstrations were protesting the proposed
extradition bill that would allow Hong Kong to extradite anyone
in Hong Kong to Beijing, and they were attacking the LegCo
building presumably because it would be the legislature that
could approve the extradition bill, when it is removed from suspension.

However, instead of forcing the protesters to disperse, the
masses of police forces simply stepped aside, and allowed the
protesters to smash their way into the LegCo building and vandalize
it, and then allowed the BBC and other news organizations to enter
the building and broadcast the vandalism. This has led to
suggestions that the government was setting a trap for the protesters,
so that they could be called rioters and terrorists.

CCP officials closed the trap on Tuesday, with a statement suggesting
that Hong Kong's "one country, two systems" should be brought to an
end:

"Yet, some extremists on the pretext of opposing the
amendments to the relevant Bill of the special administration
region government, attacked the Legislative Council building in an
extremely violent manner and deliberately damaged its facilities.

This serious illegal act tramples on the rule of law in Hong Kong,
undermines Hong Kong's social order and undermines the fundamental
interests of Hong Kong. It is a blatant challenge to the ‘one
country, two systems’ bottom line."

China's Foreign Ministry warns outsiders to stay out, saying that "the
violent act of storming LegCo" on Monday "constituted serious
violations of the rule of law and endangered social order."

A number of people on Chinese social media are being quoted as
supporting the government position:

"There's definitely a problem with the policies
towards Taiwan and Hong Kong. Why does the central government
think that as long as it gives enough benefits and special rights,
the people will be loyal to you?"

Here's another:

"One country, two systems is too lax, and this is the
result. If Hong Kong wants to return to normal, it should start
with decolonization and change the name of Victoria Harbour to
Oriental Pearl Harbour."

On the other hand, many of the young protesters on Monday were
expressing concern that the "one country, two systems" policy is
scheduled to end in 2047, well within the expected lives of
the protesters.

• In an earlier protest, British flag is visible, and placard
  reading, 'Make Hong Kong Great Britain Again' (SCMP)

This is not the end of the story. After Monday's "victory," the
protesters are only going to become more bold in pro-democracy
protests. Pro-independence activists in Taiwan will also be
emboldened. The CCP thugs are seeing the pro-democracy protests in
Hong Kong as a repeat of the 1989 pro-democracy protests in Tiananmen
Square, which ended with the mass slaughter of thousands of peacefully
protesting college students.

Now that the CCP thugs have laid the trap and sprung it, they've laid
the groundwork for violent repression when the protests recur, and for
proposed legal measures to restrict some of the "one country, two
systems" policies.

Tensions are growing along the Beijing-Hong Kong and north-south fault
lines, and China is overdue for a new massive anti-government
rebellion, following the Taiping Rebellion (1852-64), and Mao's
Communist Revolution (1934-49).

---- Sources:

-- BREAKING: Hong Kong protesters break through final barriers,
overrun LegCo
https://coconuts.co/hongkong/news/break ... run-legco/
(Coconuts Hong Kong, 1-Jul-2019)

-- China strongly condemns LegCo storming by Hong Kong protesters,
calls it a 'blatant challenge'
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east- ... e-state-tv
(Strait Times, Singapore, 2-Jul-2019)

-- PLA Hong Kong Garrison conducts emergency response exercises
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1156525.shtml
(Global Times, Beijing, 2-Jul-2019)

-- China opposes other countries' interference in Hong Kong affairs
http://www.ecns.cn/news/2019-07-02/deta ... 8700.shtml
(ECNS, Beijing, 2-Jul-2019)

-- Pic: Make Hong Kong Great Britain Again / In former colonies Hong
Kong and Taiwan, ‘national’ identity often emerges from fanciful
nostalgia
https://www.scmp.com/magazines/post-mag ... en-emerges
(South China Morning Post, 29-Mar-2019)

** 02-Jul-2019 Huawei

Trevor wrote: > These are the same people screaming "Russian Collusion" because
> they can't fathom the fact that Trump managed to beat their
> beloved Hilary. So much for anyone saying refusing to accept the
> election results is a danger to democracy.

> I'll admit, I really don't think Huawei should be allowed to do
> business again with us, not with what we've found out about
> them.

As I understand it, Huawei is still on the list of companies
considered a threat to national security, but Trump has granted some
waivers to allow sales of some American products to Huawei. The one I
hear about most is that now all of Google's products can be sold to
Huawei. Without Google's operating system, Google mail and Google
maps, Huawei would be out of business.