Generational Dynamics Forum - New Site

http://www.nanex.net/aqck2/4045.html then

65k ES block at 1920 at 4pm

You'll find out next week.

http://www.nanex.net/aqck2/4045.html then

65k ES block at 1920 at 4pm

However, it appears that the decay of the options puts on VXX seems to almost cancel out the decay of the underlying asset

You'll find out next week.

Margin was already raised for reg T

http://finance.yahoo.com/lookup;_ylc=X3 ... 3Vw?s=$vix

Mexico Fin Min Cuts 2014 GDP Estimate to 2.7% From 3.9%

May 15, 2014 I expect the market to tank in mexico and drag us down.

we will see soon enough on the actual % drag from EM and ES

World population has been rising for thousands of years to almost 7 billion, with annual growth rates peaking at almost 3% in the past century (source: Wikipedia). The first chart below looks like a textbook bubble chart, with an exploding rate of change (ROC) in the final blowoff phase. Interestingly, the ROC (chart below) has already turned down, a divergence warning that the bubble is poised to burst.

http://www.amanita.at/en/interesting/my ... bal-health

http://www.healthy.net/Health/Interview ... ture/305/3
http://de.spiritualwiki.org/Wiki/2012#toc18

1978 study that looked out 70 years into the future.

Global Population
Pandemics - Multiple pandemics [so-called "bugs"] will result in millions of deaths.
Possibly killing up to a quarter of the human species in less than six months.

Politics
USA will be reversed to a loose federation.
No more central government.
Partition into four localized power structures.
The former United States will consist of small communities.

Some of the predictions of the 1978 study have been fulfilled.

swimmers http://www.adweek.com/adfreak/24-people ... ise-157028

shoshin wrote: > dear doom-sayers and perma-bears...there's a point where being too
> early is indistinguishable from being wrong...

In 2004, someone pointed out that I could never be wrong, since I
could always just say that the financial crisis simply hadn't arrived
yet. My response was that if the level of public debt ever leveled
off and starting falling, then I would be wrong. As the US debt now
is approaching $20 trillion, I'm certainly in no danger of being
called wrong by those standards.

So, from my personal point of view, being early is quite easily
distinguished from being wrong.

But that may not be true for you. There's no reason for you to worry
about any of this stuff, since you can't do anything about it anyway.
So, Dave, when the first Chinese missile lands on Cambridge, then
you'll be dead and I'll be dead, but you'll be better off because you
had lived a more pleasant life without worrying about it.

John

Higgenbotham wrote:

Legend Says Markets Pushed Higher To Conceal “Grave Danger”

This is essentially what I have been saying for 5 years. This market will not stop until it is allowed to stop.
The PTB have ignited a inferno of fantasy economic growth that must be continually fed with exponentially greater sums of combustibles.

The flames will at some point either burn themselves out and crash organically, or reach a critical mass and incinerate everything in its wake.

John expects China to attack mainland America with missiles. I see this as a wasteful strategy. They would want our land and resources too badly to allow it to be annihilated. The most reasonable and rational form of attack would be cyber warfare which has already been tested. Allow the dictators we have in power right now to continue to strip away our rights and disarm the people, then wipe out the power supply. Turkey is in the Oven. Several weeks with no power and call it done.

China will come, and they may win but not with an all out military attack. Bio and chemical weapons would be most useful I think. On third or more of our population is on guvmnt dole and can be written off in a matter of 3 months after the power goes out due to rampages and primal savagery. So 110 million fewer to have to deal with. After 6-9 months you would probably be down another 100 million due to attrition and disease outbreaks, starvation and extermination. After that the gov is no longer viable unless martial law was in total lock down and the public was forcibly disarmed, doing China a major favor. From that point a few well placed tac nukes in major cities and aerial dispersal of a plague virus would take out the majority of the survivors.

Of course this is with the consideration that a full on global war is taking place and we don't launch the nukes first to help out our allies, if any remain after Obama's reign. Hail the King.

my 2cents anyway.

cheers

sy

John wrote:

shoshin wrote: > dear doom-sayers and perma-bears...there's a point where being too
> early is indistinguishable from being wrong...

In 2004, someone pointed out that I could never be wrong, since I
could always just say that the financial crisis simply hadn't arrived
yet. My response was that if the level of public debt ever leveled
off and starting falling, then I would be wrong. As the US debt now
is approaching $20 trillion, I'm certainly in no danger of being
called wrong by those standards.

So, from my personal point of view, being early is quite easily
distinguished from being wrong.

But that may not be true for you. There's no reason for you to worry
about any of this stuff, since you can't do anything about it anyway.
So, Dave, when the first Chinese missile lands on Cambridge, then
you'll be dead and I'll be dead, but you'll be better off because you
had lived a more pleasant life without worrying about it.

John

John one of the tricks in "living well" or as some would say doing "Shiva's dance" well, is being able to live and think in different worlds or realities at the same time. That is being able to accept the positive as well as the negative aspects of "reality". The negative is in the positive and the positive is in the negative. The yin-yang http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yin_and_yang

cheers

Higgenbotham wrote:

World population has been rising for thousands of years to almost 7 billion, with annual growth rates peaking at almost 3% in the past century (source: Wikipedia). The first chart below looks like a textbook bubble chart, with an exploding rate of change (ROC) in the final blowoff phase. Interestingly, the ROC (chart below) has already turned down, a divergence warning that the bubble is poised to burst.

http://www.amanita.at/en/interesting/my ... bal-health

Mysterium_2012_Teil_4_2.jpg

http://ourenergyfutures.org/page-titre- ... id-26.html

Over a period of time supply of working time to the Paid work sector of immigrants becomes less and less relevant over a period of time (Case: Turkish Immigrants in Germany).

I heard that argument in 1993 and now we have a local 40 percent child poverty rate. No amount of spin can either suggest to what the actual skin disease is on the taxpayers.

http://www.usitc.gov/publications/332/w ... 00212a.pdf